Realized P&L (90d)
-$0
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
85.7%
Resolved (90d)
7
Trades (90d)
86
86 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$76
$76 lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$37
11 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 20:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Crypto
68% 71% $-0
Politics
27%
Other
5%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 72 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? No -19 $-17 94¢ $-18 $-0 05-05 12:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2PM ET Up +8 $7 100¢ $8 +$1 05-05 18:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Yes +19 $3 14¢ $3 +$0 05-05 17:22
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Down +2 $2 90¢ $2 $-0 05-05 19:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET Up +2 $1 100¢ $2 +$0 05-05 19:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 05-05 20:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 05-05 19:18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 05-05 20:07
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET Down -1 $-0 100¢ $-1 $-0 05-05 19:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down -1 $-1 38¢ $-1 $-0 05-05 19:58
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? Yes +6 $4 $0 $-4 05-05 16:37