Willing-Grove — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$47

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.2%

Resolved

Trades

374

lifetime

Volume

$8.50K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 08-08 09:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

42% 43% $-47

Other

36% — —

Politics

22% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	5	$1.3K	800	800	+0	open	—	07-01 01:28
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	28	$727	1,610	0	+1,610	open	—	07-14 14:56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$518	700	0	+700	open	—	05-26 14:30
Fed rate hike in 2026?	2	$472	0	1,000	-1,000	open	—	07-07 11:47
Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?	3	$420	328	328	+0	open	—	05-28 16:15
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	2	$309	300	300	+0	open	—	06-01 08:45
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	2	$269	150	150	+0	open	—	05-28 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$267	173	173	+0	Down	+$67	05-13 16:53
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev	1	$228	0	259	-259	open	—	06-02 13:55
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	4	$212	570	270	+300	open	—	06-21 11:07
trump declassifies new ufo files by july 15	8	$211	1,300	0	+1,300	open	—	07-10 11:10
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	8	$185	658	8	+650	open	—	07-14 23:56
another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	5	$166	200	200	+0	open	—	08-08 03:00
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	2	$125	100	100	+0	open	—	08-02 17:55
will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	3	$121	70	70	+0	open	—	07-31 17:09
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	1	$100	132	0	+132	open	—	05-14 06:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	1	$100	110	0	+110	Down	+$10	05-14 06:09
will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	3	$95	50	50	+0	open	—	07-31 16:13
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	4	$84	100	100	+0	open	—	07-30 08:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$83	64	64	+0	Up	+$33	05-13 16:59
will iran target a arab country on august 4 2026 20260801004719121	12	$81	3,300	0	+3,300	open	—	08-05 16:24
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?	5	$79	1,068	69	+1,000	open	—	07-29 22:03
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	2	$76	200	200	+0	open	—	07-23 09:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	12	$73	101	101	+0	Down	+$18	05-14 06:29
will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	3	$69	150	0	+150	open	—	07-15 14:00
will ethereum reach 2000 in july 2026	2	$68	120	0	+120	open	—	07-14 14:52
will the houthis successfully target shipping by august 31 2026 20260708165455694	4	$64	150	0	+150	open	—	07-20 20:56
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	3	$63	1,000	130	+870	open	—	06-20 16:00
will bitcoin dip to 60k july 6 12 2026	3	$62	3,100	0	+3,100	open	—	07-10 23:02
will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in august 2026	3	$60	120	0	+120	open	—	08-02 21:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-08 09:53:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	No	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x8da3b7…
08-08 03:00:31	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	SELL	200	61¢	$122	0x143f39…
08-07 16:30:24	nothing ever happens august 20260731190455728	Something	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0xb4653a…
08-06 21:08:42	will xauusd reach 4500 in august 2026	No	BUY	14	69¢	$9	0xdd741b…
08-06 17:04:50	will xauusd reach 4500 in august 2026	No	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x69bbd4…
08-05 16:24:35	will iran target a arab country on august 4 2026 20260801004719121	Yes	BUY	1,728	2¢	$35	0x411aea…
08-05 09:00:20	will iran target a arab country on august 4 2026 20260801004719121	Yes	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0xe5e8af…
08-05 08:26:44	will iran target a arab country on august 4 2026 20260801004719121	Yes	BUY	762	2¢	$15	0x0323ae…
08-05 07:33:06	will xagusd reach 70 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xba469f…
08-05 05:00:35	will iran target a arab country on august 4 2026 20260801004719121	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x4d4752…
08-05 04:52:06	will iran target a arab country on august 4 2026 20260801004719121	Yes	BUY	279	2¢	$6	0x06aa94…
08-05 00:07:06	will iran target a arab country on august 4 2026 20260801004719121	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0xe171e7…
08-04 23:28:06	will iran target a arab country on august 4 2026 20260801004719121	Yes	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0x717f9a…
