Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
40
lifetime
Volume
$332
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$228
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-30
last 06-30 07:16
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
54%
Politics
40%
Crypto
5%
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x China Military clash before 2027? No +54 $50 96¢ $51 +$1 06-17 01:57
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +43 $40 94¢ $40 +$0 06-17 01:57
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +33 $30 95¢ $31 +$1 06-03 02:42
Trump out as President before 2027? No +33 $30 92¢ $30 +$0 06-17 01:57
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +16 $13 86¢ $14 +$1 06-17 01:58
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? No +11 $10 90¢ $10 +$0 06-17 01:59
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +11 $10 94¢ $10 +$0 06-17 02:00
EU dissolves before 2027? No -10 $-10 97¢ $-10 $-0 06-17 01:54
NATO dissolves before 2027? No -7 $-7 99¢ $-7 $-0 06-17 01:55
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 92¢ $5 +$0 06-30 07:15
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 91¢ $5 $-0 06-03 02:37
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 82¢ $5 $-0 06-17 01:58
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? No -3 $-3 96¢ $-3 +$0 06-17 01:55
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +4 $3 82¢ $3 $-0 06-03 02:38
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +4 $2 70¢ $3 +$1 06-03 02:38