Willing-Trait — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.06K

Unrealized P&L

+$183

Hit rate

97.2%

Resolved

417

Trades

3,118

lifetime

Volume

$169.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$54

Open exposure

$6.06K

26 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 11-10 09:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 96 days

Categories

Other

34% 96% +$84

Crypto

26% 98% +$144

Sports

23% 97% +$682

Tech

15% 100% +$102

Politics

2% 91% +$48

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 105 trades/day

Open positions (26) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?	$60	+2,857	$1,385	52¢	$1.5K	+$89	11-10 09:35
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	+880	$808	98¢	$859	+$50	11-07 01:21
Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	+600	$567	96¢	$579	+$12	10-30 17:39
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	+545	$512	94¢	$515	+$3	10-26 08:09
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	+505	$486	98¢	$493	+$6	09-02 05:05
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	+462	$461	100¢	$461	+$0	11-08 23:02
Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	+380	$360	96¢	$364	+$4	10-02 00:32
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	+330	$291	88¢	$292	+$1	11-05 12:38
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	+290	$285	98¢	$284	-$1	11-07 01:36
Ukraine lowers conscription age by March 31, 2027?	No	+270	$233	80¢	$216	-$17	10-23 19:19
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	+179	$170	97¢	$173	+$4	10-18 13:27
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	+120	$117	98¢	$118	+$1	11-06 12:46
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+100	$98	100¢	$100	+$2	10-06 09:01
Is Earth flat?	No	+36	$36	99¢	$36	$0	11-08 17:26
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+20	$19	100¢	$20	+$1	11-09 11:30
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	+20	$19	98¢	$20	+$0	09-15 20:00
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	+20	$0	97¢	$19	+$20	10-29 17:50
Will AZ win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?	No	+10	$10	99¢	$10	$0	08-17 17:15
Will Solana hit $150 by December 31, 2026?	No	+10	$7	96¢	$10	+$2	10-27 16:45
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+8	$8	99¢	$8	+$0	11-09 10:55
Solana all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	+8	$7	97¢	$7	+$1	11-02 00:39
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	+5	$5	99¢	$5	$0	10-29 09:27
StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	+2	$2	99¢	$2	+$0	08-12 08:26
Pacifica FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	+0	-$1	99¢	$0	+$1	08-17 14:17
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	+0	$0	99¢	$0	+$0	10-10 11:07
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	+0	-$2	98¢	$0	+$2	09-27 17:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	18	$15.9K	7,958	7,958	+0	Yes	+$23	06-12 04:38
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	154	$11.9K	6,808	6,808	+0	open	—	11-09 11:05
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	98	$11.7K	6,072	6,072	+0	No	+$127	09-08 02:45
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	109	$6.9K	4,600	4,600	+0	Yes	+$669	07-14 21:19
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	15	$6.1K	3,785	2,444	+1,341	No	+$23	06-23 10:35
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	13	$4.9K	2,781	2,241	+540	No	+$19	07-09 20:29
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?	36	$4.4K	2,238	2,238	+0	No	+$41	09-03 23:29
Arcium FDV above $800M one day after launch?	44	$4.2K	2,124	2,124	+0	No	+$23	06-23 19:18
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	40	$3.3K	1,701	1,701	+0	Yes	+$54	09-26 06:45
will wti reach 120 in july 2026	30	$3.1K	1,555	1,555	+0	No	+$11	07-20 09:27
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	No	+$6	07-14 20:55
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	52	$2.9K	6,892	6,892	+0	No	-$239	07-14 20:30
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	37	$2.9K	1,753	1,285	+468	Yes	+$146	11-04 02:09
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	11	$2.9K	2,873	0	+2,873	No	+$17	07-15 21:02
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$2.6K	1,300	1,300	+0	No	+$1	06-19 17:25
will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	55	$2.4K	1,192	1,192	+0	No	+$7	07-22 18:17
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?	2	$2.3K	2,307	0	+2,307	Yes	+$2	06-12 15:45
will spacexs high share price on its first day of trading hit 300 high 20260608191407794	2	$2.2K	2,157	0	+2,157	No	+$4	06-12 19:35
squid fdv above 300m one day after launch 899	44	$2.1K	1,060	1,060	+0	No	+$41	08-05 08:18
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be less than $100?	4	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$7	06-12 19:28
will xagusd reach 68 in july 2026	25	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$9	07-24 13:05
Apple Announces Foldable iPhone at “Surprise and Shine” Event?	14	$1.9K	1,034	864	+170	Yes	+$12	09-09 17:53
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?	45	$1.8K	1,066	1,066	+0	open	—	11-07 14:17
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?	163	$1.7K	3,157	300	+2,857	open	—	11-10 09:35
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	16	$1.7K	879	829	+50	Yes	+$24	10-30 04:09
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	35	$1.6K	4,594	4,594	+0	No	+$80	07-14 19:39
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	32	$1.5K	778	758	+20	open	—	10-29 17:50
will arcium launch a token by june 30 2026	6	$1.4K	1,437	0	+1,437	Yes	+$10	06-20 00:14
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$1.4K	700	700	+0	No	+$14	07-07 01:33
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M?	37	$1.3K	700	700	+0	Yes	+$53	10-29 10:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 09:35:45	Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?	$60	SELL	60	55¢	$33	0xc0a58f…
11-10 09:33:10	Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?	$60	SELL	14	54¢	$8	0x9979cb…
11-10 09:32:57	Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?	$60	SELL	24	54¢	$13	0x8df9a8…
11-10 09:32:55	Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?	$60	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x9b1927…
11-10 09:32:55	Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?	$60	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x74230e…
11-10 09:32:55	Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?	$60	SELL	50	53¢	$26	0x3d17ff…
11-10 09:32:55	Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?	$60	SELL	43	52¢	$22	0x19f3af…
11-10 08:27:13	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in November?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x1fd14e…
11-10 08:19:01	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in November?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x975ce1…
11-10 07:06:28	LoL: FENNEL vs Nothin'Here (BO5) - LCP Promotion Playoffs	Nothin'Here	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x6abeaa…
11-10 07:06:06	LoL: FENNEL vs Nothin'Here (BO5) - LCP Promotion Playoffs	Nothin'Here	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x9d541a…
11-09 23:27:51	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x099101…
11-09 23:13:40	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in November?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x8e8c31…
11-09 23:00:15	Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?	$60	SELL	11	52¢	$6	0xf5f042…
11-09 18:50:37	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in November?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5e5552…
