Realized P&L (30d)
-$1
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
57.3%
Resolved (30d)
6
Trades (30d)
10
117 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$10
$108 lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$12
9 positions
First seen
2026-04-05
last 11-04 09:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 24 days
Categories
Other
35% 86% +$1
Tech
33% 83% +$1
Politics
28% 90% $0
Crypto
5% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -3 -$3 98¢ $-3 $0 05-31 02:30
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +1 $1 93¢ $1 +$0 11-04 09:39
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 05-28 13:01
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 05-03 08:49
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +1 $1 85¢ $1 +$0 10-31 04:05
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 08-01 10:53
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes +1 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 09-08 10:14
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 11-04 06:11
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 86¢ $1 $0 07-30 23:09