Realized P&L
-$2
Unrealized P&L
-$55
Hit rate
58.9%
Resolved
6
Trades
9,000
lifetime
Volume
$325.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$36
Open exposure
$1.18K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-19
last 07-03 02:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
46%
Politics
44% 67% +$88
Crypto
6%
Sports
4% 67% $-91
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 145 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -534 $-510 97¢ $-520 $-10 07-01 19:38
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +215 $210 98¢ $211 +$1 06-10 02:59
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +155 $144 97¢ $149 +$6 06-20 22:02
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +444 $185 34¢ $149 $-37 07-02 08:05
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -75 $-65 94¢ $-70 $-5 07-01 15:45
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -77 $-25 66¢ $-51 $-27 07-02 08:05
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -621 $-20 $-16 +$4 07-03 01:54
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -58 $-8 $-5 +$3 06-22 10:49
Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026? Yes -35 $-4 11¢ $-4 +$0 06-25 06:56
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Yes +165 $3 $3 $-0 06-29 16:29
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -42 $-10 $-3 +$8 07-01 09:51
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -59 $-4 $-2 +$2 06-20 00:05