Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,855

lifetime

Volume

$10.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-17 06:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

54% 100% +$0

Crypto

22% — —

Other

22% 100% +$1

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	301	$1.6K	1,071	1,087	-17	open	—	02-28 15:34
will trump talk to emmanuel macron in january	119	$650	339	394	-55	open	—	01-30 01:08
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	26	$338	172	187	-15	open	—	02-27 16:41
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	26	$310	166	166	+0	open	—	02-05 07:48
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	13	$291	148	148	+0	open	—	02-13 17:16
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	65	$237	155	165	-10	open	—	02-03 03:26
will trump talk to friedrich merz in january	33	$235	120	130	-10	open	—	01-28 17:06
gc hit 5500 high jan 2026	47	$214	126	177	-52	open	—	01-30 02:00
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	46	$204	105	119	-14	open	—	02-02 02:35
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	2	$200	100	100	+0	open	—	07-05 05:59
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	29	$159	143	65	+78	open	—	04-16 02:37
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	48	$148	196	206	-10	open	—	04-03 02:16
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	20	$135	65	75	-10	open	—	01-23 01:25
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	23	$121	97	97	+0	open	—	04-16 05:37
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?	5	$121	72	50	+22	open	—	07-01 14:25
will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	3	$119	60	60	+0	open	—	07-27 01:12
will donald trump publicly insult elon musk by june 30 2026	3	$108	110	0	+110	open	—	06-30 17:11
bitcoin up or down january 24 12pm et	15	$100	55	55	+0	open	—	01-24 17:59
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	06-03 13:54
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	4	$99	50	50	+0	open	—	01-08 03:47
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	12	$99	76	40	+36	open	—	05-02 08:35
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	10	$94	52	52	+0	open	—	07-12 03:43
btc updown 5m 1772186700	2	$92	55	54	+1	open	—	02-27 10:10
naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by march 31 2026	6	$78	48	33	+15	open	—	04-01 11:12
will trump talk to mark rutte in march 855	27	$70	80	85	-5	open	—	04-03 03:44
masoud pezeshkian out by march 31	8	$70	36	36	+0	open	—	03-31 21:50
btc updown 15m 1770277500	11	$63	45	25	+20	open	—	02-05 07:56
will gold gc hit high 5000 by end of december 2026	12	$62	107	57	+50	open	—	08-16 07:42
mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	7	$61	25	40	-15	open	—	03-27 02:54
will trump visit china by march 31	21	$60	50	55	-5	open	—	03-18 08:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-17 06:29:24	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x9204cf…
08-16 07:42:34	will gold gc hit high 5000 by end of december 2026	Yes	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x85eae3…
08-15 16:45:57	will gold gc hit high 5000 by end of december 2026	Yes	SELL	16	47¢	$8	0xdfd915…
08-15 01:02:19	will gold gc hit high 5000 by end of december 2026	Yes	BUY	25	43¢	$11	0x491e88…
08-14 09:35:12	iran leadership change by august 15	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x250088…
08-14 09:25:40	iran leadership change by august 15	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x930173…
08-13 17:29:46	will gold gc hit high 5000 by end of december 2026	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x39234b…
08-13 16:58:31	will gold gc hit high 5000 by end of december 2026	Yes	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0xc168b0…
08-13 12:59:15	will gold gc hit high 5000 by end of december 2026	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x97c707…
08-13 03:00:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	40	0¢	$0	0x0614b7…
08-10 22:01:42	will gold gc hit high 5000 by end of december 2026	Yes	SELL	12	47¢	$6	0x0c7801…
08-09 22:21:42	will xauusd dip to 3900 in august 2026	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xa8c322…
08-09 18:54:01	iran leadership change by august 15	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x2a9fec…
08-09 16:38:33	will gold gc hit high 5000 by end of december 2026	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xabaa41…
08-09 05:48:03	iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	No	BUY	9	96¢	$8	0x67a318…
08-09 04:02:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 8 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xc5c43a…
08-08 17:15:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 8 2026	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x1a20ab…
08-08 03:45:51	will xauusd dip to 3500 in august 2026	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x9c2386…
08-05 12:21:50	bitcoin above 58k on august 5 2026	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xbeb822…
08-04 12:48:44	bitcoin above 68k on august 5 2026	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x3c2075…
08-03 06:54:41	Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?	No	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0x819539…
08-03 03:17:21	will gold gc hit high 5000 by end of december 2026	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x64616c…
08-03 03:17:20	will gold gc hit high 5000 by end of december 2026	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x0cc17b…
08-02 22:00:21	will xauusd dip to 3800 in august 2026	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x5b33b8…
08-02 12:17:38	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xf31dd7…
08-02 05:16:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x25f541…
08-02 05:15:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x3dec68…
08-02 05:15:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x1ac5fe…
08-02 05:13:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x9a185d…
08-02 03:47:29	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xba1eac…
08-02 03:47:08	bitcoin above 68k on august 5 2026	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x033c81…
08-01 23:29:42	will trump speak to xi jinping in july 20260626154217426	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xaf03c8…
08-01 18:48:17	will xauusd dip to 3500 in august 2026	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x325c61…
