Realized P&L
-$6
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
32.1%
Resolved
7
Trades
4,347
lifetime
Volume
$16.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$55
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-28
last 06-09 15:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
44% 0% $-13
Other
36% 100% +$1
Sports
10% 100% +$6
Tech
5%
Crypto
5%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No +10 $6 76¢ $8 +$2 06-03 10:06
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +23 $6 29¢ $7 +$1 06-07 09:24
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +8 $6 74¢ $6 +$0 06-05 20:22
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Yes +8 $6 64¢ $5 $-1 05-29 06:58
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +4 $4 88¢ $4 +$0 05-28 16:28
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? No +7 $4 56¢ $4 +$0 06-07 13:40
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? No +7 $4 54¢ $4 $-1 06-03 06:08
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +26 $3 12¢ $3 +$0 06-10 00:23
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? Yes +4 $3 68¢ $3 $-0 05-27 20:26
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No +3 $2 82¢ $2 +$0 06-08 05:51
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +3 $2 78¢ $2 +$0 05-30 17:31
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +2 $2 87¢ $2 +$0 06-05 11:02
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? No +19 $2 $1 $-1 06-02 20:33
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor? Yes +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 06-05 16:11
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 05-28 07:26
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 05-29 11:06
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? No +1 $1 89¢ $1 $-0 06-05 01:34
Fed rate hike in 2026? No -1 $-1 46¢ $-1 +$0 05-28 06:40
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -9 $-1 $-0 +$1 06-09 21:53