(anonymous) 0x4a5485…20e1dd Create alert
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Realized P&L
-$802
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
66.5%
Resolved
128
Trades
354
lifetime
Volume
$5.90K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$32
13 positions
First seen
2026-06-03
last 11-01 13:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 51 days
Categories
Politics
80% 32% -$626
Other
13% 49% -$113
Crypto
4% 47% -$46
Sports
3% 29% -$16
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? No +16 $10 92¢ $14 +$4 06-14 18:32
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +7 $3 96¢ $7 +$4 06-11 12:26
another fed rate hike in 2026 No +10 $2 22¢ $2 +$0 09-17 02:27
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +10 $3 22¢ $2 -$1 10-30 14:32
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +15 $5 9¢ $1 -$4 06-14 23:05
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +6 $1 20¢ $1 +$0 09-17 16:22
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 10-24 17:29
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +8 $1 13¢ $1 +$0 10-30 19:04
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +2 $1 43¢ $1 $0 10-24 17:33
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +33 $2 2¢ $1 -$1 09-25 01:12
iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 553 Yes +3 $1 10¢ $0 -$1 09-15 22:39
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? No +0 $0 23¢ $0 $0 06-21 15:19
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +5 $2 1¢ $0 -$1 10-04 23:15