Will the Bitcoin realized volatility index dip to 40 by April 30?
closed
Total volume
$11,986
Trades
88
Unique wallets
36
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-05-01
First seen
2026-03-22
last 04-26 12:01
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+86.1¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $585
vs crowd: 14% YES on $6.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $603 | $29 | +$574 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | — | $58 | $58 |
| 🐟 Fish | 16 | $230 | $5.4K | $5.1K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 10 | $44 | $16 | +$28 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $585 | $0 | +$585 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $0 | $19 | $19 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $11 | $11 |
| Median | 7 | $43 | $4 | +$40 |
| Below median | 5 | $10 | $0 | +$10 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $47 | $7 | +$40 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $17 | $5.3K | $5.3K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $56 | $56 |
| unranked | 4 | $173 | $14 | +$159 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hearty-Coast 0x731a…033f | Yes | +628 | $585 | $585 | 10 | 04-26 12:01 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-26 12:01 |
| Flimsy-Lute 0x5849…a99e | No | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-26 11:02 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +60 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 04-26 11:02 |
| Charming-Collar 0x90b8…8665 | No | +51 | $-5 | $7 | 5 | 04-26 11:26 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-26 12:01 |
| Elegant-End 0x5226…8554 | No | +49 | $19 | $92 | 7 | 03-26 09:47 |
| Profitable-Veal 0x671a…b8f1 | No | +42 | $10 | $10 | 3 | 04-26 11:26 |
| Baggy-Familiar 0x6119…346e | Yes | +35 | $4 | $46 | 2 | 04-26 11:00 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +32 | $15 | $15 | 3 | 04-26 11:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | +25 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-26 11:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | No | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-26 11:02 |
| Speedy-Innervation 0xff30…4a37 | No | +20 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 03-26 09:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xc323…4408 | No | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-26 11:01 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | +10 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 04-26 11:00 |
| Focused-Intestine 0x22b8…8b13 | No | +9 | $-0 | $0 | 2 | 04-26 11:25 |
| Horrible-Snarl 0xae30…e371 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-09 11:04 |
| Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | No | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 03-22 07:40 |
| Intent-Property 0x57f5…c1c9 | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 04-26 11:02 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-26 11:02 |
| Mountainous-Incident 0xbff8…7073 | No | +4 | $2 | $7 | 2 | 03-22 07:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x0573…baf1 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-25 06:01 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-06 23:02 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-26 12:01:58 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9cb631… |
| 04-26 12:01:58 | Hearty-Coast 0x731a…033f | Yes | BUY | 150 | 100¢ | $150 | 0x9cb631… |
| 04-26 12:01:58 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9cb631… |
| 04-26 11:26:22 | Profitable-Veal 0x671a…b8f1 | No | BUY | 22 | 24¢ | $5 | 0x4367af… |
| 04-26 11:26:22 | Charming-Collar 0x90b8…8665 | No | BUY | 51 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x4367af… |
| 04-26 11:26:22 | Hearty-Coast 0x731a…033f | Yes | BUY | 72 | 92¢ | $67 | 0x4367af… |
| 04-26 11:25:32 | Focused-Intestine 0x22b8…8b13 | No | SELL | 1 | 24¢ | $0 | 0x1c89e3… |
| 04-26 11:25:32 | Profitable-Veal 0x671a…b8f1 | No | BUY | 1 | 24¢ | $0 | 0x1c89e3… |
| 04-26 11:25:00 | Profitable-Veal 0x671a…b8f1 | No | BUY | 19 | 24¢ | $5 | 0x5e8eb4… |