08-04 16:18:56	will iran target a arab country on august 4 2026 20260801004719121	Yes	BUY	265	7¢	$19	0x8aa628…
08-04 16:16:54	will iran target a arab country on august 4 2026 20260801004719121	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0xeeb79d…
08-04 16:12:23	will iran target a arab country on august 4 2026 20260801004719121	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x723440…
08-04 15:52:21	will iran target a arab country on august 4 2026 20260801004719121	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x3d1472…
08-04 15:52:06	will iran target a arab country on august 4 2026 20260801004719121	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xd1a888…
08-03 14:15:29	will ethereum dip to 1500 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	140	15¢	$21	0x1496ba…
08-03 09:57:15	will ethereum dip to 1600 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	70	31¢	$22	0x029cee…
08-02 23:15:41	nato downs another russian drone by august 31 20260726215001931	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xc1a4a4…
08-02 22:02:39	will xagusd reach 68 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x1369d7…
08-02 22:01:48	will xagusd dip to 46 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xa86ad0…
08-02 22:00:32	will xauusd dip to 3400 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x942899…
08-02 21:42:29	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	35	50¢	$18	0x8b0542…
08-02 21:42:12	will ethereum reach 2300 in august 2026	No	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0x3a00e1…
08-02 18:41:56	will ethereum reach 2200 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xaca651…
08-02 17:55:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	100	71¢	$71	0xf9e7a7…
08-02 15:55:35	will ethereum reach 2300 in august 2026	No	BUY	11	87¢	$9	0x2a1574…
08-02 15:54:36	will ethereum reach 2400 in august 2026	No	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0xf276ca…
08-02 15:14:14	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xb71958…
08-02 11:22:14	will xauusd reach 4300 in august 2026	No	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0x66c56e…
08-02 03:31:59	will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x2d19a6…
08-02 00:30:48	nothing ever happens august 20260731190455728	Something	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xf58281…
08-01 18:47:59	will xauusd dip to 3600 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x10c8b1…
08-01 18:18:54	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x0323bd…
08-01 17:50:05	will xauusd reach 4400 in august 2026	No	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0x4d4670…
08-01 16:33:21	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	BUY	31	22¢	$7	0x3813ea…
08-01 16:32:24	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x12f8b0…
08-01 16:31:15	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0x33a89b…
08-01 16:22:54	will bitcoin dip to 55k in august 2026	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x1bb3aa…
08-01 15:54:20	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	BUY	65	22¢	$14	0x18f9da…
08-01 14:41:06	nothing ever happens august 20260731190455728	Nothing	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x83ae17…
08-01 14:16:38	nothing ever happens august 20260731190455728	Nothing	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x12d84a…
08-01 11:05:54	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	70	50¢	$35	0x5f5fb6…
08-01 11:04:17	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x38013f…
08-01 10:55:03	will xagusd reach 66 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xb6ae2f…
08-01 01:50:41	will xagusd dip to 48 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xf56747…
07-31 23:20:08	will xauusd dip to 3500 in august 2026	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x6eef18…
07-31 18:48:03	will xauusd dip to 3500 in august 2026	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x372d48…
07-31 17:09:53	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x71fa6d…
07-31 16:15:00	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x6eb167…
07-31 16:13:36	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x2b0384…
07-30 22:37:00	will bitcoin reach 80000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xa36a2c…
07-30 08:32:56	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	100	42¢	$42	0xf42037…
07-30 08:30:11	bitcoin above 64k on july 30 2026	No	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0xdbf926…
07-29 22:03:42	Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	401	3¢	$14	0x296b4e…
