Realized P&L (30d)
—
Unrealized P&L
+$167
Hit rate
—
Resolved (30d)
0
Trades (30d)
0
1,026 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$0
$15.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$49
5 positions
First seen
2026-02-27
last 05-23 09:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 73 days
Categories
Crypto
38%
39%
-$462
Politics
32%
40%
+$1,203
Other
29%
23%
-$70
Sports
0%
17%
-$15
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-23).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | -194 | -$97 | 12¢ | $-22 | +$75 | 05-23 09:27 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | -201 | -$78 | 8¢ | $-17 | +$61 | 05-23 09:27 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | -148 | -$4 | 3¢ | $-5 | -$1 | 05-23 09:27 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | -62 | -$18 | 4¢ | $-2 | +$15 | 05-23 09:27 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | -80 | -$18 | 3¢ | $-2 | +$16 | 05-23 09:27 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | 12 | $1.7K | 11,119 | 11,119 | +0 | open | — | 05-23 09:27 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 6 | $1.7K | 1,272 | 1,272 | +0 | Yes | -$10 | 05-23 09:27 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | 5 | $1.4K | 1,310 | 1,310 | +0 | Yes | +$1,254 | 05-09 05:08 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | 4 | $1.2K | 827 | 827 | +0 | Yes | -$16 | 05-11 21:26 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | 6 | $764 | 2,596 | 2,744 | -148 | open | — | 05-23 09:27 |
| BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-12 16:00 UTC | 12 | $608 | 738 | 727 | +10 | Up | +$14 | 03-12 19:53 |
| bitcoin up or down march 12 12pm et | 17 | $606 | 695 | 686 | +9 | Up | +$99 | 03-12 16:51 |
| Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | 2 | $606 | 1,673 | 1,673 | +0 | open | — | 05-12 21:03 |
| BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-13 12:00 UTC | 15 | $519 | 1,004 | 996 | +8 | Down | -$157 | 03-13 16:00 |
| will uae strike iran by march 31 | 5 | $456 | 247 | 247 | +0 | No | +$28 | 03-30 17:22 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 16:05 UTC | 6 | $236 | 262 | 92 | +170 | Up | -$100 | 03-13 16:11 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881 | 4 | $223 | 171 | 171 | +0 | No | +$1 | 03-30 14:09 |
| will bitcoin reach 72k on march 12 | 4 | $198 | 131 | 130 | +1 | Yes | -$24 | 03-12 18:33 |
| Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? | 3 | $180 | 405 | 203 | +203 | Yes | +$83 | 05-14 03:15 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | 2 | $180 | 164 | 164 | +0 | Yes | -$20 | 03-13 19:11 |
| BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 16:00 UTC | 5 | $166 | 384 | 131 | +253 | Down | +$28 | 03-12 16:08 |
| BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 14:30 UTC | 9 | $155 | 188 | 111 | +77 | Down | -$19 | 03-13 14:35 |
| BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 14:45 UTC | 10 | $150 | 177 | 175 | +2 | Down | -$19 | 03-13 15:00 |
| will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773 | 3 | $134 | 76 | 76 | +0 | No | +$14 | 03-30 07:20 |
| BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 19:00 UTC | 9 | $134 | 165 | 163 | +2 | Up | +$14 | 03-12 19:11 |
| BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 15:00 UTC | 9 | $118 | 112 | 111 | +2 | Up | -$2 | 03-13 15:15 |
| BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-12 20:00 UTC | 5 | $110 | 120 | 118 | +1 | Up | +$31 | 03-12 23:07 |
| BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 14:15 UTC | 10 | $107 | 247 | 94 | +153 | Up | -$32 | 03-13 14:23 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | 1 | $97 | 0 | 194 | -194 | open | — | 05-23 09:27 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 15:40 UTC | 5 | $96 | 56 | 56 | +0 | Down | +$16 | 03-13 15:46 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | 2 | $94 | 294 | 294 | -0 | open | — | 05-14 22:12 |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | 3 | $92 | 1,075 | 1,075 | +0 | open | — | 05-14 21:33 |
| will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31 | 10 | $84 | 4,651 | 146 | +4,505 | Yes | -$8 | 03-24 21:12 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | 1 | $78 | 0 | 201 | -201 | open | — | 05-23 09:27 |
| BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 20:00 UTC | 8 | $73 | 91 | 55 | +36 | Down | -$16 | 03-12 20:10 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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