Kaleidoscopic-Driver — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

121

lifetime

Volume

$1.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 08-12 10:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

42% 100% +$3

Other

38% — —

Sports

11% 100% +$0

Politics

9% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 180 199	3	$103	52	52	+0	open	—	03-03 04:38
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	4	$95	49	48	+0	open	—	05-30 05:18
will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	2	$87	45	44	+0	open	—	06-19 08:09
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	2	$82	42	42	+0	open	—	08-03 09:13
will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in june 2026	4	$74	37	37	+0	open	—	06-19 08:19
Netanyahu out by June 30?	2	$72	36	36	+0	open	—	06-29 08:36
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	3	$71	36	36	+0	open	—	06-05 10:21
Iran leadership change by April 30?	3	$62	34	33	+1	open	—	04-16 08:31
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$50	29	24	+6	No	+$0	04-28 03:15
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	3	$43	16	36	-20	open	—	04-28 03:13
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$41	22	21	+0	open	—	03-09 15:30
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	5	$35	22	19	+3	open	—	04-06 15:38
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	3	$33	18	17	+0	open	—	03-29 11:21
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	3	$32	19	18	+1	open	—	06-13 02:23
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	2	$30	17	16	+0	open	—	03-18 01:47
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	2	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	05-13 01:39
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$29	15	14	+0	open	—	04-10 04:05
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	3	$25	15	15	+0	open	—	05-21 02:12
will ethereum dip to 1600 in july 2026 from july 6	3	$24	15	15	+0	open	—	07-27 01:57
will ethereum dip to 1500 in august 2026	2	$23	13	13	+0	open	—	08-08 00:39
will ethereum dip to 1700 in july 2026 from july 6	2	$22	13	12	+1	open	—	07-27 01:57
will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	2	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	06-19 07:57
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	1	$22	27	0	+27	open	—	03-29 11:46
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$20	11	10	+0	open	—	04-21 01:38
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	15	14	+0	open	—	08-12 09:35
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	03-29 11:21
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$19	10	9	+1	open	—	03-21 01:52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	1	$19	25	0	+25	open	—	05-13 01:42
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	1	$18	20	0	+20	open	—	03-13 05:02
will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	2	$18	10	9	+1	open	—	06-13 02:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 10:06:58	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	57¢	$5	0x2448fb…
08-12 09:35:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	14	65¢	$9	0x41df5d…
08-08 06:51:51	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	Yes	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0xaf3d3d…
08-08 05:47:31	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	Yes	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x196f74…
08-08 00:57:22	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	Yes	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x42bf87…
08-08 00:48:25	will bitcoin dip to 60k in august 2026	No	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xebf8d5…
08-08 00:45:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xde2eb8…
08-08 00:44:07	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x095e55…
08-08 00:42:13	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0xff114c…
08-08 00:41:54	will xauusd dip to 3800 in august 2026	No	SELL	8	96¢	$7	0x6d45e6…
08-08 00:40:36	will ethereum dip to 1250 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0x594b32…
08-08 00:39:54	will ethereum dip to 1500 in august 2026	No	SELL	13	94¢	$12	0xee1020…
08-03 14:35:14	will ethereum dip to 1250 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	0	77¢	$0	0x4c6ed9…
08-03 14:22:57	will ethereum dip to 1250 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	11	77¢	$8	0xc54b35…
08-03 14:21:36	will ethereum dip to 1250 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x912d62…
08-03 09:35:44	will xauusd dip to 3800 in august 2026	No	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0xebb3ea…
08-03 09:16:18	will ethereum dip to 1500 in august 2026	No	BUY	13	84¢	$11	0x0f2d33…
08-03 09:14:57	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x802d0c…
08-03 09:13:35	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	42	98¢	$41	0xe5cbcc…
08-03 09:13:12	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0x6660da…
07-27 01:57:51	will ethereum dip to 1600 in july 2026 from july 6	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x9016e3…
07-27 01:57:40	will ethereum dip to 1700 in july 2026 from july 6	No	SELL	12	93¢	$11	0x41580f…
07-21 09:14:51	will ethereum dip to 1700 in july 2026 from july 6	No	BUY	13	87¢	$11	0x3b3bc7…
07-21 09:14:33	will ethereum dip to 1500 in july 2026 446 668	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x4b69c8…
07-17 06:03:33	will xauusd dip to 3800 in july 2026	No	BUY	13	87¢	$11	0x573d3b…
07-17 03:58:37	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x87df82…
07-17 03:58:00	will ethereum dip to 1500 in july 2026 446 668	No	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0xc17e05…
07-17 03:57:46	will ethereum dip to 1600 in july 2026 from july 6	No	SELL	13	84¢	$11	0xf11def…
07-13 16:52:58	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xc2160f…
