Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on May 10?
open
Total volume
$559
$709 in 24h
Trades
77
Unique wallets
50
Liquidity
$242
Latest YES mid
98¢
Latest NO mid
2¢
End date
2026-05-10
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-10 14:46
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+13.9¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $33
vs crowd: 86% YES on $527)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $13 | $40 | $26 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 45 | $441 | $33 | +$407 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $33 | — | +$33 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $52 | $10 | +$42 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 11 | $82 | $14 | +$68 |
| Median | 7 | $104 | $12 | +$92 |
| Below median | 14 | $14 | $9 | +$5 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $100 | $5 | +$95 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $44 | $23 | +$20 |
| unranked | 3 | $26 | — | +$26 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warmhearted-Lunchmeat 0x4af1…b520 | Yes | +101 | $96 | $96 | 1 | 05-10 14:32 |
| Brown-Spy 0x4a5e…daeb | Yes | +92 | $89 | $89 | 1 | 05-10 14:46 |
| Deserted-Legging 0xf114…6ecc | Yes | +60 | $38 | $60 | 10 | 05-10 14:26 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +49 | $33 | $33 | 4 | 05-10 14:02 |
| Odd-Scenery 0xd1fc…d98a | Yes | +42 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-10 14:32 |
| Submissive-Shear 0x204b…75f3 | Yes | +34 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-10 14:02 |
| Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | Yes | +30 | $10 | $10 | 10 | 05-10 14:07 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +30 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-10 03:30 |
| Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | Yes | +28 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-10 14:02 |
| Calculating-Botany 0x73d0…6972 | Yes | +26 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-09 17:50 |
| Able-Outlet 0x77bd…e48f | Yes | +20 | $14 | $14 | 4 | 05-10 14:02 |
| Monumental-Uniformity 0xf1de…bbbc | No | +19 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 14:02 |
| Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | Yes | +18 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-10 14:02 |
| Spherical-Poppy 0xae8f…c820 | Yes | +18 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 03:22 |
| Impressive-Hoof 0xec7c…7ad4 | Yes | +15 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 00:14 |
| Digital-Dungeon 0xd24b…187d | Yes | +14 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-10 14:32 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +13 | $10 | $10 | 3 | 05-10 03:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xac44…f420 | Yes | +12 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 05:36 |
| Yearly-Excitement 0xbcf9…96e1 | No | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 14:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x1297…1fb0 | Yes | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-10 14:06 |
| Elliptical-Counselling 0xce50…6db3 | No | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 14:07 |
| Stylish-Poverty 0x4a3b…256e | Yes | +8 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 13:56 |
| Ultimate-Rostrum 0x9b43…33ce | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 06:38 |
| Costly-Current 0xe8b9…3afc | No | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 14:17 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-09 07:04 |
| Chubby-Biopsy 0x7f85…cf2d | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 13:41 |
| Private-Brushing 0xf683…3ff3 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 13:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xfcd3…31fb | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 12:43 |
| Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 13:35 |
| Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 20:21 |
| Clear-Thorn 0xbd73…2e72 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 14:11 |
| Greedy-Camel 0x39bb…13d7 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 08:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xa7cc…949e | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 19:35 |
