Realized P&L (30d)
-$65
Unrealized P&L
-$100
Hit rate
70.6%
Resolved (30d)
14
Trades (30d)
91
921 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$1.65K
$26.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$28
Open exposure
$4.05K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-07 07:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 70 days
Categories
Other
48% 41% +$261
Politics
31% 42% +$145
Crypto
15% 8% -$1,598
Sports
5% 48% +$146
Tech
1% 100% +$72
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +950 $498 88¢ $841 +$343 09-14 22:40
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No -911 -$484 90¢ $-815 -$332 08-21 01:21
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? No +371 $162 92¢ $340 +$178 09-09 21:39
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +300 $213 92¢ $278 +$64 08-31 06:14
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +200 $166 90¢ $179 +$13 09-15 23:07
ilhan omar federally charged by december 31 2026 No +215 $145 78¢ $169 +$24 10-22 02:59
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No +170 $118 97¢ $165 +$47 05-23 19:54
will bitcoin dip to 70000 by december 31 2026 from august 24 No +297 $173 50¢ $147 -$25 11-07 06:39
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +200 $125 63¢ $126 +$1 11-07 13:26
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $80 98¢ $98 +$18 06-02 08:33
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $59 94¢ $94 +$36 05-24 04:34
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +100 $86 91¢ $91 +$5 10-07 13:04
Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -3,200 -$141 3¢ $-90 +$51 11-07 07:47
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? Yes +2,196 $594 4¢ $85 -$510 10-24 21:21
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +400 $14 18¢ $72 +$58 06-03 05:12
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +80 $45 75¢ $60 +$15 09-27 19:45
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? No +60 $50 82¢ $50 $0 10-16 16:56
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of 2026? Yes +219 $25 21¢ $46 +$21 09-29 21:03
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +1,400 $121 3¢ $43 -$78 10-02 13:44
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2,500 $20 2¢ $42 +$22 07-14 12:25
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of 2026? Yes +166 $13 21¢ $35 +$22 09-12 19:02
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +300 $57 11¢ $32 -$25 10-16 08:21
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +600 $25 5¢ $30 +$5 05-21 09:04
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,200 $28 2¢ $29 +$2 07-12 08:47
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +630 $60 4¢ $28 -$32 09-29 00:20
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2,203 $18 1¢ $17 -$1 07-12 16:01
Will the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? Yes +300 $11 5¢ $15 +$4 09-07 00:06
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? Yes +150 $36 9¢ $14 -$22 10-24 21:04
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -300 -$8 4¢ $-12 -$3 06-01 22:09
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No +10 $8 98¢ $10 +$1 05-28 04:05