(anonymous) 0x5f5bb9…7642ba
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Realized P&L (7d)
+$1
Unrealized P&L
-$15
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (7d)
1
Trades (7d)
1
1,593 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$1
$10.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$175
28 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 10-29 16:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 88 days
Categories
Crypto
84% 76% -$42
Politics
10% 74% -$59
Other
5% 75% -$16
Tech
0% 100% +$1
Sports
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -98 -$68 85¢ $-83 -$16 06-20 09:53
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? No +32 $28 90¢ $29 +$1 09-26 00:25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -18 -$16 97¢ $-17 -$1 06-20 10:19
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -17 -$13 95¢ $-16 -$3 06-20 09:53
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +4 $3 86¢ $4 +$1 09-26 00:23
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -4 -$2 72¢ $-3 $0 09-26 00:16
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -2 -$2 99¢ $-2 $0 09-26 00:15
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -74 -$5 2¢ $-1 +$3 06-20 10:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No -1 -$1 98¢ $-1 $0 07-22 12:26
Trump out as President before 2027? No -1 -$1 97¢ $-1 $0 07-22 12:25
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No -1 -$1 96¢ $-1 $0 09-26 00:16
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? No -1 -$1 99¢ $-1 $0 06-20 10:14
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? No -1 -$1 97¢ $-1 $0 09-26 00:16
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? No -1 -$1 98¢ $-1 $0 07-22 12:26
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No -1 -$1 96¢ $-1 $0 09-26 00:15
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -1 -$1 98¢ $-1 +$0 07-23 22:48
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -1 -$1 99¢ $-1 +$0 09-26 00:14
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -1 -$1 99¢ $-1 +$0 07-22 12:26
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -1 -$1 100¢ $-1 +$0 09-26 00:14
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -1 -$1 100¢ $-1 $0 07-22 12:26
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -1 -$1 99¢ $-1 $0 09-26 00:16
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -1 -$1 100¢ $-1 $0 09-26 00:16
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -1 -$1 100¢ $-1 +$0 09-26 00:16
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -1 -$1 100¢ $-1 +$0 09-26 00:13
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -1 -$1 100¢ $-1 +$0 09-26 00:13
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -1 -$1 99¢ $-1 +$0 09-26 00:15
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -1 -$1 99¢ $-1 +$0 09-26 00:16
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -3 $0 16¢ $-0 $0 09-26 00:15