Realized P&L
-$9.20K
Unrealized P&L
-$70
Hit rate
43.7%
Resolved
1,426
Trades
21,067
lifetime
Volume
$158.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$232
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 05-14 22:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 198 days
Categories
Other
55% 43% -$4,233
Politics
23% 47% -$1,411
Crypto
12% 36% -$2,044
Sports
8% 48% -$1,256
Tech
3% 50% -$269
Pop-Culture
0% 56% +$16
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-14).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat? No -31 -$9 94¢ $-29 -$20 05-04 21:31
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? Yes -117 -$8 21¢ $-25 -$17 05-03 22:56
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes -31 -$6 74¢ $-22 -$16 05-03 23:01
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes -35 -$2 46¢ $-16 -$14 05-06 12:40
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? Yes -23 -$14 68¢ $-16 -$2 05-06 12:40
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? No -11 -$6 96¢ $-11 -$5 05-04 05:02
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -10 -$7 96¢ $-9 -$2 05-03 22:56
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No -11 -$3 84¢ $-9 -$6 05-06 12:41
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes -8 -$5 100¢ $-8 -$2 05-04 00:02
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes -7 -$3 100¢ $-7 -$4 05-06 12:42
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No -8 -$4 90¢ $-7 -$3 05-03 23:05
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -9 -$5 79¢ $-7 -$1 05-04 05:18
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes -11 -$2 58¢ $-6 -$4 05-06 12:41
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -7 -$3 91¢ $-6 -$4 05-06 12:42
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -815 -$11 1¢ $-6 +$5 05-01 08:35
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes -125 -$11 5¢ $-6 +$6 05-01 13:55
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No -7 -$4 76¢ $-5 -$1 05-03 23:04
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -837 -$6 0¢ $-4 +$2 05-03 23:01
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026? No -4 -$2 96¢ $-4 -$1 05-06 12:42
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes -256 -$4 1¢ $-3 +$0 05-06 12:39
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -7 $0 42¢ $-3 -$3 05-06 12:42
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027? Yes -11 -$2 28¢ $-3 -$1 05-06 12:41
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -62 -$5 4¢ $-3 +$2 05-04 03:05
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B? No -3 -$2 94¢ $-3 -$1 05-06 12:42
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? Yes -68 -$8 4¢ $-3 +$5 05-05 11:49
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026? Yes -58 -$16 4¢ $-3 +$13 05-02 12:58
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -3 -$1 88¢ $-3 -$2 05-06 12:42
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? Yes -51 -$4 5¢ $-2 +$2 05-03 23:05
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? Yes -48 -$3 4¢ $-2 +$0 05-06 12:40
USDC depeg by December 31? Yes -173 -$5 1¢ $-2 +$3 05-06 12:39