07-13 02:17:19	will ethereum dip to 1500 in july 2026 446 668	No	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x3cbd44…
07-13 02:16:53	will ethereum dip to 1600 in july 2026 from july 6	No	BUY	15	72¢	$11	0x6543b4…
07-13 02:14:40	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0x67a292…
06-29 08:36:14	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x5bcbcb…
06-29 08:35:29	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xaaa4af…
06-19 09:32:16	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	44¢	$12	0x5def85…
06-19 09:12:05	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	No	BUY	13	87¢	$11	0x360b5e…
06-19 08:19:02	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xe7a53d…
06-19 08:17:40	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xdfeb42…
06-19 08:17:14	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x312c37…
06-19 08:14:35	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0x351ee1…
06-19 08:13:58	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x05fd61…
06-19 08:09:07	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	No	SELL	44	98¢	$43	0x17dbe8…
06-19 08:08:02	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x0abe5b…
06-19 07:57:26	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	12	97¢	$11	0x9c496e…
06-13 06:52:13	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x918b6b…
06-13 03:02:19	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x0c1a56…
06-13 02:23:31	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0x6b2a96…
06-13 02:22:42	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0x9901d8…
06-13 02:22:22	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0x5bce95…
06-13 02:21:58	will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	No	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0xf6dfa9…
06-05 10:36:01	will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xe76d62…
06-05 10:26:16	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x51ca27…
06-05 10:21:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x0f0df4…
06-05 10:20:33	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x1a89b6…
06-05 10:19:36	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0x66a62a…
06-05 10:19:09	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0x5b0c89…
05-30 05:19:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	19	86¢	$16	0xd54daa…
05-30 05:18:22	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xf4060c…
05-30 05:18:11	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xa8eaa7…
05-30 05:17:47	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xf1eebc…
05-21 02:12:56	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	23	91¢	$21	0x6a3952…
05-21 02:12:35	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$8	0xceaa6e…
05-13 01:42:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	25	75¢	$19	0x549e52…
05-13 01:41:04	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x825de3…
05-13 01:39:36	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$14	0x82311d…
05-05 07:17:16	Billions FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x17cdce…
05-05 03:03:26	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	15	76¢	$11	0xa7508a…
05-05 03:01:58	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x20e3e5…
04-28 05:14:26	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$4	0xab31be…
04-28 03:22:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x33bd61…
04-28 03:16:56	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0x206e7e…
04-28 03:15:44	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x11330d…
04-28 03:13:52	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	6	93¢	$5	0xd5501a…
04-28 03:13:04	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0xfc5b98…
04-21 01:38:56	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xbd9cc6…
04-21 01:38:26	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	16	90¢	$14	0xb884cd…
04-16 08:36:46	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	11	96¢	$10	0x5a3ab7…
04-16 08:35:34	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xcf3e63…
04-16 08:34:52	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x68572c…
04-16 08:31:02	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	SELL	33	93¢	$31	0x7eb2fd…
04-10 04:06:13	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	BUY	16	88¢	$14	0xa835f2…
04-10 04:05:41	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	14	97¢	$14	0x846a22…
04-06 15:43:53	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0xa7189a…
04-06 15:39:27	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	BUY	18	91¢	$16	0x067c31…
04-06 15:39:19	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x401685…
04-06 15:38:17	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x2ca9c9…
03-31 23:55:33	Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	BUY	17	84¢	$14	0xfdbc11…
03-31 23:55:21	Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xeae095…
03-29 11:46:02	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	27	80¢	$22	0x8a9f07…
03-29 11:21:48	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xddbc46…
03-29 11:21:26	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xa4f48e…
03-25 09:14:43	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x04f481…
03-25 09:14:33	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xb6ba5c…
03-25 09:13:59	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x7df38e…
03-21 02:18:03	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x694d46…
03-21 02:11:01	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x1aa90a…
03-21 01:52:13	Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0xb4197a…
03-18 02:23:05	Katana FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x0ca65d…
03-18 01:47:09	will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	No	SELL	16	88¢	$15	0x5518db…
03-18 01:44:49	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	9	87¢	$8	0xbbeeb3…