| 04-26 11:25:00 | Charming-Collar 0x90b8…8665 | No | SELL | 19 | 24¢ | $5 | 0x5e8eb4… |
| 04-26 11:02:50 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 25 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x25db23… |
| 04-26 11:02:50 | Hearty-Coast 0x731a…033f | Yes | BUY | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0x25db23… |
| 04-26 11:02:38 | Hearty-Coast 0x731a…033f | Yes | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xe043b8… |
| 04-26 11:02:38 | Focused-Intestine 0x22b8…8b13 | No | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe043b8… |
| 04-26 11:02:24 | Intent-Property 0x57f5…c1c9 | No | BUY | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0x689241… |
| 04-26 11:02:24 | Hearty-Coast 0x731a…033f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 60¢ | $3 | 0x689241… |
| 04-26 11:02:14 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 60 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x7b6eb4… |
| 04-26 11:02:14 | Flimsy-Lute 0x5849…a99e | No | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x7b6eb4… |
| 04-26 11:02:14 | Charming-Collar 0x90b8…8665 | No | BUY | 19 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7b6eb4… |
| 04-26 11:02:14 | Hearty-Coast 0x731a…033f | Yes | BUY | 264 | 98¢ | $259 | 0x7b6eb4… |
| 04-26 11:02:14 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | No | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7b6eb4… |
| 04-26 11:02:08 | (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | No | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xc70cfc… |
| 04-26 11:02:08 | Hearty-Coast 0x731a…033f | Yes | BUY | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0xc70cfc… |
| 04-26 11:01:56 | Hearty-Coast 0x731a…033f | Yes | BUY | 12 | 89¢ | $11 | 0x9c303b… |
| 04-26 11:01:56 | (anonymous) 0xc323…4408 | No | BUY | 12 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x9c303b… |
| 04-26 11:00:52 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 10 | 41¢ | $4 | 0x8a634f… |
| 04-26 11:00:52 | Hearty-Coast 0x731a…033f | Yes | BUY | 10 | 59¢ | $6 | 0x8a634f… |
| 04-26 11:00:40 | Improbable-Walkway 0x1e1a…ff36 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 61¢ | $3 | 0x913ec4… |
| 04-26 11:00:40 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 10 | 40¢ | $4 | 0x913ec4… |
| 04-26 11:00:40 | Hearty-Coast 0x731a…033f | Yes | BUY | 60 | 61¢ | $36 | 0x913ec4… |
| 04-26 11:00:40 | Baggy-Familiar 0x6119…346e | Yes | SELL | 35 | 61¢ | $21 | 0x913ec4… |
| 04-26 11:00:40 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | BUY | 10 | 40¢ | $4 | 0x913ec4… |
| 04-25 06:01:56 | Improbable-Walkway 0x1e1a…ff36 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 61¢ | $1 | 0xa716d4… |
| 04-25 06:01:56 | (anonymous) 0x0573…baf1 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 61¢ | $1 | 0xa716d4… |
| 04-17 08:11:18 | Improbable-Walkway 0x1e1a…ff36 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 61¢ | $2 | 0x299560… |
| 04-17 08:11:18 | Charming-Collar 0x90b8…8665 | No | SELL | 3 | 39¢ | $1 | 0x299560… |
| 04-16 06:23:56 | Baggy-Familiar 0x6119…346e | Yes | BUY | 70 | 36¢ | $25 | 0xfdc9ec… |
| 04-16 06:23:56 | Sweet-Wasp 0x13b6…c633 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 23¢ | $2 | 0xfdc9ec… |
| 04-16 06:23:56 | Flat-Checking 0x5154…a301 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 50¢ | $8 | 0xfdc9ec… |
| 04-16 06:23:56 | (anonymous) 0x99bc…4f35 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 22¢ | $7 | 0xfdc9ec… |
| 04-16 06:23:56 | Charming-Collar 0x90b8…8665 | No | BUY | 3 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xfdc9ec… |
| 04-16 06:23:56 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 12 | 57¢ | $7 | 0xfdc9ec… |
| 04-09 11:04:45 | Horrible-Snarl 0xae30…e371 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x9dee31… |
| 04-09 11:04:45 | Sweet-Wasp 0x13b6…c633 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x9dee31… |
| 04-06 23:02:43 | (anonymous) 0xbd91…6262 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x46115a… |
| 04-06 23:02:43 | Sweet-Wasp 0x13b6…c633 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x46115a… |
| 04-06 23:02:43 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x46115a… |
