Willing-Trait — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$191

Unrealized P&L

+$27

Hit rate

97.7%

Resolved (90d)

246

Trades (90d)

1,147

2,649 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$42.3K

$152.6K lifetime

Avg / trade

$58

Open exposure

$4.93K

25 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 11-05 23:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 93 days

Categories

Other

35% 96% +$84

Crypto

25% 98% +$144

Sports

23% 97% +$679

Tech

15% 100% +$102

Politics

2% 91% +$48

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 105 trades/day

Open positions (25) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?	$60		+3,107	$1,520	43¢	$1.3K	-$183	11-05 08:23
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	No		+820	$750	97¢	$795	+$44	10-26 14:22
Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No		+600	$567	96¢	$578	+$11	10-30 17:39
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No		+545	$512	94¢	$515	+$3	10-26 08:09
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No		+505	$486	97¢	$491	+$5	09-02 05:05
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No		+423	$383	95¢	$403	+$19	11-05 18:06
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No		+330	$291	86¢	$283	-$7	11-05 12:38
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No		+179	$170	97¢	$173	+$3	10-18 13:27
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+100	$98	100¢	$100	+$2	10-06 09:01
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes		+100	$97	97¢	$97	$0	11-05 21:00
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No		+40	-$64	92¢	$37	+$100	11-05 15:36
Is Earth flat?	No		+31	$31	99¢	$31	$0	10-02 10:49
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No		+20	$19	98¢	$20	+$0	09-15 20:00
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No		+20	$0	97¢	$19	+$20	10-29 17:50
Will AZ win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?	No	—	+10	$10	99¢	$10	$0	08-17 17:15
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+10	$10	99¢	$10	+$0	11-05 19:37
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+10	$10	99¢	$10	+$0	11-05 23:59
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No		+10	$9	97¢	$10	+$0	10-25 04:09
Will Solana hit $150 by December 31, 2026?	No		+10	$7	92¢	$9	+$2	10-27 16:45
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes		+5	$5	99¢	$5	$0	10-29 09:27
StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No		+2	$2	99¢	$2	+$0	08-12 08:26
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+0	-$2	99¢	$0	+$2	10-09 11:58
Pacifica FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	—	+0	-$1	97¢	$0	+$1	08-17 14:17
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No		+0	$0	99¢	$0	+$0	10-10 11:07
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No		+0	-$2	97¢	$0	+$2	09-27 17:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	18	$15.9K	7,958	7,958	+0	Yes	+$23	06-12 04:38
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	149	$11.7K	6,768	6,728	+40	open	—	11-05 15:36
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	98	$11.7K	6,072	6,072	+0	No	+$127	09-08 02:45
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	109	$6.9K	4,600	4,600	+0	Yes	+$669	07-14 21:19
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	15	$6.1K	3,785	2,444	+1,341	No	+$23	06-23 10:35
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	13	$4.9K	2,781	2,241	+540	No	+$19	07-09 20:29
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?	36	$4.4K	2,238	2,238	+0	No	+$41	09-03 23:29
Arcium FDV above $800M one day after launch?	44	$4.2K	2,124	2,124	+0	No	+$23	06-23 19:18
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	40	$3.3K	1,701	1,701	+0	Yes	+$54	09-26 06:45
will wti reach 120 in july 2026	30	$3.1K	1,555	1,555	+0	No	+$11	07-20 09:27
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	No	+$6	07-14 20:55
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	52	$2.9K	6,892	6,892	+0	No	-$239	07-14 20:30
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	37	$2.9K	1,753	1,285	+468	Yes	+$146	11-04 02:09
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	11	$2.9K	2,873	0	+2,873	No	+$17	07-15 21:02
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$2.6K	1,300	1,300	+0	No	+$1	06-19 17:25
will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	55	$2.4K	1,192	1,192	+0	No	+$7	07-22 18:17
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?	2	$2.3K	2,307	0	+2,307	Yes	+$2	06-12 15:45
will spacexs high share price on its first day of trading hit 300 high 20260608191407794	2	$2.2K	2,157	0	+2,157	No	+$4	06-12 19:35
squid fdv above 300m one day after launch 899	44	$2.1K	1,060	1,060	+0	No	+$41	08-05 08:18
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be less than $100?	4	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$7	06-12 19:28
will xagusd reach 68 in july 2026	25	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$9	07-24 13:05
Apple Announces Foldable iPhone at “Surprise and Shine” Event?	14	$1.9K	1,034	864	+170	Yes	+$12	09-09 17:53
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	16	$1.7K	879	829	+50	Yes	+$24	10-30 04:09
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	35	$1.6K	4,594	4,594	+0	No	+$80	07-14 19:39
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?	142	$1.5K	3,107	0	+3,107	open	—	11-05 08:23
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	32	$1.5K	778	758	+20	open	—	10-29 17:50
will arcium launch a token by june 30 2026	6	$1.4K	1,437	0	+1,437	Yes	+$10	06-20 00:14
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$1.4K	700	700	+0	No	+$14	07-07 01:33
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M?	37	$1.3K	700	700	+0	Yes	+$53	10-29 10:14
will ethereum reach 2000 in june 2026 from june 2	40	$1.3K	900	450	+450	No	+$7	06-30 21:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 23:59:42	Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x495dcb…
11-05 21:00:54	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x125790…
11-05 20:20:24	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa0bb31…
11-05 20:04:21	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x638cb9…
11-05 20:01:51	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	97¢	$2	0x807e45…
11-05 19:52:34	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xcac765…
11-05 19:37:15	Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfff941…
11-05 19:31:57	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc81011…
11-05 19:23:33	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x7bfd4f…
11-05 19:23:02	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x63fcac…
11-05 19:22:45	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x537fab…
11-05 19:22:33	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xcca121…
11-05 19:21:45	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe1738d…
11-05 19:14:28	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x015995…
11-05 18:56:25	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x46cb90…
11-05 18:06:34	Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x775543…