11-09 17:07:45	Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xc70069…
11-09 16:56:10	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x5699fb…
11-09 11:30:04	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xabd97b…
11-09 11:18:07	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x032fe4…
11-09 11:05:39	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0xbb6953…
11-09 10:55:24	Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xc81131…
11-09 08:04:07	Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?	$60	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x080106…
11-08 23:02:58	Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb2c8c9…
11-08 21:23:57	Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x466171…
11-08 20:52:39	Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	BUY	436	100¢	$436	0xd7da04…
11-08 20:40:00	Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 3 FC Barcelona?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xe5fae7…
11-08 20:12:39	Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x714814…
11-08 20:11:36	Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x90149a…
11-08 19:41:07	Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xecd626…
11-08 19:00:55	Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 4 - 4 FC Barcelona?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x5659a1…
11-08 18:35:12	Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	158	100¢	$158	0xe1c50f…
11-08 17:26:07	Is Earth flat?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x49dea1…
11-08 14:45:15	Buccaneers vs. Bears	Bears	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0x6e1400…
11-08 14:09:10	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xd8b84c…
11-08 12:52:57	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	SELL	40	93¢	$37	0x71e430…
11-08 12:16:37	Another Elon baby by December 31?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x39c070…
11-08 12:07:33	Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 3 FC Barcelona?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xbdf377…
11-08 11:23:43	XRP all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x999727…
11-08 09:34:55	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ (BO5) - IEM Beijing Playoffs	MOUZ	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x99ebfc…
11-08 09:30:49	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ (BO5) - IEM Beijing Playoffs	MOUZ	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x12e1dc…
11-08 03:45:48	XRP all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x34cd25…
11-07 14:17:39	Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0x6a3535…
11-07 12:48:10	Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	18	76¢	$14	0x2fdd55…
11-07 11:14:22	Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?	$60	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x57ee2a…
11-07 11:14:21	Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?	$60	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xfc971f…
11-07 11:14:21	Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?	$60	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x5d2e97…
11-07 11:14:00	Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?	$60	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xb4d20b…
11-07 11:07:09	Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	19	76¢	$14	0x2f4223…
11-07 11:06:30	Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	30	71¢	$21	0x92e310…
11-07 11:06:19	Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	200	72¢	$143	0xdff0b7…
11-07 11:06:03	Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	500	72¢	$361	0x3e9226…
11-07 11:05:52	Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	139	72¢	$101	0x1789b0…
11-07 11:05:37	Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0x460484…
11-07 09:45:48	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0xf92411…
11-07 09:27:04	Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe581fc…
11-07 05:52:12	Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf5cff0…
11-07 04:06:10	Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0xa98cb0…
11-07 03:36:33	Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x0afd4b…
11-07 01:36:46	Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xea96bf…
11-07 01:21:54	Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xe333ac…
11-07 00:46:48	Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x625a3b…
11-07 00:09:42	Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x134e4e…
11-07 00:09:36	Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd3fe5c…
11-07 00:09:24	Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1b982b…
11-07 00:07:13	XRP all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x24de8f…
11-06 23:54:27	Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x12fdd2…
11-06 23:54:04	Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xcb49a0…
11-06 21:34:24	Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x57d237…
11-06 21:34:06	Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xabd4ec…
11-06 21:34:06	Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x15b7fc…
11-06 21:18:48	Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0xefb4e7…
11-06 20:38:52	Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	115	92¢	$106	0xba0679…
11-06 19:38:43	Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x08a96e…
11-06 19:28:07	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x23998e…
11-06 19:10:30	Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?	$60	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0xe069c2…
11-06 16:59:16	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x0853b1…
11-06 12:46:51	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x464362…
11-06 11:57:36	Tabi FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0xa2f950…
11-06 11:53:42	Tabi FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x534523…
11-06 11:36:10	Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xa7f261…
11-06 10:34:52	Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x394561…
11-06 10:08:34	Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?	$60	SELL	60	51¢	$31	0x0c12d8…
11-06 06:24:21	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe4880d…
11-06 06:23:37	Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x135bde…
11-06 06:23:21	Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd6ff84…
11-06 01:50:36	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x741603…
11-05 23:59:42	Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x495dcb…
11-05 21:00:54	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x125790…
11-05 20:20:24	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa0bb31…
11-05 20:04:21	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x638cb9…
11-05 20:01:51	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	97¢	$2	0x807e45…
11-05 19:52:34	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xcac765…
11-05 19:37:15	Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfff941…
11-05 19:31:57	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc81011…
11-05 19:23:33	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x7bfd4f…
11-05 19:23:02	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x63fcac…
11-05 19:22:45	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x537fab…
11-05 19:22:33	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xcca121…
11-05 19:21:45	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe1738d…
11-05 19:14:28	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x015995…