(anonymous) 0x4a5485…20e1dd
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
122
lifetime
Volume
$1.09K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$61
11 positions
First seen
2026-06-07
last 06-29 21:25
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
45% — —
Other
34% — —
Crypto
21% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +40 $16 30¢ $12 $-4 06-20 18:36
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? No +16 $10 68¢ $11 +$1 06-14 18:32
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +13 $3 55¢ $7 +$4 06-14 18:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +6 $5 100¢ $6 +$1 06-14 17:22
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +6 $5 100¢ $6 +$1 06-12 20:49
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? Yes +30 $5 18¢ $5 +$0 06-21 15:18
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? Yes +14 $5 30¢ $4 $-1 06-14 23:02
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay Yes +29 $5 15¢ $4 $-1 06-14 17:35
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +7 $3 56¢ $4 +$1 06-11 12:26
UK Recession in 2026? No +2 $1 74¢ $1 +$0 06-12 01:41
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? No +0 $0 76¢ $0 +$0 06-21 15:19