Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
Down won
Total volume
$239
Trades
61
Unique wallets
29
Liquidity
$15,976
Latest YES mid
28¢
Latest NO mid
72¢
End date
2026-05-10
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-10 06:28
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-3.8¢
(top1%: 35% YES on $128
vs crowd: 39% YES on $199)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $42 | $83 | $41 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 24 | $36 | $38 | $3 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 6 | $45 | $83 | $38 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $2 | $3 | $1 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $9 | $11 | $2 |
| Median | 8 | $6 | $5 | +$1 |
| Below median | 5 | $6 | $3 | +$3 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $4 | $16 | $13 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| White-Cleaner 0xda2b…20cc | Up | +300 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 06:27 |
| Basic-Seaside 0xca1b…ca65 | Up | +258 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 06:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x1e36…de5b | Up | +167 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 06:27 |
| Glass-Error 0xc29c…4e35 | Up | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 06:28 |
| Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Up | +83 | $36 | $36 | 11 | 05-10 06:23 |
| Tired-Freckle 0x3501…61ae | Up | +65 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 06:26 |
| Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Down | +60 | $38 | $38 | 8 | 05-10 06:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xccc4…4193 | Up | +58 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 06:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1 | Down | +39 | $26 | $26 | 5 | 05-10 06:23 |
| Immense-Louse 0x937e…abc1 | Down | +28 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-10 06:22 |
| Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9 | Down | +20 | $12 | $12 | 4 | 05-10 06:22 |
| Kind-Rawhide 0xee9d…f770 | Up | +16 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-10 06:21 |
| Equal-Burro 0x41f4…ee16 | Up | +13 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 06:21 |
| Knowing-Playwright 0x08fb…3659 | Down | +12 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-10 06:11 |
| Minty-Complicity 0xee55…7b04 | Down | +10 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-10 06:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x7bf8…bad8 | Down | +9 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 06:18 |
| Minty-Complicity 0xee55…7b04 | Up | +9 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 06:22 |
| Assured-Blood 0xe4fb…1271 | Up | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 06:18 |
| Devoted-Viewer 0x1e5f…2ba9 | Down | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 06:22 |
| Closed-Dew 0x22f8…898e | Down | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 06:22 |
| Lighthearted-Gyro-Cube 0x6c07…b54f | Up | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 06:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x5d4a…55d3 | Up | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 06:21 |
| Simplistic-Embarrassment 0xe01c…9496 | Up | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 06:18 |
| Productive-Garage 0x21ad…dffe | Up | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 06:22 |
| Ignorant-Polyester 0xe506…674e | Down | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 06:23 |
| Neighboring-Merit-Tackle 0xc425…8d6f | Up | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 06:16 |
| Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9 | Up | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 06:21 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 06:28:25 | Glass-Error 0xc29c…4e35 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xf3c906… |
| 05-10 06:27:21 | (anonymous) 0xccc4…4193 | Up | BUY | 58 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x84505d… |
| 05-10 06:27:21 | (anonymous) 0x1e36…de5b | Up | BUY | 167 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x69b8d0… |
| 05-10 06:27:19 | White-Cleaner 0xda2b…20cc | Up | BUY | 300 | 1¢ | $3 | 0xa71d25… |
| 05-10 06:26:51 | Basic-Seaside 0xca1b…ca65 | Up | BUY | 258 | 2¢ | $5 | 0x68853a… |
| 05-10 06:26:47 | Tired-Freckle 0x3501…61ae | Up | BUY | 65 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x956514… |
| 05-10 06:23:45 | (anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1 | Down | BUY | 7 | 79¢ | $6 | 0x535c34… |
| 05-10 06:23:45 | Minty-Complicity 0xee55…7b04 | Down | BUY | 4 | 75¢ | $3 | 0x0bfe60… |
| 05-10 06:23:45 | Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Down | BUY | 6 | 75¢ | $5 | 0x9fb75f… |
| 05-10 06:23:45 | Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Down | BUY | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0xf71265… |
| 05-10 06:23:45 | (anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1 | Down | BUY | 6 | 79¢ | $5 | 0x1c76c6… |
| 05-10 06:23:35 | Weird-Tail 0x9aa2…7823 | Down | SELL | 2 | 67¢ | $1 | 0x9e222c… |
