Best-Vintner — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.6%

Resolved

Trades

195

lifetime

Volume

$43.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$224

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 05-21 20:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

98% 100% +$0

Politics

2% 50% +$5

Sports

0% 0% $-0

Crypto

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 109 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$42.0K	21,084	21,084	+0	open	—	03-30 15:54
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	4	$55	37	24	+12	open	—	05-18 05:46
Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	3	$47	146	146	+0	No	+$5	03-30 15:55
will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 29 2026 526	4	$45	57	57	+0	open	—	03-30 15:56
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	4	$44	23	23	+0	open	—	05-21 20:38
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	4	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	05-21 20:38
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	4	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	05-21 20:38
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	4	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	05-21 20:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	4	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	05-21 20:39
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	4	$44	23	23	+0	open	—	05-21 20:38
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	4	$44	23	23	+0	open	—	05-21 20:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	4	$44	23	23	+0	open	—	05-21 20:40
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	4	$44	23	23	+0	open	—	05-21 20:40
will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$43	63	63	+0	open	—	03-30 15:55
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?	4	$43	46	46	+0	open	—	03-30 15:57
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	2	$43	54	54	+0	open	—	03-30 15:55
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	4	$43	26	26	+0	open	—	05-21 20:41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$43	24	24	+0	open	—	05-21 20:41
Will Putin visit China by May 31?	3	$33	22	11	+11	open	—	05-18 06:09
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	3	$33	11,011	11	+11,000	open	—	05-18 06:14
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	3	$33	23	11	+11	open	—	05-18 05:54
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	2	$26	241	241	+0	open	—	05-21 20:36
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?	2	$24	18	18	+0	open	—	05-17 19:09
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$24	34	34	+0	open	—	03-30 15:56
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$24	32	32	+0	open	—	03-30 15:57
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	2	$24	63	63	+0	open	—	03-30 15:55
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	3	$24	401	401	+0	open	—	03-30 15:57
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$24	18	18	+0	open	—	03-30 15:56
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$24	59	59	+0	open	—	03-30 15:58
Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	2	$23	27	27	+0	open	—	03-30 15:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 20:42:31	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	Yes	SELL	32	0¢	$0	0x1735e3…
05-21 20:41:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	80¢	$9	0x164c81…
05-21 20:41:35	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	13	76¢	$10	0x1c6057…
05-21 20:40:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	11	95¢	$11	0x9d34d8…
05-21 20:40:46	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	11	94¢	$11	0xa519ba…
05-21 20:39:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xe539bd…
05-21 20:39:20	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	12	95¢	$11	0xbea5cc…
05-21 20:38:51	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x1a5a41…
05-21 20:38:33	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x1c487e…
05-21 20:38:28	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xc94997…
05-21 20:38:23	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	12	96¢	$11	0xe2292f…
05-21 20:38:10	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	12	97¢	$11	0x79a9f0…
05-21 20:36:22	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	241	6¢	$15	0xfd0f16…
05-18 06:16:59	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	241	5¢	$11	0x43de8c…
05-18 06:14:28	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	Yes	BUY	11,000	0¢	$11	0x3d2b88…
05-18 06:13:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	11,000	0¢	$11	0x8edf7a…
05-18 06:12:54	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	32	34¢	$11	0xe3a2aa…
05-18 06:12:06	LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	KT Rolster	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0xc1c889…
05-18 06:11:49	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0xf58bc7…
05-18 06:09:25	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe48bef…
05-18 06:07:44	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0xfa6a2c…
05-18 06:06:50	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x63b2ec…
05-18 05:57:10	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0xa251db…
05-18 05:56:28	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x559f97…
05-18 05:56:04	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	No	BUY	11,000	0¢	$11	0x015099…
05-18 05:55:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0xf87aa2…
05-18 05:54:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x4a02b2…
05-18 05:51:26	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x8c2d8c…
05-18 05:51:13	Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?	No	BUY	11,000	0¢	$11	0x2fc1c5…
05-18 05:47:36	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xc0c3a1…
