Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,719

lifetime

Volume

$8.80K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-03 13:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

57% 100% +$0

Crypto

23% — —

Other

20% 100% +$1

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+10	$7	68¢	$7	$-0	05-31 06:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	301	$1.6K	1,071	1,087	-17	open	—	02-28 15:34
will trump talk to emmanuel macron in january	119	$650	339	394	-55	open	—	01-30 01:08
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	26	$338	172	187	-15	open	—	02-27 16:41
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	26	$310	166	166	+0	open	—	02-05 07:48
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	13	$291	148	148	+0	open	—	02-13 17:16
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	65	$237	155	165	-10	open	—	02-03 03:26
will trump talk to friedrich merz in january	33	$235	120	130	-10	open	—	01-28 17:06
gc hit 5500 high jan 2026	47	$214	126	177	-52	open	—	01-30 02:00
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	46	$204	105	119	-14	open	—	02-02 02:35
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	29	$159	143	65	+78	open	—	04-16 02:37
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	48	$148	196	206	-10	open	—	04-03 02:16
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	20	$135	65	75	-10	open	—	01-23 01:25
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	23	$121	97	97	+0	open	—	04-16 05:37
bitcoin up or down january 24 12pm et	15	$100	55	55	+0	open	—	01-24 17:59
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	06-03 13:54
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	4	$99	50	50	+0	open	—	01-08 03:47
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	12	$99	76	40	+36	open	—	05-02 08:35
btc updown 5m 1772186700	2	$92	55	54	+1	open	—	02-27 10:10
naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by march 31 2026	6	$78	48	33	+15	open	—	04-01 11:12
will trump talk to mark rutte in march 855	27	$70	80	85	-5	open	—	04-03 03:44
masoud pezeshkian out by march 31	8	$70	36	36	+0	open	—	03-31 21:50
btc updown 15m 1770277500	11	$63	45	25	+20	open	—	02-05 07:56
mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	7	$61	25	40	-15	open	—	03-27 02:54
will trump visit china by march 31	21	$60	50	55	-5	open	—	03-18 08:10
bitboy convicted	30	$59	70	60	+10	open	—	03-31 16:16
gc hit 6000 high jan 2026	11	$57	25	35	-10	open	—	01-29 15:39
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?	6	$56	30	30	+0	Yes	+$0	01-27 15:55
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 8 2026 26c	5	$55	26	31	-5	open	—	04-08 09:37
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	18	$55	45	45	+0	open	—	04-03 15:48
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	10	$52	35	40	-5	open	—	01-30 02:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 13:54:32	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe7dc9d…
05-31 06:21:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x31b98c…
05-30 05:05:26	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Elon Musk by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x20500f…
05-02 08:35:02	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x60f232…
04-16 05:37:28	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xf59cd7…
04-16 02:37:16	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xd7381c…
04-16 01:42:02	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x9cbc8d…
04-16 01:41:52	Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x42b8c8…
04-16 01:40:54	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xdac766…
04-16 01:39:28	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x3704de…
04-15 08:32:18	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0x1dc92f…
04-15 06:17:20	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0x0903a4…
04-15 02:24:52	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	11	84¢	$9	0xca23d2…
04-15 02:23:50	btc updown 5m 1776219600	Up	SELL	6	27¢	$2	0x99e9a7…
04-15 02:21:08	btc updown 5m 1776219600	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x86256b…
04-15 02:12:44	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0xc47b3e…
04-14 08:11:35	btc updown 5m 1776154200	Up	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0x2a034f…
04-14 08:10:49	btc updown 5m 1776154200	Up	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x8ddeb6…
04-14 06:06:09	us forces seize another oil tanker by april 15	Yes	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x53c93c…
04-14 05:59:05	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xa28b36…
04-14 05:36:59	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 4pt5 and 5pt0	Yes	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xdca868…
04-13 10:13:39	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xd99b6b…
04-13 10:12:41	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x152d80…
04-13 10:11:39	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xc6aa1e…
04-13 10:09:53	Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x5dfbdb…
04-10 09:40:59	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 4pt5 and 5pt0	Yes	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0x586401…
04-10 06:49:03	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xaf53f1…
04-10 02:33:47	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 4pt5 and 5pt0	Yes	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x2e9c9d…
04-10 01:24:01	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x892166…
04-09 12:07:11	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0xf76bcd…
04-09 08:52:57	btc updown 5m 1775724600	Up	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0xdd2627…
04-09 08:52:27	btc updown 5m 1775724600	Up	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xdfc67b…
04-09 08:51:23	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x51732a…
04-09 08:47:57	btc updown 5m 1775724300	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x744c2f…
04-09 08:40:09	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	15	78¢	$12	0x063491…
04-09 08:17:41	btc updown 5m 1775722500	Up	SELL	6	24¢	$1	0x0f5677…
04-09 08:17:33	btc updown 5m 1775722500	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x6dd154…
04-09 07:13:07	Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc31bcf…
04-09 07:12:53	Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0b62a4…
04-09 06:50:55	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	19	77¢	$15	0x930682…
04-09 06:10:03	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x76054a…
