Realized P&L
+$2
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
90.6%
Resolved
33
Trades
107
lifetime
Volume
$98
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$11
9 positions
First seen
2026-04-05
last 10-05 09:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 22 days
Categories
Tech
36% 91% +$1
Other
35% 86% +$1
Politics
23% 86% -$1
Crypto
5% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -3 -$3 98¢ $-3 $0 05-31 02:30
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 09-03 13:46
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 05-28 13:01
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 05-03 08:49
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 09-08 10:14
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 08-01 10:53
Trump out as President before 2027? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 08-17 23:52
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +2 $1 66¢ $1 $0 09-22 13:36
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 84¢ $1 $0 07-30 23:09