05-18 05:46:37	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0xbf86ae…
05-18 05:46:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x0df627…
05-18 05:45:41	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	87¢	$11	0x88ebe2…
05-18 05:45:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0x228e47…
05-17 19:13:10	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	SELL	30	36¢	$11	0x3177c4…
05-17 19:13:05	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0x14d567…
05-17 19:12:41	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0x5e879a…
05-17 19:12:32	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xc1d50c…
05-17 19:12:07	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	12	93¢	$11	0xbd2b9e…
05-17 19:12:02	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	12	94¢	$11	0xdfaf40…
05-17 19:11:53	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0x45746d…
05-17 19:11:50	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x085ad7…
05-17 19:11:36	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x040d84…
05-17 19:11:31	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x5c37b0…
05-17 19:10:56	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x252d6e…
05-17 19:10:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xc4f150…
05-17 19:10:47	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x145ca9…
05-17 19:10:42	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xb4ee71…
05-17 19:10:36	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xcc3932…
05-17 19:10:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	12	95¢	$11	0x724893…
05-17 19:10:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	92¢	$11	0xad5b70…
05-17 19:09:51	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	13	85¢	$11	0xea8fbe…
05-17 19:09:19	US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?	Yes	SELL	18	73¢	$13	0x2a32ed…
05-17 19:08:53	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	24	90¢	$22	0xc02f57…
05-17 10:04:38	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	122	9¢	$11	0xcd7cb8…
05-17 08:16:33	Zagreb: Jan Choinski vs Arthur Fery	Jan Choinski	BUY	24	45¢	$11	0xbf3ff7…
05-17 08:15:37	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0xf8e2ad…
05-17 08:13:06	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd23097…
05-17 08:12:52	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0x62bcd1…
05-17 08:11:49	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x21cb84…
05-17 08:09:55	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0xc9d2ad…
05-17 08:09:43	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x5966f6…
05-17 08:08:49	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4380c2…
05-17 08:08:21	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x4bf8f6…
05-17 08:07:13	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0xe320ea…
05-17 08:05:49	Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?	No	BUY	11,000	0¢	$11	0x37c83f…
05-17 08:05:19	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x91b697…
05-17 08:03:22	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xf9eff0…
05-17 08:02:41	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xc6bc2e…
05-17 08:01:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	83¢	$11	0xe12127…
05-17 08:01:28	US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?	Yes	BUY	18	61¢	$11	0x95dcfd…
05-17 08:01:09	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xc78dfc…
05-17 08:00:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0x1cff47…
05-17 07:59:57	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x9f8ecb…
05-17 07:59:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x75a6c9…
05-17 07:57:19	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0xcb4950…
05-17 07:56:53	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0xab20a4…
05-17 07:56:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x9f931a…
04-01 18:43:15	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	17	68¢	$12	0x00ea0b…
04-01 18:42:59	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	SELL	333	0¢	$0	0x593323…
04-01 18:42:49	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	No	SELL	26	3¢	$1	0x9a24f6…
04-01 18:42:43	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	8	11¢	$1	0x913b60…
04-01 18:42:39	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	No	SELL	17	5¢	$1	0xcf69f4…
04-01 18:42:33	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0xf8f61c…
04-01 18:42:27	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x23e3d8…
03-30 16:01:27	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	No	SELL	500	0¢	$0	0xd1c9ca…
03-30 16:00:53	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	SELL	29	6¢	$2	0x963ae4…
03-30 16:00:43	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0xead352…
03-30 16:00:21	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	No	SELL	53	5¢	$3	0xf007d8…
03-30 16:00:17	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	68	5¢	$3	0x7eeec8…
03-30 16:00:07	will iran strike bahrain again in march	No	SELL	136	2¢	$2	0x8d71f1…
03-30 16:00:01	Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	SELL	86	8¢	$7	0x1254b2…
03-30 15:59:33	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	190	3¢	$5	0x1fe49d…
03-30 15:59:27	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	Yes	SELL	515	2¢	$9	0x058666…
03-30 15:59:21	Gensyn FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	33	29¢	$10	0x480d8e…
03-30 15:59:17	us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	Yes	SELL	287	2¢	$5	0x35eb6b…
03-30 15:59:11	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	SELL	786	1¢	$5	0x9a24c4…
03-30 15:59:07	will the dhs shutdown last 48 days or more 945	No	SELL	515	0¢	$1	0x167282…
03-30 15:59:01	Will Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Yes	SELL	79	12¢	$9	0x6e308d…
03-30 15:58:55	will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	No	SELL	190	3¢	$5	0x194729…