Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$51,453

Trades

5,488

Unique wallets

910

Liquidity

$0

Latest YES mid

45¢

Latest NO mid

55¢

End date

2026-10-18

First seen

2026-10-18

last 10-18 00:40

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

(anon) +10,000 (anon) +1,542 Windy-Turban +1,303 Supportive-Matchmaker +1,080 (anon) +1,023 (anon) +1,000 Everlasting-Aperitif +903 Vague-Hourglass +750

NO holders

Caring-Memory +3,000 Caring-Kingfish +3,000 Miserly-Pound +2,894 (anon) +1,427 (anon) +1,364 Windy-Turban +1,347 Supportive-Matchmaker +1,082 (anon) +943

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: -3.7¢ (top1%: 21% YES on $28.4K vs crowd: 24% YES on $46.5K)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	168	$6.5K	$24.7K	$18.2K
🐬 Dolphin	260	$3.2K	$7.4K	$4.2K
🐟 Fish	282	$1.0K	$2.5K	$1.5K
🦐 Shrimp	200	$647	$730	$83

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	187	$5.9K	$22.6K	$16.7K
🏆 Top 5%	111	$677	$2.3K	$1.6K
✅ Top 10%	54	$215	$546	$331
Median	53	$80	$335	$256
Below median	193	$846	$884	$38
⚠️ Bottom 10%	122	$440	$1.2K	$733
🔻 Bottom 5%	130	$1.7K	$5.2K	$3.5K
💀 Bottom 1%	60	$1.5K	$2.3K	$741

Wallet leaderboard (60) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
(anonymous) 0x4c15…532f	Up	+10,000	$100	$100	1	10-18 00:39
Caring-Memory 0x13f0…a50f	Down	+3,000	$2,970	$2,970	1	10-18 00:39
Caring-Kingfish 0x6fc4…c89d	Down	+3,000	$2,970	$2,970	1	10-18 00:39
Miserly-Pound 0x9ad6…4251	Down	+2,894	$2,865	$2,865	9	10-18 00:40
(anonymous) 0x41e2…a354	Up	+1,542	$597	$597	80	10-18 00:39
(anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279	Down	+1,427	$1,413	$1,413	3	10-18 00:39
(anonymous) 0x41e2…a354	Down	+1,364	$831	$831	57	10-18 00:39
Windy-Turban 0xe290…a33f	Down	+1,347	$677	$677	64	10-18 00:38
Windy-Turban 0xe290…a33f	Up	+1,303	$521	$521	47	10-18 00:37
Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea	Down	+1,082	$831	$831	68	10-18 00:38
Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea	Up	+1,080	$297	$297	62	10-18 00:38
(anonymous) 0x5a06…ffa2	Up	+1,023	$336	$336	68	10-18 00:39
(anonymous) 0xa4f8…e6a0	Up	+1,000	$10	$10	1	10-18 00:39
(anonymous) 0xb05f…6a63	Down	+943	$934	$934	1	10-18 00:39
(anonymous) 0x5a06…ffa2	Down	+928	$567	$567	58	10-18 00:39
Everlasting-Aperitif 0x2465…5d84	Up	+903	$600	$600	1	10-18 00:34
(anonymous) 0x688b…2157	Down	+800	$792	$792	4	10-18 00:39
Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d	Up	+750	$84	$84	25	10-18 00:39
Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d	Down	+727	$326	$326	23	10-18 00:39
(anonymous) 0xc533…69a9	Up	+710	$364	$364	44	10-18 00:39
Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df	Up	+700	$7	$7	5	10-18 00:39
(anonymous) 0x764f…c347	Up	+649	$124	$124	62	10-18 00:39
(anonymous) 0x4483…54c6	Up	+543	$198	$198	11	10-18 00:39
(anonymous) 0x4483…54c6	Down	+539	$295	$295	20	10-18 00:39
Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79	Down	+534	$529	$529	2	10-18 00:39
(anonymous) 0xc4e2…fef6	Up	+522	$360	$360	6	10-18 00:36
(anonymous) 0xbdd6…4283	Up	+512	$10	$10	2	10-18 00:39
Squiggly-Hearth 0x8ea9…5b98	Up	+509	$20	$20	10	10-18 00:39
(anonymous) 0xc533…69a9	Down	+506	$237	$237	29	10-18 00:39
Bright-Jasmine 0x2277…6604	Down	+504	$499	$499	16	10-18 00:39
(anonymous) 0x764f…c347	Down	+501	$288	$288	58	10-18 00:39
Sniveling-Curd 0x691f…877a	Up	+501	$30	$30	13	10-18 00:37
(anonymous) 0x94a8…ffd1	Up	+500	$5	$5	1	10-18 00:39
(anonymous) 0x5594…b390	Down	+500	$495	$495	1	10-18 00:39
Humming-Mime 0x18c1…2183	Up	+472	$180	$180	68	10-18 00:39
(anonymous) 0xb543…5d5e	Down	+456	$189	$189	19	10-18 00:39
Humming-Mime 0x18c1…2183	Down	+433	$225	$225	48	10-18 00:39
(anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e	Up	+413	$5	$5	14	10-18 00:39
(anonymous) 0xbf33…6bf7	Up	+407	$127	$127	36	10-18 00:38
(anonymous) 0xbf33…6bf7	Down	+404	$151	$151	34	10-18 00:39
(anonymous) 0xebb2…63ed	Down	+400	$390	$390	5	10-18 00:39
(anonymous) 0x0c3f…100c	Down	+393	$200	$200	1	10-18 00:32
Ambitious-Membership 0xc387…e4f4	Down	+380	$172	$172	16	10-18 00:39
(anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461	Down	+378	$152	$152	8	10-18 00:38
(anonymous) 0xb543…5d5e	Up	+376	$213	$213	18	10-18 00:39
(anonymous) 0xcd30…2dd0	Up	+371	$164	$164	12	10-18 00:39
Lonely-Dresser 0x3b84…f487	Up	+364	$25	$25	4	10-18 00:39
(anonymous) 0xb129…890c	Up	+358	$71	$71	15	10-18 00:39
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	Up	+354	$94	$94	17	10-18 00:38
(anonymous) 0xf72d…69db	Up	+353	$95	$271	4	10-18 00:38
(anonymous) 0xb958…f513	Up	+328	$94	$94	18	10-18 00:39
Elastic-Flour 0xec10…6eb9	Down	+326	$221	$221	79	10-18 00:39
Past-Misrepresentation 0xba17…92b4	Up	+320	$3	$3	16	10-18 00:39
Elastic-Flour 0xec10…6eb9	Up	+312	$140	$140	83	10-18 00:39
Sad-Item 0x8913…392a	Down	+306	$300	$300	1	10-18 00:39
Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab	Down	+302	$270	$270	6	10-18 00:37
(anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd	Up	+300	$3	$3	1	10-18 00:39
(anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd	Down	+300	$297	$297	4	10-18 00:39
(anonymous) 0xe3ee…5176	Down	+300	$100	$154	7	10-18 00:37
(anonymous) 0x7743…fb42	Down	+289	$127	$127	12	10-18 00:39