Dim-Oboe — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

60.5%

Resolved

303

Trades

830

lifetime

Volume

$4.51K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$25

5 positions

First seen

2026-02-19

last 05-05 06:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 85 days

Categories

Politics

55% 51% -$14

Other

38% 45% +$14

Crypto

2% 25% -$9

Sports

2% 55% +$15

Tech

2% 57% -$5

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$9

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-05).

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	-10	-$5	96¢	$-10	-$5	05-05 06:09
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	-10	-$7	88¢	$-9	-$2	05-05 06:08
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	-5	-$1	97¢	$-5	-$4	05-05 06:11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	-10	-$3	12¢	$-1	+$2	05-05 06:08
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	-10	-$6	5¢	$-1	+$6	05-05 06:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will lee cronins the mummy opening weekend box office be between 15m and 20m	11	$72	50	40	+10	No	+$5	04-18 01:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	12	$64	60	60	+0	No	-$7	05-05 06:07
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	8	$63	40	40	+0	No	+$4	05-05 06:06
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	10	$58	60	40	+20	No	+$8	04-26 19:02
will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	5	$54	30	30	+0	No	+$1	04-10 00:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	9	$52	50	40	+10	No	+$4	04-22 23:27
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	5	$47	30	30	+0	No	+$4	04-12 19:39
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	5	$47	30	30	+0	Yes	+$4	04-12 19:39
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	9	$44	40	40	+0	Yes	+$10	04-29 02:00
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 15 2026	7	$44	30	20	+10	No	+$3	04-15 23:12
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	8	$44	40	30	+10	Yes	+$2	04-21 00:27
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	7	$43	30	30	+0	Yes	+$10	04-28 15:25
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	7	$42	40	30	+10	Yes	-$2	04-05 02:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	13	$42	50	49	+1	No	-$5	04-12 05:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	6	$40	30	16	+14	Yes	-$11	04-28 16:27
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	7	$40	50	20	+30	Yes	+$10	04-24 13:30
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	4	$38	20	20	+0	Yes	+$2	04-17 14:53
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	5	$37	30	20	+10	No	+$2	04-25 22:58
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	8	$37	20	20	+0	Yes	+$1	04-25 19:57
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	4	$37	20	20	+0	Yes	+$2	04-12 19:38
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?	3	$36	20	20	+0	Yes	+$4	05-04 18:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	3	$36	20	20	+0	No	+$3	05-05 06:04
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	3	$36	20	20	+0	No	+$0	02-25 01:17
will donk be said during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	4	$35	20	20	+0	No	+$1	04-16 13:46
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	4	$35	20	20	+0	No	+$2	04-16 15:51
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	8	$34	30	30	+0	Yes	$0	04-21 00:53
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?	8	$34	20	20	+0	Yes	+$4	04-24 15:16
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?	3	$34	20	20	+0	No	+$5	05-05 06:04
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	5	$33	30	22	+8	Yes	-$2	04-12 17:23
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	4	$32	20	20	+0	Yes	+$2	05-05 06:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 06:11:26	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0xa0a581…
05-05 06:11:20	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xafc427…
05-05 06:10:58	Will Jason Esteves win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x4944a8…
05-05 06:10:54	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x17beab…
05-05 06:10:50	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	No	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x0a4fd0…
05-05 06:10:46	Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0x722d89…
05-05 06:10:40	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x93733f…
05-05 06:10:36	Will Zachary Shrewsbury be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x3b83b5…
05-05 06:10:26	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x8455d1…
05-05 06:10:20	Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0xa87030…
05-05 06:10:18	Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0x2b9fdb…
05-05 06:10:12	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x41df8e…
05-05 06:10:10	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xec9b3d…
05-05 06:10:06	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0x82bfbf…
05-05 06:10:02	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	Yes	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0xabe52b…
05-05 06:09:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0x424ce8…
05-05 06:09:54	Istanbul: Anastasia Gasanova vs Hanyu Guo	Anastasia Gasanova	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0xcd76cd…
05-05 06:09:50	Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x10cb06…
05-05 06:09:46	Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	10	56¢	$6	0xfb65a5…
05-05 06:09:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0x77d08f…
05-05 06:09:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0x67e227…
05-05 06:09:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0x9637db…
05-05 06:09:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0x05a51a…
05-05 06:09:26	Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	7	73¢	$5	0xcf5442…
05-05 06:09:24	Will Dusty Johnson win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0xfff6dc…
05-05 06:09:16	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0x7f800b…
05-05 06:09:12	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0xf5d216…
05-05 06:09:08	Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0x251708…
