(anonymous) 0x4d52c2…09013e
bot new
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$3
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
1,015
lifetime
Volume
$524
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$63
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-27
last 10-30 23:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
50% 0% -$3
Politics
25% — —
Crypto
11% — —
Sports
8% — —
Tech
5% — —
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 299 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027? No +7 $4 96¢ $7 +$3 10-29 17:40
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? Yes +9 $5 58¢ $5 +$0 10-29 21:21
Natural Disaster in 2026? No +6 $5 76¢ $4 $0 10-29 17:46
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026? No +15 $4 29¢ $4 +$0 10-30 15:35
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes +116 $2 3¢ $4 +$2 10-30 08:05
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes +7 $3 40¢ $3 $0 10-31 00:26
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? Yes +58 $2 4¢ $3 +$0 10-30 17:01
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? No +45 $2 6¢ $3 +$0 10-30 08:52
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No +3 $2 84¢ $2 +$0 10-27 18:15
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? Yes +75 $2 3¢ $2 +$0 10-29 14:39
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +92 $2 2¢ $2 $0 10-31 00:29
AI bubble burst in 2026? Yes +20 $2 10¢ $2 $0 10-30 19:28
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +5 $2 34¢ $2 $0 10-28 20:03
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31? Yes +24 $1 7¢ $2 +$1 10-30 09:10
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +675 $2 0¢ $2 $0 10-28 17:33
China coup attempt before 2027? Yes +63 $1 3¢ $2 +$1 10-29 11:12
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? Yes +113 $2 1¢ $1 -$1 10-29 17:44
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +36 $1 4¢ $1 +$0 10-27 17:33
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +36 $1 4¢ $1 +$0 10-27 18:35
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes +66 $1 2¢ $1 $0 10-30 06:52
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +44 $1 3¢ $1 +$0 10-30 04:25
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026? Yes +253 $1 0¢ $1 +$0 10-30 22:32
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +454 $2 0¢ $1 -$1 10-30 12:34
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes +36 $1 3¢ $1 +$0 10-28 08:53
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +107 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-29 20:05
OKX IPO in 2026? Yes +20 $1 4¢ $1 +$0 10-30 11:36
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +77 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-30 04:41
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? Yes +23 $0 3¢ $1 +$0 10-30 18:41
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? No +17 $1 4¢ $1 +$0 10-30 10:32
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +2 $1 28¢ $1 $0 10-30 05:19