(anonymous) 0xa25ec8…2b2dd7
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$649
Unrealized P&L
+$31
Hit rate
55.9%
Resolved
741
Trades
1,917
lifetime
Volume
$6.99K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$203
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-14
last 10-27 07:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 94 days
Categories
Other
85% 32% -$705
Politics
13% 50% +$55
Tech
1% — —
Crypto
0% 50% +$0
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? Yes +14 $10 98¢ $14 +$4 10-02 15:37
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +53 $15 26¢ $14 -$1 10-24 11:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +15 $12 88¢ $13 +$1 10-02 15:37
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +10 $8 86¢ $9 +$1 10-02 15:37
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +39 $6 22¢ $9 +$3 10-19 21:56
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +27 $6 32¢ $8 +$2 10-26 18:38
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +125 $4 6¢ $8 +$4 09-27 19:07
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +10 $6 72¢ $7 +$2 10-18 22:31
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +10 $6 72¢ $7 +$2 10-18 09:15
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? No +14 $5 52¢ $7 +$2 10-01 18:23
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +30 $6 24¢ $7 +$1 10-24 06:59
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +21 $6 32¢ $7 +$1 10-26 21:00
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +25 $7 26¢ $7 $0 10-23 18:25
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? No +16 $6 40¢ $6 +$0 10-17 01:56
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? No +25 $6 24¢ $6 +$0 10-12 14:48
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? No +10 $6 58¢ $6 +$0 10-24 22:07
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +20 $6 30¢ $6 -$1 10-26 21:06
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +18 $6 30¢ $5 $0 10-20 02:32
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +29 $6 18¢ $5 $0 10-16 11:09
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +5 $2 98¢ $5 +$3 09-27 18:39
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +15 $6 32¢ $5 -$1 10-26 13:58
US recession by end of 2026? No +5 $5 92¢ $5 +$0 10-01 17:50
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? No +83 $6 6¢ $5 -$1 10-26 19:26
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +5 $4 96¢ $5 +$1 10-05 13:17
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) No +5 $4 95¢ $5 +$1 10-07 12:01
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +5 $4 93¢ $5 +$0 10-24 22:14
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +13 $5 34¢ $5 $0 10-01 18:16
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? Yes +5 $4 90¢ $4 +$1 10-18 18:10
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +5 -$2 89¢ $4 +$6 10-22 12:39
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 88¢ $4 +$1 10-05 17:11