(anonymous) 0xb055d6…ff92c6
new
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$0
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
75.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
41
lifetime
Volume
$83
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$58
20 positions
First seen
2026-10-27
last 10-31 13:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
72% 0% -$1
Other
23% 100% +$1
Tech
4% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +15 $10 72¢ $11 +$1 10-27 20:07
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +9 $7 62¢ $6 -$1 10-27 20:14
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? No +5 $2 82¢ $4 +$2 10-27 21:04
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? Yes +6 $4 68¢ $4 +$0 10-29 22:10
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +8 $3 46¢ $4 +$0 10-27 20:43
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +11 $6 35¢ $4 -$2 10-27 20:06
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +4 $3 80¢ $3 +$0 10-31 13:30
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +4 $3 72¢ $3 +$0 10-28 13:29
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +4 $3 82¢ $3 +$0 10-30 19:21
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +5 $2 54¢ $3 +$1 10-27 20:17
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +10 $3 26¢ $3 $0 10-27 20:33
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +5 $2 38¢ $2 $0 10-29 11:57
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $2 57¢ $2 $0 10-27 20:28
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +4 $1 24¢ $1 +$0 10-31 13:21
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 60¢ $1 +$0 10-30 20:34
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 10-30 20:36
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 10-27 20:28
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 $0 10-30 20:35
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +1 $1 66¢ $1 $0 10-28 11:10
Will US annex any territory in 2026? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 $0 10-30 19:21