Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.3% before 2027?
closed
Total volume
$5,950
Trades
85
Unique wallets
38
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-01-05
last 01-21 17:36
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+0.9¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $99
vs crowd: 99% YES on $5.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 6 | $4.7K | $7 | +$4.7K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 7 | $49 | $21 | +$27 |
| 🐟 Fish | 12 | $849 | $18 | +$830 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 13 | $50 | $6 | +$44 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $99 | — | +$99 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $17 | $17 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $1 | $1 |
| Median | 4 | $25 | $2 | +$23 |
| Below median | 11 | $49 | $14 | +$35 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | — | $7 | $7 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $261 | $6 | +$255 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| unranked | 10 | $5.2K | $4 | +$5.2K |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xbb01…02e5 | Yes | +4,606 | $4,600 | $4,600 | 1 | 01-21 17:29 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | +3,653 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 01-21 17:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x3df4…ead2 | Yes | +594 | $587 | $587 | 1 | 01-21 17:26 |
| Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | No | +300 | $9 | $21 | 8 | 01-21 17:26 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | No | +200 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 01-21 17:26 |
| Fragrant-Interchange 0xd493…7f04 | No | +200 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 01-21 17:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x4018…d14a | No | +194 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 01-21 17:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x35c0…81d6 | No | +179 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 01-21 17:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x1d37…f4a4 | Yes | +137 | $121 | $402 | 10 | 01-21 04:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xef2a…bd7e | No | +119 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 01-21 17:29 |
| Fake-Guard 0x6ffb…a834 | Yes | +100 | $99 | $99 | 1 | 01-21 17:36 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 01-21 17:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x9dc2…0727 | No | +100 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 01-21 17:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x161f…b075 | No | +53 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 01-21 17:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xe9b4…f03a | No | +49 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 01-21 17:29 |
| Agreeable-Affair 0xe2d7…49d8 | No | +45 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 01-16 20:43 |
| Willing-Eaves 0x38a4…4ef2 | No | +40 | $0 | $2 | 3 | 01-21 17:26 |
| Hateful-Mastoid 0x62ba…31db | Yes | +33 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 01-12 20:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xa4bd…e8a2 | No | +30 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 01-13 13:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xe23d…93a4 | No | +30 | $9 | $11 | 3 | 01-13 19:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xf6f1…30a8 | Yes | +20 | $16 | $16 | 2 | 01-11 08:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xf8b7…14de | No | +20 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 01-21 17:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | +18 | $-2 | $6 | 7 | 01-21 17:29 |
| Envious-Version 0x0ad7…0971 | No | +18 | $-0 | $2 | 7 | 01-21 17:30 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | +15 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 01-21 17:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x34ce…9261 | Yes | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 01-20 09:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | No | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 01-20 09:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xfd52…0c2f | Yes | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 01-21 17:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xc9ba…556a | No | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 01-13 13:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x657b…f653 | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 01-21 00:43 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-21 17:36:10 | Fake-Guard 0x6ffb…a834 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xf0ed6b… |
| 01-21 17:36:10 | Fragrant-Interchange 0xd493…7f04 | No | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xf0ed6b… |
| 01-21 17:30:10 | (anonymous) 0xfd52…0c2f | Yes | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xc84ce6… |
