Bowed-Warrior 0xa211d5…61657f
← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$70
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
136
lifetime
Volume
$3.83K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$28
Open exposure
$333
12 positions
First seen
2026-04-14
last 05-31 19:28
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Tech
77% — —
Other
18% — —
Politics
3% — —
Crypto
2% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam? Yes -100 $-23 84¢ $-84 $-60 05-30 03:48
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? Yes -100 $-82 82¢ $-82 +$0 05-28 06:58
Will Cursor be acquired before 2027? Yes -50 $-44 88¢ $-44 $-0 05-28 01:35
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? Yes -28 $-14 100¢ $-28 $-14 05-31 19:22
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027? Yes -450 $-17 5¢ $-22 $-4 05-28 03:30
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? Yes -20 $-17 99¢ $-20 $-3 05-28 03:30
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes -40 $-26 49¢ $-20 +$6 05-31 19:22
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Yes -20 $-14 96¢ $-19 $-5 05-28 04:30
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? Yes -20 $-13 34¢ $-7 +$6 05-28 06:44
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? Yes -10 $-5 54¢ $-5 $-0 05-28 06:57
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? Yes -40 $-3 5¢ $-2 +$1 05-28 07:28
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026? Yes -45 $-4 1¢ $-0 +$3 05-28 07:28