Realized P&L (7d)
-$1
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
43.9%
Resolved (7d)
3
Trades (7d)
4
111 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$4
$102 lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$12
9 positions
First seen
2026-04-05
last 10-31 04:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 23 days
Categories
Other
37% 86% +$1
Tech
35% 83% +$1
Politics
23% 88% $0
Crypto
5% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -3 -$3 98¢ $-3 $0 05-31 02:30
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 05-28 13:01
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 05-03 08:49
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +2 $1 70¢ $1 +$0 09-22 13:36
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 09-08 10:14
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 08-01 10:53
Trump out as President before 2027? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 08-17 23:52
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +1 $1 80¢ $1 $0 10-31 04:05
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 $0 07-30 23:09