Criminal-Causal 0xa18d95…8ab16a
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$379
Unrealized P&L
-$219
Hit rate
79.4%
Resolved
13
Trades
6,557
lifetime
Volume
$304.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$46
Open exposure
$3.92K
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-24 20:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Other
53% 100% +$23
Politics
43% 83% $-409
Sports
2% 60% +$7
Tech
2% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 113 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -1,112 $-1,059 96¢ $-1067 $-8 06-14 16:22
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No -886 $-878 100¢ $-886 $-8 06-08 02:43
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -467 $-420 92¢ $-427 $-7 06-15 06:25
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +419 $229 100¢ $418 +$189 06-19 18:35
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No -275 $-259 96¢ $-263 $-4 06-15 06:22
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -263 $-232 86¢ $-228 +$4 06-15 06:27
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -200 $-196 100¢ $-200 $-4 06-11 12:39
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No -162 $-156 97¢ $-157 $-1 06-15 06:23
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -115 $-108 95¢ $-110 $-1 06-06 08:56
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? No -95 $-90 96¢ $-91 $-1 06-15 06:23
Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2027? No -44 $-42 97¢ $-43 $-1 06-05 01:22
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No -23 $-22 96¢ $-22 $-0 06-14 09:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +1,466 $181 0¢ $7 $-174 06-24 17:05
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +685 $205 0¢ $2 $-204 06-19 19:52