Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $345 in May?
open
Total volume
$830
Trades
44
Unique wallets
29
Liquidity
$594
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-06-01
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-27 02:59
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-0.4¢
(top1%: 1% YES on $313
vs crowd: 1% YES on $802)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $2 | $312 | $310 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | $4 | $26 | $23 |
| 🐟 Fish | 11 | $2 | $457 | $455 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 6 | $0 | — | +$0 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $2 | $312 | $310 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Median | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| Below median | 3 | $0 | $26 | $26 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| unranked | 10 | $0 | $457 | $456 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Double-Scrim 0x7804…7025 | No | +211 | $209 | $209 | 1 | 05-22 09:18 |
| Zealous-Foot 0x98b2…15a1 | No | +208 | $208 | $208 | 1 | 05-25 05:37 |
| Wobbly-Order 0xa540…0b43 | Yes | +127 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-22 09:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x867b…93f5 | No | +127 | $126 | $126 | 1 | 05-25 05:31 |
| Genuine-Segment 0xd34b…0004 | No | +105 | $103 | $103 | 1 | 05-20 08:39 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +102 | $1 | $1 | 4 | 05-25 05:37 |
| Kind-Senator 0x4b91…982d | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-25 05:37 |
| Staid-Tire 0x3ddf…5c37 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-25 05:31 |
| andy29 0xa75c…895e | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-25 07:18 |
| Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | +100 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 05-23 16:21 |
| Bite-Sized-Alloy 0x6c1a…df26 | No | +90 | $90 | $90 | 1 | 05-25 06:22 |
| Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | +72 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-25 05:37 |
| Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | +65 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-23 16:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xc194…c49c | Yes | +30 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-25 05:37 |
| Rotten-Sake 0xd415…8246 | No | +18 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-25 05:32 |
| Acceptable-Stinger 0x37c9…a763 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-23 02:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xf450…9e45 | Yes | +14 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-25 07:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x9895…3870 | Yes | +12 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-25 07:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xd2b8…7223 | Yes | +12 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-25 07:18 |
| Memorable-Pool 0xa69f…f921 | Yes | +12 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-25 07:18 |
| Lucky-Pear 0x843c…4863 | Yes | +11 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-25 07:18 |
| Sane-Aardvark 0x7765…6650 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-22 14:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa35…82a1 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-20 08:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x3424…5d5e | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-25 07:18 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-27 02:59:01 | Cheap-Drain 0x405f…4940 | Yes | SELL | 27 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xccc2e1… |
| 05-27 02:59:01 | Appropriate-Handrail 0x2aae…a80c | No | SELL | 27 | 100¢ | $27 | 0xccc2e1… |
| 05-25 07:18:17 | (anonymous) 0xd2b8…7223 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7deb1d… |
| 05-25 07:18:17 | Memorable-Pool 0xa69f…f921 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7deb1d… |
| 05-25 07:18:17 | Cheap-Drain 0x405f…4940 | Yes | SELL | 166 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7deb1d… |
| 05-25 07:18:17 | (anonymous) 0xf450…9e45 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7deb1d… |
| 05-25 07:18:17 | Lucky-Pear 0x843c…4863 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7deb1d… |
| 05-25 07:18:17 | (anonymous) 0x3424…5d5e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7deb1d… |
| 05-25 07:18:17 | andy29 0xa75c…895e | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7deb1d… |
| 05-25 07:18:17 | (anonymous) 0x9895…3870 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7deb1d… |
| 05-25 06:22:17 | Cheap-Drain 0x405f…4940 | Yes | BUY | 90 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x27cf1f… |
| 05-25 06:22:17 | Bite-Sized-Alloy 0x6c1a…df26 | No | BUY | 90 | 100¢ | $90 | 0x27cf1f… |
| 05-25 05:37:36 | (anonymous) 0xc194…c49c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x25d481… |
| 05-25 05:37:36 | Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | BUY | 72 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x25d481… |
| 05-25 05:37:36 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x25d481… |
| 05-25 05:37:36 | Kind-Senator 0x4b91…982d | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x25d481… |
| 05-25 05:37:36 | Zealous-Foot 0x98b2…15a1 | No | BUY | 208 | 100¢ | $208 | 0x25d481… |
| 05-25 05:32:49 | Rotten-Sake 0xd415…8246 | No | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0xe4778e… |
| 05-25 05:32:49 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 18 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe4778e… |
| 05-25 05:31:27 | (anonymous) 0x867b…93f5 | No | BUY | 127 | 100¢ | $126 | 0xcb04f2… |
| 05-25 05:31:27 | Staid-Tire 0x3ddf…5c37 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcb04f2… |
| 05-25 05:31:27 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 27 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcb04f2… |
| 05-23 16:21:29 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x251154… |
| 05-23 16:21:29 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x251154… |
| 05-23 16:21:29 | Gullible-Rib 0xf376…e767 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x251154… |
| 05-23 02:35:11 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x29c662… |
| 05-23 02:35:11 | Acceptable-Stinger 0x37c9…a763 | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x29c662… |
| 05-22 14:01:42 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb0ac70… |
| 05-22 14:01:42 | Sane-Aardvark 0x7765…6650 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb0ac70… |
| 05-22 09:18:57 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcc50ee… |
| 05-22 09:18:57 | Gullible-Rib 0xf376…e767 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcc50ee… |
| 05-22 09:18:54 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbc82ce… |
| 05-22 09:18:54 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xbc82ce… |
| 05-22 09:18:54 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 51 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xbc82ce… |
| 05-22 09:18:54 | Wobbly-Order 0xa540…0b43 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xbc82ce… |
| 05-22 09:18:54 | Double-Scrim 0x7804…7025 | No | BUY | 211 | 99¢ | $209 | 0xbc82ce… |
| 05-20 08:39:31 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x083008… |
| 05-20 08:39:31 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x083008… |
| 05-20 08:39:28 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x7a23b5… |
| 05-20 08:39:28 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x7a23b5… |
| 05-20 08:39:28 | Genuine-Segment 0xd34b…0004 | No | BUY | 105 | 98¢ | $103 | 0x7a23b5… |
| 05-20 08:39:28 | (anonymous) 0xaa35…82a1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x7a23b5… |
| 05-05 00:08:00 | Appropriate-Handrail 0x2aae…a80c | No | BUY | 27 | 98¢ | $26 | 0xf25af5… |
| 05-05 00:08:00 | Wobbly-Order 0xa540…0b43 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xf25af5… |