Realized P&L
+$2
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
89.6%
Resolved
38
Trades
129
lifetime
Volume
$120
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$12
8 positions
First seen
2026-04-05
last 11-10 23:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 25 days
Categories
Other
34% 86% +$1
Politics
32% 91% $0
Tech
30% 83% +$1
Crypto
4% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
20 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -3 -$3 99¢ $-3 $0 05-31 02:30
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +2 $2 92¢ $2 +$0 11-10 23:13
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 05-03 08:49
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 10-31 04:05
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 08-01 10:53
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 07-30 23:09
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 11-06 13:17
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping by November 30? Yes +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 11-09 13:59