Willing-Trait — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$891

Unrealized P&L

+$349

Hit rate

94.0%

Resolved

421

Trades

3,203

lifetime

Volume

$176.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$55

Open exposure

$3.61K

20 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 11-13 13:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 98 days

Categories

Other

35% 96% +$84

Crypto

26% 96% -$26

Sports

22% 97% +$683

Tech

14% 100% +$102

Politics

1% 91% +$48

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 105 trades/day

Open positions (20) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?	$60	+2,709	$1,301	57¢	$1.5K	+$234	11-13 08:36
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	+545	$512	95¢	$516	+$4	10-26 08:09
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	+505	$486	97¢	$491	+$5	09-02 05:05
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	+300	$295	98¢	$294	-$1	11-13 10:32
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	+330	$291	89¢	$294	+$3	11-05 12:38
Ukraine lowers conscription age by March 31, 2027?	No	+270	$233	84¢	$225	-$8	10-23 19:19
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+100	$98	100¢	$100	+$2	10-06 09:01
Is Earth flat?	No	+36	$36	100¢	$36	+$0	11-08 17:26
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+30	$29	98¢	$29	$0	11-11 13:51
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+20	$19	100¢	$20	+$1	11-09 11:30
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	+20	$19	98¢	$20	+$0	09-15 20:00
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	+20	-$83	96¢	$19	+$102	11-12 18:40
Will AZ win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?	No	+10	$10	99¢	$10	$0	08-17 17:15
Will Solana hit $150 by December 31, 2026?	No	+10	$7	96¢	$10	+$2	10-27 16:45
Solana all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	+8	$7	97¢	$7	+$1	11-02 00:39
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	+5	$5	100¢	$5	+$0	10-29 09:27
StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	+2	$2	99¢	$2	+$0	08-12 08:26
Pacifica FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	+0	-$1	99¢	$0	+$1	08-17 14:17
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	+0	$0	99¢	$0	+$0	10-10 11:07
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	+0	-$2	99¢	$0	+$2	09-27 17:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	18	$15.9K	7,958	7,958	+0	Yes	+$23	06-12 04:38
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	158	$12.0K	6,888	6,868	+20	open	—	11-12 18:40
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	98	$11.7K	6,072	6,072	+0	No	+$127	09-08 02:45
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	109	$6.9K	4,600	4,600	+0	Yes	+$669	07-14 21:19
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	15	$6.1K	3,785	2,444	+1,341	No	+$23	06-23 10:35
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	13	$4.9K	2,781	2,241	+540	No	+$19	07-09 20:29
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?	36	$4.4K	2,238	2,238	+0	No	+$41	09-03 23:29
Arcium FDV above $800M one day after launch?	44	$4.2K	2,124	2,124	+0	No	+$23	06-23 19:18
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	40	$3.3K	1,701	1,701	+0	Yes	+$54	09-26 06:45
will wti reach 120 in july 2026	30	$3.1K	1,555	1,555	+0	No	+$11	07-20 09:27
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	No	+$6	07-14 20:55
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	52	$2.9K	6,892	6,892	+0	No	-$239	07-14 20:30
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	37	$2.9K	1,753	1,285	+468	Yes	+$146	11-04 02:09
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	11	$2.9K	2,873	0	+2,873	No	+$17	07-15 21:02
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?	2	$2.8K	1,400	1,400	+0	Yes	+$0	11-12 13:55
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$2.6K	1,300	1,300	+0	No	+$1	06-19 17:25
will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	55	$2.4K	1,192	1,192	+0	No	+$7	07-22 18:17
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?	2	$2.3K	2,307	0	+2,307	Yes	+$2	06-12 15:45
will spacexs high share price on its first day of trading hit 300 high 20260608191407794	2	$2.2K	2,157	0	+2,157	No	+$4	06-12 19:35
squid fdv above 300m one day after launch 899	44	$2.1K	1,060	1,060	+0	No	+$41	08-05 08:18
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be less than $100?	4	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$7	06-12 19:28
will xagusd reach 68 in july 2026	25	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$9	07-24 13:05
Apple Announces Foldable iPhone at “Surprise and Shine” Event?	14	$1.9K	1,034	864	+170	Yes	+$12	09-09 17:53
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?	174	$1.8K	3,157	448	+2,709	open	—	11-13 08:36
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?	45	$1.8K	1,066	1,066	+0	No	-$171	11-07 14:17
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	16	$1.7K	879	829	+50	Yes	+$24	10-30 04:09
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	39	$1.7K	880	880	+0	open	—	11-13 01:36
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	35	$1.6K	4,594	4,594	+0	No	+$80	07-14 19:39
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	33	$1.5K	778	778	+0	open	—	11-13 09:29
