Willing-Grove — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$377

Unrealized P&L

-$588

Hit rate

76.3%

Resolved

145

Trades

642

lifetime

Volume

$13.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

$537

12 positions

First seen

2026-05-01

last 09-15 12:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 57 days

Categories

Other

52% 55% +$305

Crypto

28% 44% -$365

Politics

20% 39% -$297

Sports

0% 0% -$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (12) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Yes	+2,610	$857	16¢	$405	-$453	08-25 15:43
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	Yes	+659	$183	8¢	$53	-$130	07-14 23:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+10	$9	98¢	$10	+$1	07-16 12:17
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+10	$10	97¢	$10	+$0	07-03 09:16
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+10	$10	97¢	$10	+$0	07-07 17:27
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+10	$9	96¢	$10	+$0	07-07 17:27
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+10	$9	94¢	$9	+$0	07-10 15:15
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+10	$9	90¢	$9	+$0	07-05 17:35
will bitcoin reach 95000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	+10	$9	84¢	$8	$0	07-07 09:47
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+10	$8	72¢	$7	-$1	07-19 22:22
us charges hormuz fees by december 31 2026 20260713151243236	No	+5	$4	96¢	$5	+$1	07-14 13:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+20	$10	12¢	$2	-$8	07-26 12:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	5	$1.3K	800	800	+0	No	+$64	07-01 01:28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$1.2K	700	700	+0	No	+$172	05-31 14:27
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	59	$963	19,417	19,417	+0	Yes	+$85	05-26 14:28
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	11	$959	3,700	3,700	+0	Yes	+$447	06-28 23:16
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	32	$857	2,610	0	+2,610	open	—	08-25 15:43
Fed rate hike in 2026?	13	$707	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$237	07-07 11:47
Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?	3	$420	328	328	+0	Yes	+$125	05-28 16:15
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	20	$413	1,659	0	+1,659	No	-$413	09-15 12:14
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev	4	$407	259	259	+0	Alexander Zverev	+$49	06-02 13:55
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	5	$348	20,075	20,075	+0	No	-$107	05-27 08:51
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	2	$309	300	300	+0	cancelled	-$3	06-01 08:45
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	2	$269	150	150	+0	No	+$17	05-28 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$267	173	173	+0	Down	+$67	05-13 16:53
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	4	$212	570	270	+300	Yes	+$20	06-21 11:07
trump declassifies new ufo files by july 15	8	$211	1,300	0	+1,300	Yes	-$211	07-10 11:10
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	9	$188	668	8	+659	open	—	07-14 23:56
another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	5	$166	200	200	+0	No	+$78	08-08 03:00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	4	$156	1,237	1,237	+0	No	+$56	06-17 18:20
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	2	$125	100	100	+0	Yes	+$17	08-02 17:55
will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	3	$121	70	70	+0	No	+$19	07-31 17:09
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?	6	$120	1,068	1,068	+0	open	—	09-11 15:44
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	4	$111	1,130	130	+1,000	Yes	-$61	06-20 16:00
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$102	200	200	+0	No	-$30	06-01 14:40
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	1	$100	132	0	+132	Up	-$100	05-14 06:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	1	$100	110	0	+110	Down	+$10	05-14 06:09
will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	3	$95	50	50	+0	No	+$5	07-31 16:13
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	4	$84	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	07-30 08:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$83	64	64	+0	Up	+$33	05-13 16:59
will iran target a arab country on august 4 2026 20260801004719121	12	$81	3,300	0	+3,300	No	-$81	08-05 16:24
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	2	$76	200	200	+0	Yes	-$16	07-23 09:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-15 12:14:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	478	11¢	$53	0x9f2344…
09-15 10:25:12	Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xf714cf…
09-15 10:25:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x5f5b7f…
09-15 10:25:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xb2e93c…
09-15 10:24:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x93567a…
09-15 10:24:48	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x9aee51…
09-11 15:51:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	410	17¢	$70	0xcc0abd…
09-11 15:48:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	44	17¢	$7	0x7ba25e…
09-11 15:47:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	0	17¢	$0	0xaf2cf2…
09-11 15:47:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	0	17¢	$0	0x25d775…
09-11 15:47:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	0	17¢	$0	0x873f9a…
09-11 15:47:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	17¢	$0	0x1bb715…
09-11 15:47:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	132	17¢	$22	0xffab69…
09-11 15:45:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	0	17¢	$0	0xb63aea…
09-11 15:45:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0xad9fc9…
09-11 15:44:12	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	36¢	$36	0x3882e4…
09-11 15:44:00	Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	4¢	$41	0x96e268…
09-01 09:21:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	69	40¢	$28	0xf96621…
09-01 09:21:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x5a7c24…
09-01 09:20:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	17	40¢	$7	0x93abea…
09-01 09:15:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xb9232a…
09-01 09:15:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x1a5e42…
09-01 09:15:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xdc3e02…
09-01 09:14:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x211a3c…
09-01 09:13:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xf86f84…
09-01 09:07:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	52	40¢	$21	0xec5bd3…
08-31 17:38:03	Nothing Ever Happens: August	Nothing	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x4421f3…
08-31 17:37:42	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $48 in August?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xa6e4a4…
08-31 17:37:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xe0bacd…
08-31 17:37:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xd4cd6c…
08-31 17:37:12	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in August?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x6151de…
08-31 02:12:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	391	46¢	$180	0xbfdc49…
08-25 15:43:25	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0xff1d0b…
