Willing-Trait — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$78

Unrealized P&L

+$55

Hit rate

87.5%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

177

2,937 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$6.78K

$164.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

$56

Open exposure

$4.66K

20 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 10-31 15:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 90 days

Categories

Other

35% 96% +$84

Crypto

25% 98% +$144

Sports

23% 98% +$584

Tech

15% 100% +$102

Politics

1% 89% +$47

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 105 trades/day

Open positions (20) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?	$60	+3,095	$1,515	40¢	$1.2K	-$266	10-30 13:00
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	+820	$750	97¢	$795	+$44	10-26 14:22
Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	+600	$567	96¢	$577	+$10	10-30 17:39
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	+545	$512	94¢	$514	+$2	10-26 08:09
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	+505	$486	96¢	$484	-$2	09-02 05:05
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	+310	$274	86¢	$266	-$8	10-16 12:35
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	+225	$80	100¢	$224	+$145	10-28 23:49
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	+179	$170	95¢	$171	+$1	10-18 13:27
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	+173	$158	94¢	$162	+$4	10-04 15:40
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+100	$98	100¢	$100	+$2	10-06 09:01
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	+60	-$49	84¢	$50	+$99	10-31 15:58
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	+20	$19	97¢	$19	+$0	09-15 20:00
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	+20	$0	96¢	$19	+$20	10-29 17:50
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	+10	$10	97¢	$10	+$0	10-29 11:21
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	+10	$9	94¢	$9	+$0	10-25 04:09
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	+5	$5	99¢	$5	$0	10-29 09:27
StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	+2	$2	99¢	$2	+$0	08-12 08:26
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	-$2	99¢	$0	+$2	10-09 11:58
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	+0	$0	99¢	$0	+$0	10-10 11:07
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	+0	-$2	96¢	$0	+$2	09-27 17:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	18	$15.9K	7,958	7,958	+0	Yes	+$23	06-12 04:38
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	98	$11.7K	6,072	6,072	+0	No	+$127	09-08 02:45
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	137	$11.6K	6,683	6,623	+60	open	—	10-31 15:58
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	109	$6.9K	4,600	4,600	+0	Yes	+$669	07-14 21:19
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	15	$6.1K	3,785	2,444	+1,341	No	+$23	06-23 10:35
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	13	$4.9K	2,781	2,241	+540	No	+$19	07-09 20:29
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?	36	$4.4K	2,238	2,238	+0	No	+$41	09-03 23:29
Arcium FDV above $800M one day after launch?	44	$4.2K	2,124	2,124	+0	No	+$23	06-23 19:18
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	40	$3.3K	1,701	1,701	+0	Yes	+$54	09-26 06:45
will wti reach 120 in july 2026	30	$3.1K	1,555	1,555	+0	No	+$11	07-20 09:27
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	No	+$6	07-14 20:55
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	52	$2.9K	6,892	6,892	+0	No	-$239	07-14 20:30
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	11	$2.9K	2,873	0	+2,873	No	+$17	07-15 21:02
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$2.6K	1,300	1,300	+0	No	+$1	06-19 17:25
will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	55	$2.4K	1,192	1,192	+0	No	+$7	07-22 18:17
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?	2	$2.3K	2,307	0	+2,307	Yes	+$2	06-12 15:45
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	30	$2.2K	1,285	1,060	+225	open	—	10-28 23:49
will spacexs high share price on its first day of trading hit 300 high 20260608191407794	2	$2.2K	2,157	0	+2,157	No	+$4	06-12 19:35
squid fdv above 300m one day after launch 899	44	$2.1K	1,060	1,060	+0	No	+$41	08-05 08:18
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be less than $100?	4	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$7	06-12 19:28
will xagusd reach 68 in july 2026	25	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$9	07-24 13:05
Apple Announces Foldable iPhone at “Surprise and Shine” Event?	14	$1.9K	1,034	864	+170	Yes	+$12	09-09 17:53
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	16	$1.7K	879	829	+50	Yes	+$24	10-30 04:09
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	35	$1.6K	4,594	4,594	+0	No	+$80	07-14 19:39
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?	139	$1.5K	3,095	0	+3,095	open	—	10-30 13:00
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	32	$1.5K	778	758	+20	open	—	10-29 17:50
will arcium launch a token by june 30 2026	6	$1.4K	1,437	0	+1,437	Yes	+$10	06-20 00:14
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$1.4K	700	700	+0	No	+$14	07-07 01:33
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M?	37	$1.3K	700	700	+0	Yes	+$53	10-29 10:14
will ethereum reach 2000 in june 2026 from june 2	40	$1.3K	900	450	+450	No	+$7	06-30 21:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 15:58:31	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x48bc86…
10-31 06:24:09	Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	94¢	$8	0xbc8b60…
10-30 20:52:54	Cambria FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x6ae347…
10-30 20:36:39	Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xd271d9…
10-30 17:39:58	Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	103	96¢	$99	0x125d4d…
10-30 16:20:43	Cambria FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xba6b57…
10-30 16:03:28	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	SELL	160	0¢	$0	0xbebe39…
10-30 15:54:39	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x7c878f…
10-30 15:54:04	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x46cdfa…
10-30 15:54:03	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x74e41f…
10-30 15:50:21	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xb855ba…
10-30 15:50:15	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x48821c…
10-30 15:49:48	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	16	92¢	$14	0x7f3760…
10-30 15:46:36	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xcb3c6e…
10-30 15:45:33	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x45eae5…
10-30 15:45:18	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x176f67…
10-30 15:41:58	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	SELL	175	92¢	$161	0x2b908e…
10-30 15:38:12	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xa7b474…
10-30 15:37:13	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x836353…
10-30 15:33:24	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x90c5fc…
10-30 15:33:07	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xc6d504…
10-30 15:32:45	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xeb1cc4…
