Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$41
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
108
lifetime
Volume
$5.60K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$52
Open exposure
$1.18K
8 positions
First seen
2026-05-22
last 07-11 14:36
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
68%
Other
32%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +530 $461 92¢ $490 +$29 07-07 23:15
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +396 $372 96¢ $382 +$10 06-30 08:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +402 $165 31¢ $124 $-40 07-08 04:21
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +440 $55 16¢ $68 +$14 07-11 14:36
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +796 $102 $68 $-34 06-27 13:43
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes +489 $35 $28 $-7 06-25 04:03
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +194 $20 $10 $-10 06-09 20:17
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Yes +246 $10 $8 $-2 07-08 12:02