Realized P&L
-$974
Unrealized P&L
-$171
Hit rate
53.7%
Resolved
98
Trades
928
lifetime
Volume
$26.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$28
Open exposure
$4.17K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-09 01:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 70 days
Categories
Other
47% 41% +$261
Politics
32% 42% +$145
Crypto
15% 8% -$1,598
Sports
5% 48% +$146
Tech
1% 100% +$72
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +950 $498 88¢ $841 +$343 09-14 22:40
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No -911 -$484 90¢ $-824 -$341 08-21 01:21
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? No +371 $162 94¢ $351 +$189 09-09 21:39
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +300 $213 92¢ $278 +$64 08-31 06:14
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +200 $166 92¢ $183 +$17 09-15 23:07
ilhan omar federally charged by december 31 2026 No +215 $145 82¢ $177 +$32 10-22 02:59
will bitcoin dip to 70000 by december 31 2026 from august 24 No +382 $211 44¢ $168 -$43 11-07 19:45
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No +170 $118 96¢ $163 +$45 05-23 19:54
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +200 $125 64¢ $128 +$4 11-07 13:26
Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -3,200 -$141 4¢ $-114 +$27 11-07 07:47
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $80 98¢ $98 +$18 06-02 08:33
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $59 94¢ $94 +$34 05-24 04:34
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +100 $86 94¢ $94 +$8 10-07 13:04
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +400 $14 19¢ $75 +$61 06-03 05:12
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +80 $45 80¢ $64 +$18 09-27 19:45
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? Yes +2,196 $594 3¢ $61 -$533 10-24 21:21
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? Yes +250 $58 24¢ $59 +$2 11-09 01:43
Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +62 $57 92¢ $57 +$1 11-08 21:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? No +60 $50 82¢ $49 -$1 10-16 16:56
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of 2026? Yes +166 $13 27¢ $46 +$32 09-12 19:02
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +1,400 $121 2¢ $35 -$86 10-02 13:44
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +600 $25 6¢ $33 +$8 05-21 09:04
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of 2026? Yes +219 $25 15¢ $33 +$8 09-29 21:03
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,200 $28 3¢ $32 +$4 07-12 08:47
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +300 $57 10¢ $28 -$28 10-16 08:21
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2,500 $20 1¢ $26 +$6 07-14 12:25
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2,203 $18 1¢ $19 +$1 07-12 16:01
Will the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? Yes +300 $11 5¢ $15 +$4 09-07 00:06
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +630 $60 2¢ $15 -$45 09-29 00:20
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? Yes +150 $36 9¢ $14 -$22 10-24 21:04