08-25 15:26:49	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	600	13¢	$78	0x96edd3…
08-25 12:17:34	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x34c09e…
08-24 02:39:12	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	385	13¢	$50	0x05b1a1…
08-21 10:33:12	will xauusd dip to 3400 in august 2026	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x2965fc…
08-21 10:33:06	will xagusd dip to 46 in august 2026	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xbe7920…
08-21 10:32:46	will xauusd dip to 3500 in august 2026	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x7b8d2d…
08-08 09:53:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	No	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x8da3b7…
08-08 03:00:31	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	SELL	200	61¢	$122	0x143f39…
08-07 16:30:24	nothing ever happens august 20260731190455728	Something	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0xb4653a…
08-06 21:08:42	will xauusd reach 4500 in august 2026	No	BUY	14	69¢	$9	0xdd741b…
08-06 17:04:50	will xauusd reach 4500 in august 2026	No	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x69bbd4…
08-05 16:24:35	will iran target a arab country on august 4 2026 20260801004719121	Yes	BUY	1,728	2¢	$35	0x411aea…
08-05 09:00:20	will iran target a arab country on august 4 2026 20260801004719121	Yes	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0xe5e8af…
08-05 08:26:44	will iran target a arab country on august 4 2026 20260801004719121	Yes	BUY	762	2¢	$15	0x0323ae…
08-05 07:33:06	will xagusd reach 70 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xba469f…
08-05 05:00:35	will iran target a arab country on august 4 2026 20260801004719121	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x4d4752…
08-05 04:52:06	will iran target a arab country on august 4 2026 20260801004719121	Yes	BUY	279	2¢	$6	0x06aa94…
08-05 00:07:06	will iran target a arab country on august 4 2026 20260801004719121	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0xe171e7…
08-04 23:28:06	will iran target a arab country on august 4 2026 20260801004719121	Yes	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0x717f9a…
08-04 16:18:56	will iran target a arab country on august 4 2026 20260801004719121	Yes	BUY	265	7¢	$19	0x8aa628…
08-04 16:16:54	will iran target a arab country on august 4 2026 20260801004719121	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0xeeb79d…
08-04 16:12:23	will iran target a arab country on august 4 2026 20260801004719121	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x723440…
08-04 15:52:21	will iran target a arab country on august 4 2026 20260801004719121	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x3d1472…
08-04 15:52:06	will iran target a arab country on august 4 2026 20260801004719121	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xd1a888…
08-03 14:15:29	will ethereum dip to 1500 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	140	15¢	$21	0x1496ba…
08-03 09:57:15	will ethereum dip to 1600 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	70	31¢	$22	0x029cee…
08-02 23:15:41	nato downs another russian drone by august 31 20260726215001931	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xc1a4a4…
08-02 22:02:39	will xagusd reach 68 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x1369d7…
08-02 22:01:48	will xagusd dip to 46 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xa86ad0…
08-02 22:00:32	will xauusd dip to 3400 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x942899…
08-02 21:42:29	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	35	50¢	$18	0x8b0542…
08-02 21:42:12	will ethereum reach 2300 in august 2026	No	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0x3a00e1…
08-02 18:41:56	will ethereum reach 2200 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xaca651…
08-02 17:55:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	100	71¢	$71	0xf9e7a7…
08-02 15:55:35	will ethereum reach 2300 in august 2026	No	BUY	11	87¢	$9	0x2a1574…
08-02 15:54:36	will ethereum reach 2400 in august 2026	No	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0xf276ca…
08-02 15:14:14	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xb71958…
08-02 11:22:14	will xauusd reach 4300 in august 2026	No	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0x66c56e…
08-02 03:31:59	will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x2d19a6…
08-02 00:30:48	nothing ever happens august 20260731190455728	Something	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xf58281…
08-01 18:47:59	will xauusd dip to 3600 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x10c8b1…
08-01 18:18:54	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x0323bd…
08-01 17:50:05	will xauusd reach 4400 in august 2026	No	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0x4d4670…
08-01 16:33:21	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	BUY	31	22¢	$7	0x3813ea…
08-01 16:32:24	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x12f8b0…
08-01 16:31:15	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0x33a89b…
08-01 16:22:54	will bitcoin dip to 55k in august 2026	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x1bb3aa…
08-01 15:54:20	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	BUY	65	22¢	$14	0x18f9da…
08-01 14:41:06	nothing ever happens august 20260731190455728	Nothing	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x83ae17…
08-01 14:16:38	nothing ever happens august 20260731190455728	Nothing	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x12d84a…
08-01 11:05:54	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	70	50¢	$35	0x5f5fb6…
08-01 11:04:17	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x38013f…
08-01 10:55:03	will xagusd reach 66 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xb6ae2f…
08-01 01:50:41	will xagusd dip to 48 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xf56747…
07-31 23:20:08	will xauusd dip to 3500 in august 2026	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x6eef18…
07-31 18:48:03	will xauusd dip to 3500 in august 2026	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x372d48…
07-31 17:09:53	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x71fa6d…
07-31 16:15:00	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x6eb167…
07-31 16:13:36	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x2b0384…
07-30 22:37:00	will bitcoin reach 80000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xa36a2c…
07-30 08:32:56	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	100	42¢	$42	0xf42037…
07-30 08:30:11	bitcoin above 64k on july 30 2026	No	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0xdbf926…
07-29 22:03:42	Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	401	3¢	$14	0x296b4e…
07-28 14:26:02	Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	281	3¢	$10	0x183b72…
07-27 14:19:37	nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	Nothing	BUY	45	76¢	$34	0xb52e0e…
07-27 13:37:22	nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	Nothing	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xacdf2f…
07-26 20:19:18	will bitcoin reach 85000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x99a28e…