will arcium launch a token by june 30 2026	6	$1.4K	1,437	0	+1,437	Yes	+$10	06-20 00:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 13:18:31	Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	179	97¢	$173	0xe5c94e…
11-13 10:32:55	Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf54ca3…
11-13 09:29:57	Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x4b3b58…
11-13 08:36:27	Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?	$60	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0xf4f98d…
11-13 06:06:40	Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?	$60	SELL	19	57¢	$11	0xf98294…
11-13 06:06:40	Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?	$60	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x9aa433…
11-13 06:06:40	Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?	$60	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x8865c5…
11-13 06:06:40	Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?	$60	SELL	1	58¢	$1	0x724281…
11-13 06:06:40	Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?	$60	SELL	24	58¢	$14	0x3dc68e…
11-13 06:06:39	Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?	$60	SELL	12	56¢	$7	0xd0b841…
11-13 06:06:39	Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?	$60	SELL	23	57¢	$13	0xb1c1a2…
11-13 06:06:39	Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?	$60	SELL	18	57¢	$10	0x29719e…
11-13 06:06:39	Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?	$60	SELL	21	56¢	$12	0x23291a…
11-13 01:36:16	Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	825	98¢	$811	0x7b0a65…
11-13 00:58:48	Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	380	96¢	$366	0x2373bf…
11-12 19:35:36	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	97¢	$37	0xc8e561…
11-12 19:06:43	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xc449e7…
11-12 19:01:49	Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	55	98¢	$54	0x33c5a3…
11-12 18:40:30	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x5378a9…
11-12 17:05:46	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	76	97¢	$74	0x6f17d2…
11-12 14:10:10	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI: Pre-Load Now" get less than 10 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	79	100¢	$79	0x6216ee…
11-12 13:55:00	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,400	100¢	$1,397	0x34ec13…
11-12 13:54:16	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,400	100¢	$1,397	0x3d2317…
11-12 13:42:24	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI: Pre-Load Now" get less than 10 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x39cb9c…
11-12 13:42:22	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI: Pre-Load Now" get less than 10 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x9cd539…
11-12 13:42:22	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI: Pre-Load Now" get less than 10 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x40687c…
11-12 13:21:00	Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x075916…
11-12 08:14:15	Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	600	97¢	$582	0xc5b431…
11-12 03:37:27	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in November?	No	SELL	48	98¢	$47	0xf754e7…
11-12 02:11:30	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	98¢	$148	0xb05c67…
11-11 15:59:31	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x0db570…
11-11 13:55:16	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	SELL	60	96¢	$58	0xa54453…
11-11 13:51:55	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x692d8c…
11-11 11:24:13	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	98¢	$8	0x1dd2f3…
11-11 11:11:12	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	95¢	$43	0x6eb858…
11-11 10:10:16	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xdca274…
11-11 09:48:54	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd43529…
11-11 09:35:55	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xec8fcd…
11-11 09:26:51	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in November?	No	SELL	52	98¢	$51	0xb61276…
11-11 09:01:09	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x16f727…
11-11 09:00:31	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xb15bdc…
11-11 08:52:13	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xeed473…
11-11 08:46:43	Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xf81eb9…
11-11 08:13:00	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	95¢	$32	0x17aae6…
11-11 07:43:58	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in November?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x4ff5fd…
11-11 04:16:39	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in November?	No	SELL	74	100¢	$73	0xb103e0…
11-11 03:35:55	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	91	98¢	$90	0xdd181f…
11-11 03:28:21	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in November?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x4e5291…
11-11 03:27:45	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x04c334…
11-11 02:20:27	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0xde5497…
11-11 01:56:16	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xddb160…
11-11 01:35:48	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in November?	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x0327f7…
