Realized P&L
-$6
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
32.1%
Resolved
7
Trades
4,617
lifetime
Volume
$17.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$45
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-28
last 06-29 06:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
44% 0% $-13
Other
36% 100% +$1
Sports
10% 100% +$6
Tech
5%
Crypto
5%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
57 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +20 $7 34¢ $7 $-0 06-18 16:25
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +8 $6 84¢ $6 +$1 06-16 08:38
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +8 $6 74¢ $6 +$0 06-05 20:22
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -5 $-2 100¢ $-5 $-3 06-17 00:59
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +23 $6 15¢ $3 $-3 06-07 09:24
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? Yes +14 $3 22¢ $3 +$0 06-20 11:11
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +26 $3 10¢ $3 $-0 06-10 00:23
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? No +3 $2 99¢ $2 +$0 06-12 23:41
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +2 $2 85¢ $2 +$0 06-05 11:02
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No -2 $-2 84¢ $-2 +$0 06-24 15:25
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -1 $-1 88¢ $-1 +$0 06-10 16:02
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 05-29 11:06
Metamask FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +1 $1 80¢ $1 +$0 06-27 06:25
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? Yes +2 $1 44¢ $1 $-0 06-25 15:34
Fed rate hike in 2026? No -1 $-1 48¢ $-1 +$0 05-28 06:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +30 $2 $0 $-2 06-25 18:33
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -13 $-1 $-0 +$1 06-14 11:26
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +0 $1 $0 $-1 06-13 14:00