11-05 15:36:16	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x5093ec…
11-05 12:41:55	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$4	0x41215e…
11-05 12:38:54	Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$9	0xb72a7c…
11-05 12:38:46	Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xa07dd5…
11-05 12:17:34	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0xbd6150…
11-05 11:40:25	Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x352a08…
11-05 11:33:55	Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xc5ffae…
11-05 08:23:45	Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?	$60	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xc1a9d5…
11-05 00:04:15	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0xfc7012…
11-04 23:56:19	Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?	$60	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x4d3e4f…
11-04 21:07:27	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x600320…
11-04 20:50:58	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	3	91¢	$2	0xd72e6e…
11-04 20:50:43	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xd5d7da…
11-04 20:43:55	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x11cd79…
11-04 20:41:21	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xbbd056…
11-04 20:41:21	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x121f1b…
11-04 19:07:19	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x27bf48…
11-04 17:52:00	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xf3ce3c…
11-04 17:52:00	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	SELL	19	91¢	$17	0xcd72f3…
11-04 17:40:51	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x7e350c…
11-04 16:36:39	Theo FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xb7cf1d…
11-04 02:09:39	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x036416…
11-04 02:04:18	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0xca9065…
11-04 01:25:39	Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x9d6c13…
11-03 23:59:42	XRP all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	150	98¢	$146	0xf7cc5d…
11-03 23:39:10	Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x3fd5aa…
11-03 01:28:30	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x0622a9…
11-03 00:22:45	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc8f7df…
11-02 23:54:19	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5de986…
11-02 19:38:54	Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?	$60	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xd665b0…
11-02 14:27:58	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	SELL	75	85¢	$64	0x17f697…
11-02 00:39:49	Solana all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x742a05…
11-01 23:26:43	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	247	100¢	$247	0xadcd0c…
11-01 22:04:36	Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x121635…
11-01 21:52:24	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x24b6e5…
11-01 21:45:03	Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x7724f4…
11-01 20:57:31	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xf100d7…
11-01 20:15:13	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	225	100¢	$225	0xa0fb7d…
11-01 20:04:36	Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1f684a…
11-01 18:04:24	Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x32851e…
11-01 17:24:52	Ukraine lowers conscription age by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x57caaa…
11-01 15:47:58	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x53e5be…
10-31 15:58:31	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x48bc86…
10-31 06:24:09	Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	94¢	$8	0xbc8b60…
10-30 20:52:54	Cambria FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x6ae347…
10-30 20:36:39	Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xd271d9…
10-30 17:39:58	Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	103	96¢	$99	0x125d4d…
10-30 16:20:43	Cambria FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xba6b57…
10-30 16:03:28	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	SELL	160	0¢	$0	0xbebe39…
10-30 15:54:39	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x7c878f…
10-30 15:54:04	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x46cdfa…
10-30 15:54:03	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x74e41f…
10-30 15:50:21	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xb855ba…
10-30 15:50:15	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x48821c…
10-30 15:49:48	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	16	92¢	$14	0x7f3760…
10-30 15:46:36	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xcb3c6e…
10-30 15:45:33	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x45eae5…
10-30 15:45:18	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x176f67…
10-30 15:41:58	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	SELL	175	92¢	$161	0x2b908e…
10-30 15:38:12	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xa7b474…
10-30 15:37:13	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x836353…
10-30 15:33:24	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x90c5fc…
10-30 15:33:07	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xc6d504…
10-30 15:32:45	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xeb1cc4…
10-30 15:29:48	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xe991b5…
10-30 15:29:42	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xf356b1…
10-30 15:28:03	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x89ee6f…
10-30 15:27:39	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xc1cf47…
10-30 15:25:54	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xb68a27…
10-30 15:25:52	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xac5bc4…
10-30 15:21:12	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x880998…
10-30 15:19:13	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x10bee8…
10-30 15:17:51	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xa73780…
10-30 15:15:52	Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x43483d…
10-30 13:00:27	Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?	$60	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xfba621…
10-30 12:59:09	Cambria FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x845782…
10-30 11:58:55	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x9f8f8a…
10-30 08:34:03	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xb6e942…
10-30 07:45:51	Will the Republicans win the Wyoming Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x391eb5…
10-30 04:09:16	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	Yes	SELL	829	100¢	$828	0x0db948…
10-30 01:52:22	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xf7a6a2…
10-30 01:06:33	Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?	$60	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x5e14bd…
10-29 21:01:21	Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xfe679a…
10-29 21:01:01	Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	14	96¢	$14	0xa8a3cd…