Realized P&L
-$345
Unrealized P&L
+$197
Hit rate
59.3%
Resolved
1,816
Trades
7,396
lifetime
Volume
$43.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$590
27 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 05-22 10:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 114 days
Categories
Other
43% 58% -$154
Crypto
38% 61% -$355
Sports
12% 54% +$303
Politics
7% 51% -$168
Pop-Culture
0% 57% +$28
Tech
0% 33% +$1
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-22).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -264 -$224 98¢ $-258 -$33 05-22 10:33
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -105 -$100 99¢ $-104 -$4 05-22 10:35
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -40 -$31 83¢ $-33 -$2 05-22 10:38
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -33 -$30 98¢ $-33 -$2 05-22 10:33
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? No -30 -$28 98¢ $-30 -$2 05-22 10:38
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? Yes -428 -$278 6¢ $-26 +$253 05-22 10:36
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -23 -$13 72¢ $-17 -$4 05-22 10:34
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -21 -$10 70¢ $-15 -$5 05-22 10:34
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -15 -$11 88¢ $-13 -$2 05-22 10:36
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? No -11 -$9 98¢ $-10 -$2 05-22 10:38
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? No -10 -$9 98¢ $-10 $0 05-14 10:21
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -7 -$7 100¢ $-7 $0 05-22 10:36
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -34 -$6 17¢ $-6 +$1 05-22 10:34
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -42 -$2 13¢ $-5 -$3 05-22 10:38
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? No -4 -$4 95¢ $-4 +$0 05-22 10:35
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? No -4 -$2 89¢ $-4 -$1 05-22 10:34
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -61 -$3 5¢ $-3 $0 05-22 10:38
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -4 -$2 78¢ $-3 -$1 05-14 10:21
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -14 -$4 17¢ $-2 +$1 05-14 10:21
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? No -2 -$2 95¢ $-2 $0 05-22 10:38
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? Yes -18 -$2 11¢ $-2 +$0 05-22 10:35
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No -2 -$1 90¢ $-2 $0 05-14 10:21
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -70 -$5 2¢ $-1 +$3 05-22 10:36
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes -7 -$2 10¢ $-1 +$1 05-14 10:21
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -0 $0 96¢ $-0 $0 05-22 10:36
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes -5 $0 2¢ $-0 +$0 05-14 10:21
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -0 $0 8¢ $-0 +$0 05-22 10:35