Realized P&L
-$6
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
32.1%
Resolved
7
Trades
4,644
lifetime
Volume
$17.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$39
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-28
last 07-02 04:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
44% 0% $-13
Other
36% 100% +$1
Sports
10% 100% +$6
Tech
5%
Crypto
5%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -10 $-9 90¢ $-9 +$0 07-01 10:19
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -10 $-9 94¢ $-9 $-0 07-01 10:19
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No -10 $-8 86¢ $-9 $-1 07-01 10:19
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No -5 $-4 88¢ $-4 $-0 07-01 10:20
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No -5 $-4 86¢ $-4 +$0 07-01 10:20
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -2 $-2 86¢ $-2 $-0 07-01 10:20
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -1 $-1 90¢ $-1 +$0 06-10 16:02
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? Yes -5 $-1 12¢ $-1 +$0 07-02 04:03
Fed rate hike in 2026? No -1 $-1 40¢ $-1 +$0 05-28 06:40