Large-Simplicity 0xf91a26…b721ba
3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
97.5%
Resolved
14
Trades
31
lifetime
Volume
$212
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$23
12 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-14 11:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
82% 86% +$1
Other
18% 86% $-0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 05-12 23:33
Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win the Andalusia regional election? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 $-0 05-06 11:50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May? No -2 $-2 99¢ $-2 $-0 05-06 19:40
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on May 14? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 $-0 05-14 07:33
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 +$0 05-07 11:21
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on May 14? Yes +2 $2 99¢ $2 $-0 05-14 06:18
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 05-06 05:59
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on May 14? Yes +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 05-14 07:34
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 14? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 05-14 09:49
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 14? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 05-14 09:49
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 14? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 $-0 05-14 11:44
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 $-0 05-14 08:34