Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
38
lifetime
Volume
$326
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$231
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-30
last 06-17 02:00
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
55%
Politics
39%
Crypto
5%
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x China Military clash before 2027? No +54 $50 92¢ $50 $-0 06-17 01:57
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +43 $40 94¢ $40 +$0 06-17 01:57
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +33 $30 91¢ $30 $-0 06-03 02:42
Trump out as President before 2027? No +33 $30 90¢ $30 $-0 06-17 01:57
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +16 $13 81¢ $13 $-0 06-17 01:58
Trump out as President by June 30? No -10 $-10 100¢ $-10 $-0 06-03 02:35
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +11 $10 92¢ $10 +$0 06-17 02:00
EU dissolves before 2027? No -10 $-10 97¢ $-10 $-0 06-17 01:54
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? No +11 $10 86¢ $10 $-0 06-17 01:59
NATO dissolves before 2027? No -7 $-7 96¢ $-7 $-0 06-17 01:55
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No -5 $-5 99¢ $-5 $-0 06-17 01:54
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 87¢ $5 $-0 06-17 01:58
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 84¢ $5 $-0 06-03 02:37
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? No -3 $-3 98¢ $-3 $-0 06-17 01:55
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +4 $3 78¢ $3 $-0 06-03 02:38
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +4 $2 36¢ $1 $-1 06-03 02:38