11-10 21:16:58	Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xe52d2c…
11-10 20:34:18	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI: Pre-Load Now" get less than 10 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xeb022f…
11-10 20:18:12	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	98¢	$83	0x7c56e8…
11-10 18:59:18	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x86bdf6…
11-10 18:44:07	will grand theft auto vi pre load now get less than 10 million views on week 1	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xadf346…
11-10 18:29:30	will grand theft auto vi pre load now get less than 10 million views on week 1	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd5d3c4…
11-10 18:17:30	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	202	98¢	$198	0x5529c6…
11-10 17:47:40	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0x956269…
11-10 17:46:27	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xdbf682…
11-10 17:45:27	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in November?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x569de0…
11-10 16:38:37	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in November?	Yes	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x23d8b1…
11-10 16:37:54	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in November?	No	SELL	95	98¢	$93	0x720a5b…
11-10 16:37:28	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x955f27…
11-10 15:57:25	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x967913…
11-10 15:53:25	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	98¢	$7	0x0a0c17…
11-10 15:50:55	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in November?	No	SELL	80	98¢	$78	0x4c1f3a…
11-10 15:10:12	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in November?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xcf06f5…
11-10 15:05:31	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x499edd…
11-10 15:01:58	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xdab913…
11-10 14:41:21	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5d420a…
11-10 13:44:21	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in November?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xdcb562…
11-10 13:30:52	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in November?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x913a8d…
11-10 13:15:52	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in November?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xf36bb9…
11-10 09:35:45	Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?	$60	SELL	60	55¢	$33	0xc0a58f…
11-10 09:33:10	Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?	$60	SELL	14	54¢	$8	0x9979cb…
11-10 09:32:57	Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?	$60	SELL	24	54¢	$13	0x8df9a8…
11-10 09:32:55	Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?	$60	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x9b1927…
11-10 09:32:55	Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?	$60	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x74230e…
11-10 09:32:55	Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?	$60	SELL	50	53¢	$26	0x3d17ff…
11-10 09:32:55	Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?	$60	SELL	43	52¢	$22	0x19f3af…
11-10 08:27:13	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in November?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x1fd14e…
11-10 08:19:01	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in November?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x975ce1…
11-10 07:06:28	LoL: FENNEL vs Nothin'Here (BO5) - LCP Promotion Playoffs	Nothin'Here	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x6abeaa…
11-10 07:06:06	LoL: FENNEL vs Nothin'Here (BO5) - LCP Promotion Playoffs	Nothin'Here	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x9d541a…
11-09 23:27:51	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x099101…
11-09 23:13:40	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in November?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x8e8c31…
11-09 23:00:15	Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?	$60	SELL	11	52¢	$6	0xf5f042…
11-09 18:50:37	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in November?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5e5552…
11-09 17:07:45	Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xc70069…
11-09 16:56:10	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x5699fb…
11-09 11:30:04	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xabd97b…
11-09 11:18:07	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x032fe4…
11-09 11:05:39	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0xbb6953…
11-09 10:55:24	Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xc81131…
11-09 08:04:07	Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?	$60	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x080106…
11-08 23:02:58	Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb2c8c9…
11-08 21:23:57	Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x466171…
11-08 20:52:39	Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	BUY	436	100¢	$436	0xd7da04…