07-28 14:26:02	Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	281	3¢	$10	0x183b72…
07-27 14:19:37	nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	Nothing	BUY	45	76¢	$34	0xb52e0e…
07-27 13:37:22	nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	Nothing	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xacdf2f…
07-26 20:19:18	will bitcoin reach 85000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x99a28e…
07-26 12:06:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x4e5ec4…
07-23 13:06:34	will bitcoin dip to 58k july 20 26 2026	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0xf99eac…
07-23 10:00:37	will bitcoin dip to 58k july 20 26 2026	Yes	SELL	597	1¢	$6	0x6231cd…
07-23 09:17:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	200	15¢	$30	0x6a4006…
07-23 08:35:58	will bitcoin dip to 56k july 20 26 2026	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x2e8482…
07-23 05:21:06	will bitcoin dip to 50k july 20 26 2026	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x4f9434…
07-23 05:19:21	will bitcoin dip to 50k july 20 26 2026	Yes	BUY	53	0¢	$0	0x4d0e10…
07-23 05:16:48	will bitcoin dip to 50k july 20 26 2026	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0xba9492…
07-23 05:15:37	will bitcoin dip to 50k july 20 26 2026	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x1e5073…
07-23 05:04:52	will bitcoin dip to 50k july 20 26 2026	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x54126f…
07-23 05:02:57	will bitcoin dip to 50k july 20 26 2026	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0x31bb2f…
07-23 04:59:57	will bitcoin dip to 50k july 20 26 2026	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x4311cd…
07-23 04:52:19	will bitcoin dip to 50k july 20 26 2026	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0xfda0a0…
07-23 04:50:43	will bitcoin dip to 50k july 20 26 2026	Yes	BUY	31	0¢	$0	0x1fe7f4…
07-23 04:35:06	will bitcoin dip to 50k july 20 26 2026	Yes	BUY	135	0¢	$0	0xf9150d…
07-23 04:18:24	will bitcoin dip to 50k july 20 26 2026	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0xf9e406…
07-23 04:16:03	will bitcoin dip to 50k july 20 26 2026	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xfe4617…
07-23 04:09:04	will bitcoin dip to 50k july 20 26 2026	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x5bd37e…
07-23 04:04:57	will bitcoin dip to 50k july 20 26 2026	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xdfd690…
07-23 04:02:46	will bitcoin dip to 50k july 20 26 2026	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x4ebfec…
07-23 01:54:30	will bitcoin dip to 56k july 20 26 2026	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x7e4bc9…
07-23 01:53:10	will bitcoin dip to 56k july 20 26 2026	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x660bed…
07-23 01:51:49	will bitcoin dip to 56k july 20 26 2026	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xf343ae…
07-23 01:50:06	will bitcoin dip to 56k july 20 26 2026	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xe9c975…
07-23 01:47:39	will bitcoin dip to 56k july 20 26 2026	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x40da96…
07-23 01:40:37	will bitcoin dip to 56k july 20 26 2026	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x864682…
07-22 11:36:36	will bitcoin dip to 50k july 20 26 2026	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0x67bf1e…
07-22 06:35:42	will bitcoin dip to 50k july 20 26 2026	Yes	BUY	130	0¢	$0	0x9bc81b…
07-22 06:27:18	will bitcoin dip to 50k july 20 26 2026	Yes	BUY	45	0¢	$0	0x6dc03f…
07-22 06:21:22	will bitcoin dip to 50k july 20 26 2026	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x621528…
07-22 06:02:37	will bitcoin dip to 50k july 20 26 2026	Yes	BUY	114	0¢	$0	0x3d2795…
07-22 05:37:39	will bitcoin dip to 56k july 20 26 2026	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x18eb74…
07-22 05:36:09	will bitcoin dip to 50k july 20 26 2026	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x309255…
07-22 05:34:33	will bitcoin dip to 50k july 20 26 2026	Yes	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0xb6c897…
07-22 05:07:27	will bitcoin dip to 50k july 20 26 2026	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0x4e8e9f…
07-22 05:06:25	will bitcoin dip to 50k july 20 26 2026	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc4530c…
07-22 05:05:45	will bitcoin dip to 50k july 20 26 2026	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0xd8c38f…
07-22 04:57:48	will bitcoin dip to 50k july 20 26 2026	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xfcd34d…
07-22 04:36:18	will bitcoin dip to 50k july 20 26 2026	Yes	BUY	53	0¢	$0	0x2c702d…