Realized P&L
-$2
Unrealized P&L
-$48
Hit rate
58.9%
Resolved
6
Trades
9,390
lifetime
Volume
$332.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$35
Open exposure
$930
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-19
last 07-23 01:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
45%
Politics
44% 67% +$88
Crypto
6%
Sports
5% 67% $-91
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 145 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -352 $-335 96¢ $-339 $-4 07-21 21:09
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +215 $210 98¢ $211 +$0 06-10 02:59
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +155 $144 96¢ $149 +$5 06-20 22:02
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +259 $119 34¢ $89 $-30 07-23 01:09
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -75 $-65 94¢ $-71 $-6 07-01 15:45
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -612 $-20 $-22 $-1 07-22 08:32
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +25 $40 66¢ $16 $-24 07-23 01:09
Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026? No +15 $13 89¢ $13 +$0 07-18 22:11
Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026? Yes -55 $-6 11¢ $-6 +$0 07-07 23:27
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -58 $-8 10¢ $-6 +$2 06-22 10:49
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Yes +200 $4 $4 $-0 07-22 07:24
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +43 $-5 $2 +$8 07-17 17:03
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -59 $-4 $-2 +$2 06-20 00:05