Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on May 4?
closed
Total volume
$605
Trades
74
Unique wallets
23
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-05-04
First seen
2026-05-01
last 05-04 22:03
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-96.8¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $0
vs crowd: 97% YES on $566)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $5 | $0 | +$5 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | $246 | $1 | +$245 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $134 | $16 | +$119 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 7 | $162 | $1 | +$161 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $0 | $0 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $149 | $2 | +$148 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $10 | $0 | +$10 |
| Median | 4 | $222 | — | +$222 |
| Below median | 3 | $7 | $0 | +$7 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $8 | $15 | $8 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $36 | $0 | +$36 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $116 | — | +$116 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glistening-Sinuosity 0x4462…b29b | No | +255 | $15 | $15 | 12 | 05-04 11:42 |
| Barren-Parameter 0x4fbd…21d7 | Yes | +149 | $149 | $149 | 1 | 05-04 17:23 |
| Ugly-Ease 0xb6dc…0fb8 | Yes | +129 | $127 | $127 | 5 | 05-04 08:00 |
| Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | Yes | +117 | $111 | $111 | 7 | 05-04 09:57 |
| Forceful-Marshland 0x715f…ddd9 | No | +100 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-04 11:02 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | +100 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-04 19:53 |
| Calculating-Vignette 0x8931…a5e4 | Yes | +90 | $89 | $89 | 1 | 05-04 11:02 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-04 17:23 |
| Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | No | +30 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 05-04 07:59 |
| Essential-Establishment 0xcbd0…dec4 | Yes | +18 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-04 14:30 |
| Flawed-Meander 0x42b7…abff | Yes | +8 | $8 | $8 | 5 | 05-04 09:28 |
| Famous-Tea 0x633b…ff9e | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-04 09:28 |
| Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-04 22:03 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-04 07:59 |
| Rosy-Influence 0x6c2f…ba60 | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-01 13:39 |
| Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-01 13:39 |
| Stiff-Sediment 0xc564…572f | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-03 03:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x1c90…bbd5 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-04 19:53 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-04 22:03:26 | Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x5642e5… |
| 05-04 22:03:26 | Focused-Metaphor-Skyscraper 0x1092…90f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x5642e5… |
| 05-04 19:53:06 | (anonymous) 0x1c90…bbd5 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xb87d66… |
| 05-04 19:53:06 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb87d66… |
| 05-04 17:23:42 | Barren-Parameter 0x4fbd…21d7 | Yes | BUY | 149 | 100¢ | $149 | 0xd68d91… |
| 05-04 17:23:42 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd68d91… |
| 05-04 17:23:42 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | BUY | 99 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd68d91… |
| 05-04 14:30:24 | Lucky-Duplexer 0xb764…51dd | Yes | SELL | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x454f40… |
| 05-04 14:30:24 | Essential-Establishment 0xcbd0…dec4 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x454f40… |
| 05-04 11:42:58 | Glistening-Sinuosity 0x4462…b29b | No | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xd4dede… |
| 05-04 11:42:58 | Colorful-Lyre 0x58fc…704f | No | SELL | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xd4dede… |
| 05-04 11:41:40 | Glistening-Sinuosity 0x4462…b29b | No | BUY | 23 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x6a156d… |
| 05-04 11:41:40 | Colorful-Lyre 0x58fc…704f | No | SELL | 0 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x6a156d… |
| 05-04 11:41:40 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | SELL | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x6a156d… |
| 05-04 11:02:00 | Colorful-Lyre 0x58fc…704f | No | BUY | 19 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5573ca… |
| 05-04 11:02:00 | Forceful-Marshland 0x715f…ddd9 | No | BUY | 65 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x5573ca… |
| 05-04 11:02:00 | Calculating-Vignette 0x8931…a5e4 | Yes | BUY | 90 | 99¢ | $89 | 0x5573ca… |
| 05-04 10:41:12 | Lucky-Duplexer 0xb764…51dd | Yes | BUY | 18 | 99¢ | $18 | 0xb6b292… |
| 05-04 10:41:12 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xb6b292… |
| 05-04 10:41:12 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb6b292… |
| 05-04 09:57:10 | Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 85¢ | $5 | 0xf3732d… |
| 05-04 09:57:10 | Glistening-Sinuosity 0x4462…b29b | No | BUY | 6 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xf3732d… |
| 05-04 09:28:12 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x44b180… |
| 05-04 09:28:12 | Glistening-Sinuosity 0x4462…b29b | No | BUY | 37 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x2e7106… |
| 05-04 09:28:12 | Shocked-Traveler 0xb6ca…48a9 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 85¢ | $0 | 0x2e7106… |