05-05 06:09:06	Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x0c12dd…
05-05 06:09:02	Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0x7ba7af…
05-05 06:09:00	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x01a1b0…
05-05 06:08:56	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0xddc873…
05-05 06:08:52	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0x92d185…
05-05 06:08:48	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0xb0e6c4…
05-05 06:08:44	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0xdb051b…
05-05 06:08:42	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0xb7e313…
05-05 06:08:38	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x8375e4…
05-05 06:08:34	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x1765b2…
05-05 06:08:32	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0x90fe28…
05-05 06:08:26	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xfafab9…
05-05 06:08:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0xb82943…
05-05 06:08:16	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0x01aef7…
05-05 06:08:06	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0x2df370…
05-05 06:08:00	Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0xbd7ca0…
05-05 06:07:56	Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0xfc21db…
05-05 06:07:54	Will Duke Rodriguez win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0x865ec5…
05-05 06:07:48	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x6f00c0…
05-05 06:07:46	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0x974f6d…
05-05 06:07:44	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0xed691b…
05-05 06:07:40	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0x889f70…
05-05 06:07:32	Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?	Yes	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0xc9b4a9…
05-05 06:07:30	Will Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?	No	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0x3d3900…
05-05 06:07:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x34499d…
05-05 06:07:20	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0x815201…
05-05 06:07:18	Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0xe35e22…
05-05 06:07:12	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0x5506bc…
05-05 06:07:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0xc59696…
05-05 06:07:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x173018…
05-05 06:06:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0xb68678…
05-05 06:06:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x159dd6…
05-05 06:06:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0xa97de0…
05-05 06:06:42	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	No	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0x90e638…
05-05 06:06:38	US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0xabcc29…
05-05 06:06:36	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0xb696ba…
05-05 06:06:34	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0xe4a963…
05-05 06:06:30	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0x300f7c…
05-05 06:06:26	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0xc22a49…
05-05 06:06:22	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x94acc4…
05-05 06:06:18	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0xe1fba2…
05-05 06:06:14	Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	No	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x7d60a5…
05-05 06:06:10	AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x67c42b…
05-05 06:06:02	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0xb2ca2b…
05-05 06:05:58	FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?	Yes	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0xb2cf3c…
05-05 06:05:50	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x40bc32…
05-05 06:05:40	Will Denise Powell be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?	No	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0xe6a304…
05-05 06:05:34	Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0x8f3f07…
05-05 06:05:28	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0xa20fdd…
05-05 06:05:26	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0x6a9110…
05-05 06:05:22	Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?	No	SELL	16	92¢	$15	0x4d94a3…
05-05 06:04:54	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x2b0d3b…
05-05 06:04:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0x902029…
05-05 06:04:48	Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xf0a556…
05-05 06:04:44	Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xf6f58f…
05-05 06:04:42	Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xeb9769…
05-05 06:04:40	Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x75b8c0…
05-05 06:04:38	Over $100M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x0b9808…
05-05 06:04:34	Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xa2ce5e…
05-05 06:04:32	Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xe3f3c3…
05-05 06:04:30	Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$19	0x2aaeec…
05-05 06:04:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x556a95…
05-05 05:23:52	Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?	Yes	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x346675…
05-05 04:44:18	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x0f371d…
05-05 03:44:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x0b0d20…
05-05 03:44:26	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xeaacde…
05-05 01:25:20	Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xc9ae78…
05-05 01:25:20	Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x470a00…
05-05 01:04:20	Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers	Boston Red Sox	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xa115f2…
05-05 01:00:22	Will California use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x72cc2f…
05-05 00:42:58	Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x60b204…
05-05 00:09:44	Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x58b0bf…