08-01 18:47:59	will xauusd dip to 3600 in august 2026	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x10c8b1…
08-01 18:47:48	will xauusd dip to 3700 in august 2026	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xd35d22…
08-01 18:40:57	bitcoin above 58k on august 5 2026	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x3b4ea6…
08-01 16:11:24	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x886ca5…
08-01 16:07:54	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x294338…
08-01 15:51:39	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x2ce2c6…
08-01 14:05:14	iran leadership change by august 31 669	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x00c410…
08-01 11:46:38	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x3a760e…
08-01 11:40:23	will xauusd dip to 3800 in august 2026	No	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xb198ff…
08-01 11:39:24	will xauusd dip to 3700 in august 2026	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x1a26fe…
08-01 11:39:02	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xe4e0e6…
08-01 11:37:18	will gold gc hit high 5000 by end of december 2026	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x1f619f…
08-01 11:36:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x522593…
08-01 11:34:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xef8ca5…
07-31 14:05:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xc38ee6…
07-30 02:31:36	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xbb895a…
07-29 13:31:45	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3045f8…
07-29 13:25:39	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x248d2b…
07-29 12:55:51	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x1155eb…
07-29 12:49:29	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xbffe35…
07-29 12:46:39	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in july 2026 918	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xc58e96…
07-27 01:21:09	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be above 2t cny 20260722211138918	Yes	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xa73783…
07-27 01:20:13	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be above 1pt5t cny 20260722211138919	Yes	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xc5a248…
07-27 01:14:27	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be above 2pt5t cny 20260722211138917	Yes	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xee0551…
07-27 01:13:58	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be above 2t cny 20260722211138918	Yes	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xfab737…
07-27 01:13:31	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be above 2t cny 20260722211138918	Yes	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x6ca46a…
07-27 01:13:27	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be above 2t cny 20260722211138918	Yes	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x544228…
07-27 01:12:51	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x66e956…
07-27 01:07:48	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be above 1pt5t cny 20260722211138919	Yes	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x64be9f…
07-26 04:09:36	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x220f9c…
07-26 03:59:42	will donald trump publicly insult xi jinping by july 31 2026 20260626210612723	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x852dd9…
07-26 03:57:52	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x9d94c8…
07-26 03:57:49	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0xfe883c…
07-22 05:00:49	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xdc86dc…
07-19 16:49:04	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0xfe68d7…
07-17 10:39:04	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x2b3f6c…
07-17 04:56:13	Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xfffc0b…
07-14 17:01:10	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xa502fd…
07-14 17:00:40	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x0d21fc…
07-12 22:20:04	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xc77030…
07-12 09:35:11	will bitcoin dip to 50k in july 2026 812	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x6c4e4c…
07-12 09:17:17	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0xf21f09…
07-12 03:43:46	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xd6b7e1…
07-12 03:39:40	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa9d891…
07-12 03:33:23	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x6ec878…
07-12 03:32:02	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0x85b4ac…
07-12 03:20:38	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xb498c5…
07-12 03:08:59	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0xcf0d68…
07-12 03:08:58	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	0	79¢	$0	0xdf1ad7…
07-12 03:07:20	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x3dbcf2…
07-12 02:50:08	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0xeb2774…
07-12 02:45:52	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xb9d108…
07-11 15:02:11	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x004ace…
07-10 19:17:26	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0xba43aa…
07-10 17:14:44	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xb6f857…
07-08 16:29:35	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x2b68e1…
07-08 09:17:17	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0x096c37…
07-07 17:22:44	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x59995d…
07-07 14:32:16	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x8b82fd…
07-07 14:29:35	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x58cc12…
07-06 10:57:11	bkfibaqas chi chi2 2026 07 06	China	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x7d16d8…
07-06 09:10:25	Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0xa7ddfa…
07-06 05:33:59	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x3ca1e1…
07-06 05:23:14	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x2be3c8…
07-06 01:34:07	Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$9	0xaff084…
07-06 01:33:50	Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0x8c3f48…
07-05 22:23:38	will bitcoin reach 80k in july 2026	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x29feb5…