| 01-21 17:30:10 | Envious-Version 0x0ad7…0971 | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc84ce6… |
| 01-21 17:29:28 | (anonymous) 0xe9b4…f03a | No | BUY | 49 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8d5278… |
| 01-21 17:29:28 | (anonymous) 0xf8b7…14de | No | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8d5278… |
| 01-21 17:29:28 | (anonymous) 0x4018…d14a | No | BUY | 194 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8d5278… |
| 01-21 17:29:28 | Appropriate-Handrail 0x2aae…a80c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x8d5278… |
| 01-21 17:29:28 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8d5278… |
| 01-21 17:29:28 | Envious-Version 0x0ad7…0971 | No | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8d5278… |
| 01-21 17:29:28 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 18 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8d5278… |
| 01-21 17:29:28 | (anonymous) 0x35c0…81d6 | No | BUY | 179 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8d5278… |
| 01-21 17:29:28 | Fragrant-Interchange 0xd493…7f04 | No | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x8d5278… |
| 01-21 17:29:28 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | BUY | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8d5278… |
| 01-21 17:29:28 | (anonymous) 0xbb01…02e5 | Yes | BUY | 4,606 | 100¢ | $4,600 | 0x8d5278… |
| 01-21 17:29:28 | (anonymous) 0xef2a…bd7e | No | BUY | 119 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8d5278… |
| 01-21 17:29:28 | (anonymous) 0x161f…b075 | No | BUY | 53 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8d5278… |
| 01-21 17:29:28 | (anonymous) 0x9dc2…0727 | No | BUY | 17 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8d5278… |
| 01-21 17:29:28 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | BUY | 3,653 | 0¢ | $4 | 0x8d5278… |
| 01-21 17:26:30 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | No | BUY | 200 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x3fba81… |
| 01-21 17:26:30 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | No | BUY | 200 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x3fba81… |
| 01-21 17:26:30 | (anonymous) 0x3df4…ead2 | Yes | BUY | 594 | 99¢ | $587 | 0x3fba81… |
| 01-21 17:26:30 | Envious-Version 0x0ad7…0971 | No | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3fba81… |
| 01-21 17:26:30 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 18 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3fba81… |
| 01-21 17:26:30 | Willing-Eaves 0x38a4…4ef2 | No | BUY | 41 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3fba81… |
| 01-21 17:26:30 | (anonymous) 0x9dc2…0727 | No | BUY | 83 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x3fba81… |
| 01-21 17:26:30 | Frigid-Dig 0x9551…8c45 | Yes | SELL | 45 | 99¢ | $44 | 0x3fba81… |
| 01-21 04:39:24 | (anonymous) 0x1d37…f4a4 | Yes | SELL | 45 | 97¢ | $44 | 0xf88290… |
| 01-21 04:39:24 | Frigid-Dig 0x9551…8c45 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 97¢ | $44 | 0xf88290… |
| 01-21 04:39:16 | (anonymous) 0x1d37…f4a4 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 98¢ | $14 | 0xbebcaa… |
| 01-21 04:39:16 | Envious-Version 0x0ad7…0971 | No | SELL | 14 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xbebcaa… |
| 01-21 00:43:08 | (anonymous) 0x657b…f653 | No | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8fa8bc… |
| 01-21 00:43:08 | Appropriate-Handrail 0x2aae…a80c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x8fa8bc… |
| 01-20 20:28:34 | (anonymous) 0x86d3…3359 | No | SELL | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3801ab… |
| 01-20 20:28:34 | Envious-Version 0x0ad7…0971 | No | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3801ab… |
| 01-20 19:06:04 | (anonymous) 0xf5ac…9bcb | No | SELL | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xaa4c02… |
| 01-20 19:06:04 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xaa4c02… |
| 01-20 09:25:10 | (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | No | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x0275be… |
| 01-20 09:25:10 | (anonymous) 0x34ce…9261 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x0275be… |
| 01-17 14:54:54 | (anonymous) 0xf5ac…9bcb | No | BUY | 7 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x666cab… |
| 01-17 14:54:54 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | No | SELL | 7 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x666cab… |
| 01-16 20:43:34 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | No | SELL | 7 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x047cf5… |
| 01-16 20:43:34 | Agreeable-Affair 0xe2d7…49d8 | No | BUY | 7 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x047cf5… |
| 01-16 20:38:28 | Agreeable-Affair 0xe2d7…49d8 | No | BUY | 38 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x54f93c… |