| 05-04 09:28:12 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | SELL | 6 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x2e7106… |
| 05-04 09:28:12 | Famous-Tea 0x633b…ff9e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x2e7106… |
| 05-04 09:28:12 | Flawed-Meander 0x42b7…abff | Yes | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x44b180… |
| 05-04 09:28:12 | Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 94¢ | $24 | 0x2e7106… |
| 05-04 09:27:54 | Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 94¢ | $16 | 0xe0d20f… |
| 05-04 09:27:54 | Flawed-Meander 0x42b7…abff | Yes | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x081ea8… |
| 05-04 09:27:54 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x081ea8… |
| 05-04 09:27:54 | Glistening-Sinuosity 0x4462…b29b | No | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xe0d20f… |
| 05-04 09:27:46 | Flawed-Meander 0x42b7…abff | Yes | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x6a6b9c… |
| 05-04 09:27:46 | Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 94¢ | $16 | 0xcfd0e0… |
| 05-04 09:27:46 | Glistening-Sinuosity 0x4462…b29b | No | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xcfd0e0… |
| 05-04 09:27:46 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6a6b9c… |
| 05-04 08:25:26 | Glistening-Sinuosity 0x4462…b29b | No | BUY | 18 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xcad5c9… |
| 05-04 08:25:26 | Colorful-Lyre 0x58fc…704f | No | SELL | 9 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xcad5c9… |
| 05-04 08:25:26 | Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 94¢ | $8 | 0xcad5c9… |
| 05-04 08:10:54 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7981b8… |
| 05-04 08:10:54 | Glistening-Sinuosity 0x4462…b29b | No | BUY | 26 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x2350e1… |
| 05-04 08:10:54 | Flawed-Meander 0x42b7…abff | Yes | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x7981b8… |
| 05-04 08:10:54 | Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0x2350e1… |
| 05-04 08:10:54 | Colorful-Lyre 0x58fc…704f | No | SELL | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x2350e1… |
| 05-04 08:10:44 | Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 96¢ | $22 | 0x6f3623… |
| 05-04 08:10:44 | Colorful-Lyre 0x58fc…704f | No | SELL | 9 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x6f3623… |
| 05-04 08:10:44 | Glistening-Sinuosity 0x4462…b29b | No | BUY | 79 | 4¢ | $3 | 0x6f3623… |
| 05-04 08:10:44 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xdb44c4… |
| 05-04 08:10:44 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x6f3623… |
| 05-04 08:10:44 | Flawed-Meander 0x42b7…abff | Yes | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xdb44c4… |
| 05-04 08:00:08 | Ugly-Ease 0xb6dc…0fb8 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 99¢ | $35 | 0xa10f42… |
| 05-04 08:00:08 | Forceful-Marshland 0x715f…ddd9 | No | BUY | 35 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa10f42… |
| 05-04 07:59:26 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | No | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xda88fd… |
| 05-04 07:59:26 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | No | BUY | 24 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xda88fd… |
| 05-04 07:59:26 | Ugly-Ease 0xb6dc…0fb8 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 99¢ | $29 | 0xda88fd… |
| 05-04 01:45:52 | Focused-Metaphor-Skyscraper 0x1092…90f0 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xc4e0f2… |
| 05-04 01:45:52 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | No | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc4e0f2… |
| 05-03 07:30:16 | Ugly-Ease 0xb6dc…0fb8 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x14a510… |
| 05-03 07:30:16 | Colorful-Lyre 0x58fc…704f | No | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x14a510… |
| 05-03 06:20:20 | Glistening-Sinuosity 0x4462…b29b | No | BUY | 8 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xcee615… |
| 05-03 06:20:20 | Colorful-Lyre 0x58fc…704f | No | SELL | 8 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xcee615… |
| 05-03 06:18:44 | Glistening-Sinuosity 0x4462…b29b | No | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x13d21c… |
| 05-03 06:18:44 | Colorful-Lyre 0x58fc…704f | No | SELL | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x13d21c… |
| 05-03 05:56:44 | Glistening-Sinuosity 0x4462…b29b | No | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xa5fcb6… |
| 05-03 05:56:44 | Colorful-Lyre 0x58fc…704f | No | SELL | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xa5fcb6… |
| 05-03 03:37:00 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | No | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x46905a… |
| 05-03 03:37:00 | Stiff-Sediment 0xc564…572f | Yes | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x46905a… |
| 05-02 12:08:16 | Ugly-Ease 0xb6dc…0fb8 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x5c4f89… |
| 05-02 12:08:16 | Colorful-Lyre 0x58fc…704f | No | BUY | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x5c4f89… |
| 05-02 12:08:08 | Ugly-Ease 0xb6dc…0fb8 | Yes | BUY | 37 | 98¢ | $36 | 0x07200c… |
| 05-02 12:08:08 | Colorful-Lyre 0x58fc…704f | No | BUY | 17 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x07200c… |
| 05-01 13:39:16 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | BUY | 2 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x7ff742… |
| 05-01 13:39:16 | Rosy-Influence 0x6c2f…ba60 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 91¢ | $2 | 0x7ff742… |