Humiliating-Brick — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

88.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$41

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-05

last 08-17 23:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Politics

32% 100% +$0

Other

32% 75% +$0

Tech

23% 0% $-0

Crypto

12% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$3	3	0	+3	Yes	+$0	04-05 06:53
will marco rubio say trump 3 times during fox news my view appearance 20260731183534165	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	08-02 05:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	3	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	05-25 02:54
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	4	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	05-09 13:15
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-01 23:07
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-30 23:07
will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in june 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	06-19 08:38
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	08-08 03:16
us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	08-02 00:34
Trump out as President by April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	05-01 11:17
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-07 23:29
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-23 23:59
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	2	$1	1	1	+0	open	—	06-27 04:36
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	2	$1	0	1	-1	Yes	$-0	06-08 13:50
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?	2	$1	0	1	-1	Yes	$-0	05-30 09:43
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	1	$1	0	1	-1	open	—	07-01 06:04
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$1	0	1	-1	open	—	05-31 02:30
iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	1	$1	0	1	-1	open	—	08-05 13:32
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	1	$1	0	1	-1	open	—	06-04 13:04
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	07-30 23:09
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	08-01 10:53
Trump out as President before 2027?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	08-17 23:52
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	08-15 14:08
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-28 13:01
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	08-02 05:17
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	08-08 03:17
starmer out by october 31 2026 896 929 365 346 935	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	06-21 00:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-17 23:52:04	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x6ed50b…
08-15 14:08:55	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x894638…
08-08 03:17:12	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x720cfe…
08-08 03:16:12	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x502f7a…
08-05 13:32:17	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe52459…
08-02 05:17:51	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x65669a…
08-02 05:16:41	will marco rubio say trump 3 times during fox news my view appearance 20260731183534165	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x597fca…
08-02 00:36:18	will marco rubio say trump 3 times during fox news my view appearance 20260731183534165	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xcc1aab…
08-02 00:34:38	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0c3a91…
08-01 10:53:23	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xd41403…
07-30 23:09:23	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x37c269…
07-30 23:07:44	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xee150c…
07-23 23:59:25	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x935670…
07-14 14:21:34	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x96a835…
07-07 23:31:26	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x1c3d5a…
07-07 23:29:55	Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x09ccdf…
07-02 14:04:17	Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x53db67…
07-01 23:07:38	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xbf9d80…
07-01 06:04:02	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xcdf7d7…
06-27 04:36:40	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	22¢	$0	0xa58c1f…
06-21 00:53:13	starmer out by october 31 2026 896 929 365 346 935	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa596d1…
06-19 08:38:02	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbfc30a…
06-08 13:53:45	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xe59e10…
06-08 13:50:34	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x121340…
06-07 06:28:16	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd88ddf…
06-05 13:34:45	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x0c1ffd…
06-04 13:04:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x00dcb5…
05-31 02:32:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x402f4f…
05-31 02:30:59	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x580995…
05-30 09:47:34	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xcdf438…
05-30 09:43:41	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xebf8f0…
05-29 11:21:19	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x1d2ac1…
05-29 11:20:46	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xf62920…
05-29 11:20:11	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x7c986a…
05-28 13:01:02	Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x7b87f8…
05-25 02:54:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe64362…
05-16 23:06:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xc05717…
05-09 13:20:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x633be9…
05-09 13:15:48	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd4b4d8…
05-03 06:56:54	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x442e96…
05-03 01:29:26	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xe5d620…
05-01 11:17:34	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb05370…
05-01 05:38:04	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x4d13b7…
04-05 11:50:07	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd08962…
04-05 06:53:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x1960a8…