10-30 15:29:48	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xe991b5…
10-30 15:29:42	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xf356b1…
10-30 15:28:03	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x89ee6f…
10-30 15:27:39	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xc1cf47…
10-30 15:25:54	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xb68a27…
10-30 15:25:52	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xac5bc4…
10-30 15:21:12	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x880998…
10-30 15:19:13	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x10bee8…
10-30 15:17:51	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xa73780…
10-30 15:15:52	Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x43483d…
10-30 13:00:27	Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?	$60	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xfba621…
10-30 12:59:09	Cambria FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x845782…
10-30 11:58:55	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x9f8f8a…
10-30 08:34:03	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xb6e942…
10-30 07:45:51	Will the Republicans win the Wyoming Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x391eb5…
10-30 04:09:16	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	Yes	SELL	829	100¢	$828	0x0db948…
10-30 01:52:22	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xf7a6a2…
10-30 01:06:33	Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?	$60	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x5e14bd…
10-29 21:01:21	Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xfe679a…
10-29 21:01:01	Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	14	96¢	$14	0xa8a3cd…
10-29 21:00:31	Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	17	96¢	$17	0x2dc30e…
10-29 21:00:09	Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	19	96¢	$19	0x05c2b7…
10-29 20:59:48	Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x727a0a…
10-29 20:58:58	Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0x7160ad…
10-29 20:58:34	Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x9ce573…
10-29 20:57:51	Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x84a9d8…
10-29 20:57:43	Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x5ea856…
10-29 20:56:37	Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x0a2807…
10-29 17:50:41	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x013b11…
10-29 17:50:29	Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	76	98¢	$74	0xeafc18…
10-29 17:47:55	Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	17	96¢	$17	0xb7adaf…
10-29 17:35:44	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	530	89¢	$474	0x26a228…
10-29 13:09:28	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	Yes	BUY	222	99¢	$219	0x7b1a80…
10-29 13:08:23	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	Yes	BUY	144	99¢	$142	0x4009d4…
10-29 11:21:28	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$4	0x8a60a4…
10-29 11:14:02	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x3e6481…
10-29 10:17:34	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	Yes	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0x9d0f23…
10-29 10:17:05	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x58be71…
10-29 10:15:23	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xcaf518…
10-29 10:15:20	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	Yes	BUY	39	96¢	$37	0x1a4540…
10-29 10:14:35	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M?	Yes	SELL	700	99¢	$694	0x2e8a02…
10-29 10:04:14	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	Yes	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0x44d32e…
10-29 10:00:20	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M?	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xfa8f00…
10-29 09:27:14	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x74b83e…
10-29 08:39:58	1win FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	SELL	60	90¢	$54	0x7555ff…
10-29 00:20:20	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	Yes	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x92d58a…
10-29 00:00:52	Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?	$60	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xcc297e…
10-28 23:49:13	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x26477b…
10-28 22:53:07	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1be35a…
10-28 22:32:46	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	Yes	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x18d5c7…
10-28 22:32:34	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9b34be…
10-28 22:30:44	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	Yes	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x7495cf…
10-28 22:26:38	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	Yes	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0xbbe960…
10-28 22:26:37	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	Yes	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x44ccf7…
10-28 22:26:22	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x36e6ba…
10-28 21:42:56	Ukraine lowers conscription age by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xee12d3…
10-28 20:01:50	Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?	$60	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0x5cabe7…
10-28 19:05:44	Will the AAVE TVL go below $10B in 2026?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x328583…
10-28 10:20:17	Predict.fun FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	170	87¢	$148	0x953341…
10-28 07:48:35	Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x921800…
10-28 06:37:29	Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x1b7115…
10-28 06:26:59	Predict.fun FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0xba50ba…
10-28 06:26:32	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xf047f5…
10-28 06:04:34	Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x10b1c1…
10-27 23:55:26	Predict.fun FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xe99e00…
10-27 23:03:08	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x5ff04a…
10-27 16:45:03	Will Solana hit $150 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	84¢	$4	0xbe9295…
10-27 16:43:09	Will Solana hit $150 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x437834…
10-27 16:42:48	Predict.fun FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xdf4e54…
10-27 12:02:15	Tabi FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	31	95¢	$29	0xe111b5…
10-27 11:47:09	1win FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0xaa9907…
10-27 11:42:24	1win FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0x0926dc…
10-27 10:52:48	Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xbe544d…
10-27 10:46:24	Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x59d4ee…
10-27 07:14:26	Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x31d011…
10-27 07:14:09	Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf0d6e7…
10-27 06:53:41	Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xeb415a…
10-27 02:44:39	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x644651…