| Idle-Explanation 0x8429…642f | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 10:07 |
| Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 07:22 |
| Knowing-Draw 0x6715…eb49 | No | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 14:02 |
| Forsaken-Bureau 0xaff7…fb8b | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 14:27 |
| Famous-Moody 0x988e…d0d0 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 23:16 |
| Unsung-Instant 0x34bb…db52 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 01:00 |
| Harmful-Flugelhorn 0x3d41…e3dd | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 12:11 |
| Deserted-Menopause 0x6a49…59e0 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 02:31 |
| Slippery-Cable 0x01f2…c3de | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-10 11:21 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 14:46:30 | Brown-Spy 0x4a5e…daeb | Yes | BUY | 92 | 97¢ | $89 | 0x78b483… |
| 05-10 14:32:34 | Digital-Dungeon 0xd24b…187d | Yes | BUY | 14 | 96¢ | $13 | 0x6362dd… |
| 05-10 14:32:34 | Warmhearted-Lunchmeat 0x4af1…b520 | Yes | BUY | 101 | 95¢ | $96 | 0x84ffdf… |
| 05-10 14:32:27 | Odd-Scenery 0xd1fc…d98a | Yes | BUY | 42 | 95¢ | $40 | 0xc6cf94… |
| 05-10 14:27:22 | Forsaken-Bureau 0xaff7…fb8b | Yes | BUY | 2 | 91¢ | $2 | 0xbf1f1b… |
| 05-10 14:26:05 | Deserted-Legging 0xf114…6ecc | Yes | SELL | 12 | 89¢ | $11 | 0x466632… |
| 05-10 14:25:39 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x1bf23f… |
| 05-10 14:17:11 | Costly-Current 0xe8b9…3afc | No | BUY | 7 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x5c6928… |
| 05-10 14:11:41 | Clear-Thorn 0xbd73…2e72 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x020772… |
| 05-10 14:11:25 | Yearly-Excitement 0xbcf9…96e1 | No | BUY | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x7dde19… |
| 05-10 14:07:22 | Elliptical-Counselling 0xce50…6db3 | No | BUY | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x5b4dd6… |
| 05-10 14:07:09 | Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x795a61… |
| 05-10 14:06:26 | (anonymous) 0x1297…1fb0 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0x39c86a… |
| 05-10 14:06:22 | Wise-Bloom 0xe829…4cfc | Yes | SELL | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x018e38… |
| 05-10 14:02:29 | Knowing-Draw 0x6715…eb49 | No | BUY | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xa2524d… |
| 05-10 14:02:26 | Submissive-Shear 0x204b…75f3 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 89¢ | $30 | 0x963730… |
| 05-10 14:02:24 | Monumental-Uniformity 0xf1de…bbbc | No | BUY | 19 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x0703b3… |
| 05-10 14:02:21 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 86¢ | $12 | 0xead384… |
| 05-10 14:02:21 | Able-Outlet 0x77bd…e48f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x30ba25… |
| 05-10 14:02:21 | Able-Outlet 0x77bd…e48f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0xa19963… |
| 05-10 14:02:21 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | Yes | BUY | 18 | 76¢ | $14 | 0x38f0f0… |
| 05-10 14:02:17 | Deserted-Legging 0xf114…6ecc | Yes | BUY | 8 | 70¢ | $5 | 0xaca5f2… |
| 05-10 14:02:15 | Deserted-Legging 0xf114…6ecc | Yes | BUY | 8 | 67¢ | $5 | 0x381ea6… |
| 05-10 14:02:15 | Deserted-Legging 0xf114…6ecc | Yes | BUY | 8 | 70¢ | $5 | 0xfa9a7b… |
| 05-10 14:02:15 | Deserted-Legging 0xf114…6ecc | Yes | BUY | 8 | 70¢ | $5 | 0x0189be… |
| 05-10 14:02:15 | Deserted-Legging 0xf114…6ecc | Yes | BUY | 8 | 70¢ | $5 | 0xf7537c… |
| 05-10 14:02:15 | Deserted-Legging 0xf114…6ecc | Yes | BUY | 8 | 70¢ | $5 | 0x1d6d36… |
| 05-10 14:02:14 | Deserted-Legging 0xf114…6ecc | Yes | BUY | 8 | 70¢ | $5 | 0x640aee… |
| 05-10 14:02:14 | Deserted-Legging 0xf114…6ecc | Yes | BUY | 9 | 61¢ | $5 | 0x7d77b6… |
| 05-10 14:02:14 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 64¢ | $19 | 0x7a7777… |
| 05-10 14:02:14 | Deserted-Legging 0xf114…6ecc | Yes | BUY | 8 | 69¢ | $5 | 0x5fd074… |
| 05-10 14:02:12 | Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 59¢ | $17 | 0x491fc5… |
| 05-10 14:02:10 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 54¢ | $1 | 0x4fdb20… |
| 05-10 14:02:08 | Able-Outlet 0x77bd…e48f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0x34ba4e… |