| 01-16 20:38:28 | Remote-Demur 0x9a67…af26 | No | SELL | 38 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x54f93c… |
| 01-16 17:26:56 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 37 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x04b880… |
| 01-16 17:26:56 | Willing-Eaves 0x38a4…4ef2 | No | SELL | 10 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x04b880… |
| 01-16 17:26:56 | (anonymous) 0x1d37…f4a4 | Yes | SELL | 70 | 93¢ | $65 | 0x04b880… |
| 01-16 17:26:56 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 23 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x04b880… |
| 01-16 03:51:46 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | No | SELL | 23 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x07d188… |
| 01-16 03:51:46 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | BUY | 23 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x07d188… |
| 01-15 19:03:12 | Remote-Demur 0x9a67…af26 | No | BUY | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x1ba014… |
| 01-15 19:03:12 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | No | SELL | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x1ba014… |
| 01-15 18:07:24 | (anonymous) 0x86d3…3359 | No | BUY | 7 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xe82dbf… |
| 01-15 18:07:24 | (anonymous) 0x1d37…f4a4 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 93¢ | $18 | 0xe82dbf… |
| 01-15 18:07:24 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 12 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xe82dbf… |
| 01-15 18:07:08 | (anonymous) 0x86d3…3359 | No | BUY | 7 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xc85df2… |
| 01-15 18:07:08 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 12 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xc85df2… |
| 01-15 18:07:08 | (anonymous) 0x1d37…f4a4 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 93¢ | $18 | 0xc85df2… |
| 01-15 11:31:42 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 12 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x4de3e2… |
| 01-15 11:31:42 | Remote-Demur 0x9a67…af26 | No | BUY | 24 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x4de3e2… |
| 01-15 11:31:42 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | No | SELL | 12 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x4de3e2… |
| 01-14 18:50:34 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | No | SELL | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xc64517… |
| 01-14 18:50:34 | Envious-Version 0x0ad7…0971 | No | SELL | 7 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xc64517… |
| 01-14 18:50:34 | (anonymous) 0x1d37…f4a4 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 92¢ | $18 | 0xc64517… |
| 01-13 19:19:32 | (anonymous) 0xe23d…93a4 | No | SELL | 10 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xa9a6a4… |
| 01-13 19:19:32 | Willing-Eaves 0x38a4…4ef2 | No | BUY | 10 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xa9a6a4… |
| 01-13 13:10:53 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | No | BUY | 175 | 7¢ | $12 | 0x355722… |
| 01-13 13:10:53 | (anonymous) 0x1d37…f4a4 | Yes | BUY | 175 | 93¢ | $163 | 0x355722… |
| 01-13 13:10:47 | (anonymous) 0x1d37…f4a4 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 92¢ | $28 | 0xddc100… |
| 01-13 13:10:47 | (anonymous) 0xa4bd…e8a2 | No | BUY | 30 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xddc100… |
| 01-13 13:10:37 | (anonymous) 0x1d37…f4a4 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 92¢ | $7 | 0x0b6396… |
| 01-13 13:10:37 | Envious-Version 0x0ad7…0971 | No | BUY | 7 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x0b6396… |
| 01-13 13:10:29 | (anonymous) 0xc9ba…556a | No | BUY | 6 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x0fc7b0… |
| 01-13 13:10:29 | (anonymous) 0x4ba4…8a89 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 80¢ | $24 | 0x0fc7b0… |
| 01-13 13:10:29 | (anonymous) 0x1d37…f4a4 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 80¢ | $28 | 0x0fc7b0… |
| 01-12 20:10:51 | Hateful-Mastoid 0x62ba…31db | Yes | BUY | 33 | 75¢ | $25 | 0x586065… |
| 01-12 20:10:51 | (anonymous) 0x4ba4…8a89 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 80¢ | $2 | 0x586065… |
| 01-12 20:10:51 | (anonymous) 0xe23d…93a4 | No | BUY | 30 | 25¢ | $8 | 0x586065… |
| 01-11 08:57:46 | (anonymous) 0xf6f1…30a8 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 75¢ | $8 | 0xe82aa4… |
| 01-11 08:57:46 | (anonymous) 0xe23d…93a4 | No | BUY | 10 | 25¢ | $2 | 0xe82aa4… |
| 01-09 07:46:10 | (anonymous) 0x4ba4…8a89 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 80¢ | $8 | 0xb06006… |
| 01-09 07:46:10 | (anonymous) 0xf6f1…30a8 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 80¢ | $8 | 0xb06006… |
| 01-05 06:03:11 | (anonymous) 0xac58…39a8 | No | SELL | 1 | 20¢ | $0 | 0xea1b78… |
| 01-05 06:03:11 | (anonymous) 0x4ba4…8a89 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0xea1b78… |