Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $430-$440 on the final day of | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$1,020

Trades

68

Unique wallets

33

Liquidity

$0

End date

2026-03-13

First seen

2026-03-08

last 03-13 17:28

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

(anon) +245 (anon) +245 Voluminous-Lava +120 Genuine-Tribe +100 Venerated-Dawn +61 Valuable-Bus +40 Awesome-Neon +38 Utter-Downgrade +15

NO holders

(anon) +245 (anon) +245 Gentle-Daisy +110 (anon) +65 Sleepy-Council +60 Grimy-Ocean +25 (anon) +17 (anon) +13

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: -0.9¢ (top1%: 4% YES on $39 vs crowd: 5% YES on $918)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	6	—	$207	$207
🐬 Dolphin	8	$2	$113	$111
🐟 Fish	8	$21	$230	$209
🦐 Shrimp	11	$20	$326	$307

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	5	$1	$37	$36
🏆 Top 5%	5	$0	$170	$170
✅ Top 10%	4	$21	$10	+$11
Below median	6	$0	$101	$101
⚠️ Bottom 10%	6	$20	$450	$430
🔻 Bottom 5%	2	$0	$5	$5
💀 Bottom 1%	5	$0	$102	$102

Wallet leaderboard (25) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
(anonymous) 0x0037…f757	Yes	+245	$20	$20	1	03-08 01:26
(anonymous) 0xf18a…9a2b	Yes	+245	$20	$20	1	03-08 08:34
(anonymous) 0x1937…3453	No	+245	$225	$225	1	03-08 01:26
(anonymous) 0x1e24…8670	No	+245	$225	$225	1	03-08 08:34
Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de	Yes	+120	$1	$1	3	03-13 05:31
Gentle-Daisy 0xf811…69ba	No	+110	$110	$110	1	03-13 15:30
Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44	Yes	+100	$0	$0	6	03-13 15:30
(anonymous) 0x39ae…314f	No	+65	$64	$79	2	03-13 05:31
Venerated-Dawn 0xfdd1…1829	Yes	+61	$1	$1	8	03-13 17:28
Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd	No	+60	$59	$59	2	03-11 18:30
Valuable-Bus 0xa67d…c6f9	Yes	+40	$0	$0	1	03-13 13:56
Awesome-Neon 0x9849…36f0	Yes	+38	$0	$0	1	03-13 15:30
Grimy-Ocean 0xebc0…fa41	No	+25	$24	$24	1	03-13 15:08
(anonymous) 0xe06f…12d3	No	+17	$17	$17	1	03-12 23:27
Utter-Downgrade 0x2936…0a12	Yes	+15	$0	$0	1	03-13 15:30
(anonymous) 0xf2eb…6eb5	No	+13	$13	$13	1	03-13 15:08
(anonymous) 0xd3d3…45b2	No	+13	$13	$13	1	03-13 07:11
(anonymous) 0x6bf7…1769	No	+10	$10	$10	2	03-13 15:08
Ornate-Tale 0x8544…bd34	No	+10	$10	$10	1	03-13 10:12
Decisive-Conspiracy 0x8ee3…923f	Yes	+5	$0	$0	1	03-13 13:44
Practical-Mixture 0x4bc5…a968	Yes	+5	$0	$0	3	03-13 15:08
(anonymous) 0xe710…31af	No	+5	$5	$5	1	03-13 04:04
Lasting-Daddy 0x89c9…3d01	Yes	+5	$0	$0	1	03-13 15:30
Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298	Yes	+5	$0	$0	1	03-13 05:31
(anonymous) 0x7d9d…c6ce	Yes	+5	$0	$0	1	03-13 15:30