| 05-10 14:02:07 | Able-Outlet 0x77bd…e48f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0xf9b4de… |
| 05-10 13:56:50 | Stylish-Poverty 0x4a3b…256e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 53¢ | $4 | 0x962363… |
| 05-10 13:42:01 | (anonymous) 0x297c…0f89 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 37¢ | $4 | 0x46a08c… |
| 05-10 13:41:38 | Private-Brushing 0xf683…3ff3 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 40¢ | $2 | 0x57b7f1… |
| 05-10 13:41:36 | Chubby-Biopsy 0x7f85…cf2d | Yes | BUY | 6 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x2b1771… |
| 05-10 13:35:59 | Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | BUY | 6 | 65¢ | $4 | 0x26dc2b… |
| 05-10 12:11:25 | Harmful-Flugelhorn 0x3d41…e3dd | No | BUY | 2 | 66¢ | $1 | 0x535d3a… |
| 05-10 11:21:24 | Slippery-Cable 0x01f2…c3de | Yes | BUY | 1 | 26¢ | $0 | 0x3e2082… |
| 05-10 11:01:57 | Fickle-Finding 0xdf69…a33f | Yes | SELL | 3 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x2c369f… |
| 05-10 10:07:26 | Idle-Explanation 0x8429…642f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x3e1d3d… |
| 05-10 10:07:19 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0xab232a… |
| 05-10 09:08:00 | Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 38¢ | $1 | 0xf5c74c… |
| 05-10 08:09:26 | Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 40¢ | $1 | 0x65ee60… |
| 05-10 08:08:05 | Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 38¢ | $1 | 0x0f61d7… |
| 05-10 08:03:13 | Greedy-Camel 0x39bb…13d7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 37¢ | $2 | 0xb18ad7… |
| 05-10 07:22:23 | Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | BUY | 5 | 67¢ | $3 | 0xf38a2a… |
| 05-10 06:38:12 | Ultimate-Rostrum 0x9b43…33ce | No | BUY | 8 | 66¢ | $5 | 0x8f86e9… |
| 05-10 06:08:35 | Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 30¢ | $1 | 0x0ac954… |
| 05-10 05:52:10 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 24¢ | $1 | 0xb8e51a… |
| 05-10 05:36:13 | (anonymous) 0xac44…f420 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 26¢ | $3 | 0x43ca6d… |
| 05-10 05:11:41 | Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 25¢ | $1 | 0xe5abb0… |
| 05-10 04:11:01 | Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x8922c5… |
| 05-10 03:30:51 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 30 | 78¢ | $23 | 0xaec5b6… |
| 05-10 03:24:47 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 77¢ | $4 | 0x082999… |
| 05-10 03:24:39 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 7 | 76¢ | $5 | 0xc4f278… |
| 05-10 03:24:30 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 1 | 76¢ | $1 | 0xf78fb5… |
| 05-10 03:22:06 | Spherical-Poppy 0xae8f…c820 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 25¢ | $4 | 0xd40d3a… |
| 05-10 03:09:55 | Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x97259c… |
| 05-10 02:31:39 | Deserted-Menopause 0x6a49…59e0 | No | BUY | 1 | 79¢ | $1 | 0x37941d… |
| 05-10 01:07:58 | Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 30¢ | $1 | 0x0022fb… |
| 05-10 01:00:55 | Unsung-Instant 0x34bb…db52 | No | BUY | 2 | 77¢ | $1 | 0x8c72af… |
| 05-10 00:14:15 | Impressive-Hoof 0xec7c…7ad4 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 31¢ | $5 | 0xfe882c… |
| 05-10 00:08:07 | Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 31¢ | $1 | 0x0c0b54… |
| 05-09 19:57:33 | Spectacular-Pennant 0x68cf…9b9c | Yes | SELL | 13 | 27¢ | $4 | 0x61c0af… |
| 05-09 17:50:05 | Calculating-Botany 0x73d0…6972 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 27¢ | $7 | 0xf85aef… |
| 05-09 12:43:28 | (anonymous) 0xfcd3…31fb | No | BUY | 6 | 79¢ | $5 | 0x8caefd… |
| 05-09 07:04:38 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 7 | 89¢ | $6 | 0xd4f188… |
| 05-09 04:10:30 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x6ba7f6… |
| 05-08 23:16:46 | Famous-Moody 0x988e…d0d0 | No | BUY | 2 | 91¢ | $2 | 0x1d3bfe… |
| 05-08 22:06:46 | Charming-Shingle 0xa71d…29f0 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x1479f1… |
| 05-08 20:21:37 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | BUY | 6 | 82¢ | $5 | 0xfe938e… |
| 05-08 19:48:40 | Circular-Fat 0xe7fb…5fb7 | No | SELL | 6 | 80¢ | $5 | 0xbf5cc9… |
| 05-08 19:35:06 | (anonymous) 0xa7cc…949e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x5a6e29… |