| 05-10 06:23:14 | Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Up | BUY | 7 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x1e4199… |
| 05-10 06:23:09 | Weird-Tail 0x9aa2…7823 | Down | BUY | 1 | 67¢ | $1 | 0x780872… |
| 05-10 06:23:05 | Ignorant-Polyester 0xe506…674e | Down | BUY | 4 | 67¢ | $3 | 0x8b4c5f… |
| 05-10 06:22:58 | Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9 | Down | BUY | 5 | 60¢ | $3 | 0x47a424… |
| 05-10 06:22:55 | Weird-Tail 0x9aa2…7823 | Down | SELL | 2 | 59¢ | $1 | 0xaa5c9a… |
| 05-10 06:22:48 | Productive-Garage 0x21ad…dffe | Up | BUY | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x8bab2f… |
| 05-10 06:22:46 | Devoted-Viewer 0x1e5f…2ba9 | Down | BUY | 5 | 57¢ | $3 | 0x8b68b2… |
| 05-10 06:22:46 | Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Up | BUY | 6 | 44¢ | $3 | 0x819d02… |
| 05-10 06:22:42 | Decisive-Underwriting 0x1baf…b701 | Up | SELL | 50 | 42¢ | $21 | 0x241275… |
| 05-10 06:22:39 | Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9 | Down | BUY | 4 | 57¢ | $2 | 0x1a2c18… |
| 05-10 06:22:21 | Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Up | BUY | 9 | 49¢ | $4 | 0x6a31b4… |
| 05-10 06:22:21 | Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Up | BUY | 6 | 49¢ | $3 | 0x06b91e… |
| 05-10 06:22:21 | Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Up | BUY | 7 | 49¢ | $4 | 0x53fe05… |
| 05-10 06:22:21 | Lighthearted-Gyro-Cube 0x6c07…b54f | Up | BUY | 5 | 48¢ | $2 | 0xa7062f… |
| 05-10 06:22:21 | Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Up | BUY | 9 | 49¢ | $4 | 0xc5f30c… |
| 05-10 06:22:21 | Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Up | BUY | 10 | 46¢ | $5 | 0xb655cf… |
| 05-10 06:22:07 | Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Up | BUY | 12 | 42¢ | $5 | 0xc069dd… |
| 05-10 06:22:07 | Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Up | BUY | 3 | 42¢ | $1 | 0xfd5751… |
| 05-10 06:22:07 | Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Up | BUY | 1 | 44¢ | $1 | 0xb6802a… |
| 05-10 06:22:07 | Minty-Complicity 0xee55…7b04 | Up | BUY | 9 | 43¢ | $4 | 0xb5f7a1… |
| 05-10 06:22:06 | Closed-Dew 0x22f8…898e | Down | BUY | 5 | 58¢ | $3 | 0x3bcf23… |
| 05-10 06:22:06 | Immense-Louse 0x937e…abc1 | Down | BUY | 28 | 58¢ | $16 | 0x3cd56a… |
| 05-10 06:22:00 | Zany-Clave 0xeff4…88d2 | Up | SELL | 11 | 43¢ | $5 | 0x96616e… |
| 05-10 06:21:59 | Nice-Fallingout 0x5c9a…fd58 | Up | SELL | 14 | 46¢ | $7 | 0x68eacf… |
| 05-10 06:21:59 | Minty-Complicity 0xee55…7b04 | Down | BUY | 6 | 55¢ | $3 | 0x8f4c21… |
| 05-10 06:21:53 | Kind-Rawhide 0xee9d…f770 | Up | BUY | 16 | 47¢ | $7 | 0x091f2e… |
| 05-10 06:21:48 | Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Up | BUY | 13 | 39¢ | $5 | 0xec5769… |
| 05-10 06:21:46 | (anonymous) 0x5d4a…55d3 | Up | BUY | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x24f6bf… |
| 05-10 06:21:46 | Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9 | Up | BUY | 2 | 30¢ | $1 | 0x644ed4… |
| 05-10 06:21:41 | Equal-Burro 0x41f4…ee16 | Up | BUY | 13 | 28¢ | $4 | 0xbe5cbc… |
| 05-10 06:18:48 | Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Down | BUY | 6 | 53¢ | $3 | 0x0d31c6… |
| 05-10 06:18:46 | Assured-Blood 0xe4fb…1271 | Up | BUY | 6 | 48¢ | $3 | 0x23189e… |
| 05-10 06:18:32 | Simplistic-Embarrassment 0xe01c…9496 | Up | BUY | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0x7b9ccb… |
| 05-10 06:18:27 | Nice-Fallingout 0x5c9a…fd58 | Up | BUY | 2 | 40¢ | $1 | 0x6e7e9f… |
| 05-10 06:18:20 | Self-Assured-Proponent 0x6e6e…cca5 | Down | SELL | 9 | 64¢ | $6 | 0x64acf5… |
| 05-10 06:18:13 | Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Down | BUY | 11 | 64¢ | $7 | 0x401951… |
| 05-10 06:18:11 | Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Down | BUY | 19 | 64¢ | $12 | 0x7ea4c5… |
| 05-10 06:18:08 | (anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1 | Down | BUY | 12 | 63¢ | $7 | 0x92251f… |
| 05-10 06:18:08 | (anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1 | Down | BUY | 7 | 63¢ | $4 | 0xebcdf3… |
| 05-10 06:18:08 | (anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1 | Down | BUY | 7 | 60¢ | $4 | 0x28d1df… |
| 05-10 06:18:08 | Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9 | Down | BUY | 5 | 63¢ | $3 | 0xfc403c… |
| 05-10 06:18:08 | Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Down | BUY | 3 | 60¢ | $2 | 0xb887ce… |
| 05-10 06:18:08 | Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9 | Down | BUY | 5 | 63¢ | $3 | 0x571284… |
| 05-10 06:18:08 | Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Down | BUY | 2 | 63¢ | $1 | 0xfa39af… |
| 05-10 06:18:06 | (anonymous) 0x7bf8…bad8 | Down | BUY | 9 | 57¢ | $5 | 0xe3bbea… |
| 05-10 06:17:15 | Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Down | BUY | 7 | 55¢ | $4 | 0x95fd0d… |
| 05-10 06:16:42 | Neighboring-Merit-Tackle 0xc425…8d6f | Up | BUY | 2 | 46¢ | $1 | 0xff86a9… |
| 05-10 06:16:26 | Weird-Tail 0x9aa2…7823 | Down | BUY | 2 | 54¢ | $1 | 0x79df33… |
| 05-10 06:11:37 | Knowing-Playwright 0x08fb…3659 | Down | BUY | 12 | 49¢ | $6 | 0x4b620e… |