04-09 06:09:59	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xdc15d1…
04-09 04:30:23	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xd3a7d8…
04-09 03:52:33	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xa20dd1…
04-09 03:45:23	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xadfb1d…
04-09 02:23:41	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x8cbe75…
04-09 01:24:55	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xd3f7cb…
04-08 14:20:37	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 4pt5 and 5pt0	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xc3c84f…
04-08 12:44:55	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xecbc10…
04-08 11:15:41	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0xe2e635…
04-08 10:01:27	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xca18df…
04-08 09:49:35	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xe30dd9…
04-08 09:37:31	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 8 2026 26c	Yes	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0x0eea56…
04-08 09:07:35	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 8 2026 26c	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x9234ca…
04-08 09:03:09	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 8 2026 26c	Yes	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x885774…
04-08 08:30:17	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 8 2026 26c	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x293012…
04-08 08:10:53	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 8 2026 26c	Yes	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x799622…
04-08 07:26:49	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 8 2026 27c	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x9d8997…
04-08 07:17:35	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	Yes	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0xd513e2…
04-08 06:42:55	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 4pt5 and 5pt0	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x937443…
04-08 06:10:19	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 8 2026 27c	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc5fb12…
04-08 06:06:51	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 8 2026 27c	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x8562ba…
04-08 03:33:05	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	SELL	18	87¢	$16	0x32adea…
04-08 03:08:45	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x59ab19…
04-08 02:54:13	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	SELL	12	86¢	$11	0x9a71c8…
04-08 02:16:31	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	12	86¢	$11	0x2c041f…
04-08 02:15:59	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0x471bed…
04-08 02:15:41	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x40efc6…
04-08 02:15:25	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x21235b…
04-08 02:13:39	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf69b9d…
04-07 16:49:01	Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x37a008…
04-07 16:21:45	Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	88¢	$3	0xa50280…
04-07 08:46:33	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 7 2026 30c	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x35f422…
04-07 08:45:25	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xda0cb7…
04-07 08:44:13	US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?	Yes	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x26eb70…
04-07 08:44:03	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xbed393…
04-07 08:43:43	will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x4eea1f…
04-07 08:43:13	Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	15	92¢	$14	0x9441d8…
04-07 05:35:37	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 7 2026 30c	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x5899fb…
04-05 10:52:05	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x5dc8c1…
04-05 07:14:27	Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x07f04e…
04-05 02:12:13	us forces seize another oil tanker by april 15	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x143985…
04-04 14:29:15	Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x66d8e8…
04-04 05:16:01	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 70% by June 30?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x8f7678…
04-03 15:48:39	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0xb9f36b…
04-03 15:48:05	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xf0db97…
04-03 14:46:49	us forces seize another oil tanker by april 15	Yes	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0x39e581…
04-03 13:36:57	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xfa6dbb…
04-03 13:14:35	us forces seize another oil tanker by april 15	Yes	BUY	3	16¢	$0	0x422a97…
04-03 12:08:01	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x8b5737…
04-03 08:42:33	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xf958fb…
04-03 07:48:33	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 4pt5 and 5pt0	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xcbdc49…
04-03 06:12:11	will trump talk to mohammed bin salman in march 915	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x145042…
04-03 06:08:39	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xa674c1…
04-03 05:56:41	us forces seize another oil tanker by april 15	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x0393a0…
04-03 05:28:47	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbe77d8…
04-03 04:56:29	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 4pt5 and 5pt0	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x84d3e1…
04-03 04:10:21	will trump talk to mohammed bin salman in march 915	Yes	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xecadfc…
04-03 04:01:23	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x5309b8…
04-03 03:55:35	will trump talk to mohammed bin salman in march 915	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe102a7…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	114	$26.2K	5,427	06-01 12:04
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	107	$56.2K	19,955	04-26 14:39
(anonymous) 0xd0d6…93aa	100	$327.4K	26,959	03-02 10:11
(anonymous) 0xa3d0…ec04	100	$3.90K	616	04-15 02:23
(anonymous) 0x113d…3ce8	99	$96.5K	5,833	03-02 10:13
(anonymous) 0xb9fc…da76	98	$24.7K	5,617	03-02 10:12
(anonymous) 0x09ae…55bc	98	$2.97K	274	04-15 02:21
(anonymous) 0x5487…a014	97	$29.6K	5,278	03-02 10:11