Relieved-Cry 0x64befd…3ac653
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$9.55K
Unrealized P&L
-$677
Hit rate
34.1%
Resolved
856
Trades
40,052
lifetime
Volume
$1.43M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$36
Open exposure
$12.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-19
last 10-28 22:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 144 days
Categories
Politics
38% 66% +$1,245
Sports
34% 43% -$4,299
Other
26% 36% -$5,926
Crypto
1% 50% -$569
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 243 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -2,411 -$1,623 78¢ $-1869 -$246 10-28 12:13
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +920 $863 97¢ $894 +$31 09-21 06:35
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No -802 -$570 100¢ $-801 -$231 06-05 14:30
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -832 -$553 96¢ $-799 -$245 06-17 14:38
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +680 $507 82¢ $561 +$54 10-26 21:00
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +593 $501 94¢ $560 +$60 05-26 14:49
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +1,126 $466 44¢ $501 +$36 10-28 10:10
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? No +559 $408 90¢ $500 +$92 10-24 01:31
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +881 $661 56¢ $489 -$172 10-28 12:48
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +554 $299 85¢ $471 +$172 10-12 09:01
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +997 $395 43¢ $427 +$32 10-27 14:23
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +431 $565 97¢ $419 -$146 08-12 18:50
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +606 $169 56¢ $340 +$171 10-28 12:48
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes -503 -$347 66¢ $-329 +$17 10-28 13:29
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +1,385 $441 22¢ $312 -$129 10-28 22:58
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes -353 -$294 84¢ $-298 -$5 10-28 23:01
Ebola pandemic in 2026? No -290 -$285 97¢ $-282 +$3 10-03 12:00
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +698 $316 34¢ $234 -$82 09-22 13:23
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +517 $285 44¢ $226 -$59 10-28 12:51
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +666 $281 32¢ $216 -$65 10-25 16:10
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +215 $210 99¢ $212 +$2 06-10 02:59
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -295 -$207 71¢ $-209 -$2 10-28 19:46
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -310 -$155 66¢ $-206 -$52 09-22 13:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No -230 -$160 88¢ $-204 -$43 09-26 00:30
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No -196 -$171 92¢ $-180 -$9 10-03 19:32
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No -522 -$177 34¢ $-180 -$3 10-23 09:09
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +174 $166 98¢ $170 +$4 09-22 08:38
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No -202 -$197 78¢ $-159 +$38 10-27 01:07
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -148 -$117 96¢ $-142 -$25 10-17 11:18
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +158 $15 89¢ $140 +$125 10-28 17:16