Criminal-Causal 0xa18d95…8ab16a Create alert
whale cold 5W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$2.61K
Unrealized P&L
-$79
Hit rate
87.9%
Resolved
586
Trades
7,893
lifetime
Volume
$347.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$44
Open exposure
$1.97K
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-05 03:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 159 days
Categories
Other
53% 86% +$284
Politics
42% 80% -$2,887
Sports
3% 77% +$171
Tech
2% 86% -$468
Crypto
0% 100% +$287
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 97 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -445 -$406 98¢ $-434 -$29 06-15 06:25
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No -275 -$259 98¢ $-270 -$11 06-15 06:22
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -195 -$181 99¢ $-194 -$13 06-06 08:56
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No -162 -$156 99¢ $-160 -$4 06-15 06:23
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -135 -$121 98¢ $-132 -$11 05-06 08:23
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +125 $104 97¢ $121 +$17 09-15 18:10
Will Venezuela become 51st state? No -106 -$102 99¢ $-105 -$3 05-21 16:47
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? No +107 $93 97¢ $103 +$10 09-08 18:29
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +221 $110 46¢ $101 -$10 11-05 03:26
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? No -95 -$90 96¢ $-91 -$1 06-15 06:23
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +235 $58 30¢ $72 +$14 11-04 08:28
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -66 -$61 99¢ $-65 -$4 05-26 02:47
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -33 -$31 98¢ $-33 -$1 05-26 02:44
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +258 $76 12¢ $32 -$44 11-03 07:09
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No -32 -$29 98¢ $-31 -$2 05-01 04:48
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -8 -$9 97¢ $-8 +$2 05-23 14:14
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -7 -$7 98¢ $-7 $0 05-22 10:31
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027? No -6 -$5 85¢ $-5 +$1 05-26 02:45
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -5 -$15 88¢ $-4 +$10 09-22 15:53
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -2 -$2 100¢ $-2 $0 05-01 04:30