| 04-06 22:51:21 | Sweet-Wasp 0x13b6…c633 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xc76889… |
| 04-06 22:51:21 | Putrid-Reunion 0xa6f7…1f33 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xc76889… |
| 04-06 03:15:11 | (anonymous) 0xbd02…5e41 | No | SELL | 3 | 81¢ | $2 | 0x6836df… |
| 04-06 03:15:11 | Putrid-Reunion 0xa6f7…1f33 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x6836df… |
| 03-26 09:47:31 | Speedy-Innervation 0xff30…4a37 | No | BUY | 20 | 71¢ | $14 | 0xe913c6… |
| 03-26 09:47:31 | Elegant-End 0x5226…8554 | No | SELL | 15 | 72¢ | $11 | 0xe913c6… |
| 03-26 03:32:11 | (anonymous) 0xbd02…5e41 | No | BUY | 3 | 67¢ | $2 | 0xf836b6… |
| 03-26 03:32:11 | Elegant-End 0x5226…8554 | No | SELL | 3 | 67¢ | $2 | 0xf836b6… |
| 03-24 00:51:31 | (anonymous) 0x99bc…4f35 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 40¢ | $6 | 0x080aba… |
| 03-24 00:51:31 | Flat-Checking 0x5154…a301 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 40¢ | $6 | 0x080aba… |
| 03-23 05:34:31 | Elegant-End 0x5226…8554 | No | SELL | 12 | 67¢ | $8 | 0xe19865… |
| 03-23 05:34:31 | Mountainous-Incident 0xbff8…7073 | Yes | SELL | 32 | 34¢ | $11 | 0xe19865… |
| 03-23 05:34:31 | (anonymous) 0x99bc…4f35 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 34¢ | $7 | 0xe19865… |
| 03-23 05:28:41 | (anonymous) 0x99bc…4f35 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 41¢ | $11 | 0x5c3bd3… |
| 03-23 05:28:41 | Putrid-Reunion 0xa6f7…1f33 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 42¢ | $7 | 0x5c3bd3… |
| 03-23 05:28:41 | Mountainous-Incident 0xbff8…7073 | Yes | SELL | 68 | 41¢ | $28 | 0x5c3bd3… |
| 03-23 05:28:41 | Elegant-End 0x5226…8554 | No | SELL | 26 | 60¢ | $16 | 0x5c3bd3… |
| 03-22 22:51:39 | Elegant-End 0x5226…8554 | No | BUY | 40 | 54¢ | $22 | 0xab48f6… |
| 03-22 22:51:39 | Mountainous-Incident 0xbff8…7073 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 46¢ | $18 | 0xab48f6… |
| 03-22 22:51:31 | Elegant-End 0x5226…8554 | No | BUY | 10 | 54¢ | $5 | 0x2f83ec… |
| 03-22 22:51:31 | Mountainous-Incident 0xbff8…7073 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 46¢ | $5 | 0x2f83ec… |
| 03-22 22:50:41 | (anonymous) 0xbd91…6262 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 48¢ | $2 | 0x733d90… |
| 03-22 22:50:41 | Mountainous-Incident 0xbff8…7073 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 48¢ | $24 | 0x733d90… |
| 03-22 22:50:41 | Elegant-End 0x5226…8554 | No | BUY | 55 | 52¢ | $29 | 0x733d90… |
| 03-22 07:40:47 | (anonymous) 0x0f71…228a | No | SELL | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x672749… |
| 03-22 07:40:47 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | No | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x672749… |
| 03-22 07:36:27 | (anonymous) 0x0f71…228a | No | BUY | 6 | 45¢ | $3 | 0x2748c6… |
| 03-22 07:36:27 | Mountainous-Incident 0xbff8…7073 | No | SELL | 6 | 45¢ | $3 | 0x2748c6… |
| 03-22 04:35:51 | Mountainous-Incident 0xbff8…7073 | No | BUY | 10 | 45¢ | $5 | 0xf57fed… |
| 03-22 04:35:51 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | SELL | 10 | 45¢ | $5 | 0xf57fed… |
| 03-22 04:23:29 | (anonymous) 0xf4c3…4613 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x8efa91… |
| 03-22 04:23:29 | Conscious-Hydraulics 0xef8b…972c | No | SELL | 5,510 | 4¢ | $220 | 0x368c70… |
| 03-22 04:23:29 | Improbable-Walkway 0x1e1a…ff36 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x8efa91… |
| 03-22 04:23:29 | (anonymous) 0x76cf…88c4 | Yes | SELL | 110 | 96¢ | $106 | 0x368c70… |
| 03-22 04:23:29 | Thunderous-Incision 0x1e1c…5ee1 | Yes | SELL | 5,400 | 96¢ | $5,184 | 0x368c70… |
| 03-22 04:22:57 | (anonymous) 0x76cf…88c4 | Yes | BUY | 110 | 9¢ | $10 | 0xb8cfe3… |
| 03-22 04:22:57 | Conscious-Hydraulics 0xef8b…972c | No | BUY | 110 | 91¢ | $100 | 0xb8cfe3… |
| 03-22 04:22:27 | (anonymous) 0xf4c3…4613 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x6c0996… |
| 03-22 04:22:27 | Thunderous-Incision 0x1e1c…5ee1 | Yes | BUY | 5,400 | 3¢ | $162 | 0x328fd5… |
| 03-22 04:22:27 | Conscious-Hydraulics 0xef8b…972c | No | BUY | 5,400 | 97¢ | $5,238 | 0x328fd5… |
| 03-22 04:22:27 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x6c0996… |