Knobby-Veranda — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$25

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.6%

Resolved

531

Trades

1,176

lifetime

Volume

$4.53K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 05-18 12:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Other

96% 67% -$11

Crypto

2% 47% -$15

Politics

1% 67% -$1

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-18).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?	3	$36	21	21	+0	No	+$0	04-21 11:14
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on May 4?	7	$34	17	17	+0	No	+$0	05-04 13:17
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on May 1?	5	$33	17	17	+0	No	+$0	04-30 18:48
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 4?	8	$32	16	16	+0	No	+$0	05-04 14:11
highest temperature in seoul on april 24 2026 17c	5	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$0	04-23 16:13
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 3?	5	$24	12	12	+0	No	+$0	05-03 19:21
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C or higher on May 3?	4	$24	12	12	+0	No	+$0	05-03 01:03
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on May 3?	5	$24	12	12	+0	No	+$0	05-03 00:38
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on May 3?	5	$24	12	12	+0	No	+$0	05-03 08:16
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on May 3?	4	$24	12	12	+0	No	+$0	05-03 03:16
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on May 3?	7	$24	12	12	+0	No	+$0	05-03 00:05
highest temperature in nyc on april 19 2026 50 51f	6	$24	15	15	+0	No	+$0	04-19 13:04
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 14°C on May 3?	4	$23	12	11	+1	No	+$0	05-03 01:12
highest temperature in paris on april 18 2026 23corhigher	5	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$1	04-18 09:29
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on May 4?	4	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$0	05-04 14:59
will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5pt5 or higher worldwide from april 13 april 19	3	$22	12	12	+0	No	+$1	04-18 11:03
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 5?	7	$22	11	11	+0	No	+$0	05-05 05:48
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 6?	5	$21	11	11	+0	No	$0	05-06 07:03
highest temperature in tokyo on april 22 2026 24corhigher	4	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$0	04-22 03:03
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 6?	6	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-06 06:16
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C on May 6?	4	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-06 06:31
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 6?	6	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-06 04:55
atp duckwor napolit 2026 04 12	2	$20	11	11	+0	James Duckworth	+$1	04-13 19:08
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 6?	4	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-06 16:53
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 30?	5	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-29 21:15
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or higher on May 6?	5	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-06 01:03
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on May 6?	5	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-05 22:25
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C on April 30?	4	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-29 17:01
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on May 1?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	04-30 16:20
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 1?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	04-30 15:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 12:36:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xffc08a…
05-18 12:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x1aef28…
05-18 12:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x87362a…
05-18 12:22:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x2454a9…
05-18 12:09:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x323579…
05-16 17:42:29	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x71ba89…
05-16 17:08:42	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C or higher on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xd6e2c0…
05-16 16:44:31	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x6402a8…
05-16 16:16:19	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on May 16?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x891749…
05-16 14:36:13	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xcd5f11…
05-16 13:48:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	4	7¢	$0	0xc9d169…
05-16 13:48:35	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x772e31…
05-16 13:35:21	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x5f9150…
05-16 13:15:45	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xdb6d39…
05-16 13:04:50	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x281d37…
05-16 13:00:33	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x5f2e49…
05-16 12:51:45	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x2c035b…
05-16 12:34:43	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x5a4fdd…
05-16 11:50:49	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C or higher on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x90c64f…
05-16 10:55:59	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x9d988a…
05-16 10:33:03	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	4	8¢	$0	0xdf3185…
05-16 09:54:56	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x8f0d60…
05-16 09:41:38	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x715064…
05-16 09:24:38	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xd05c91…
05-16 09:22:07	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xef7251…
05-16 08:52:17	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0x87b24d…
05-16 08:29:25	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xc68e8c…
05-16 08:14:38	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xc11386…
05-16 07:32:50	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xb96ad0…
05-16 07:28:10	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x99f25d…
05-16 07:15:20	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xdd3285…
05-16 06:53:45	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0x3ea428…
05-16 06:37:01	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x1c8c5a…
05-16 06:27:21	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x374e72…
05-16 06:18:12	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xc75ea0…
05-16 06:14:05	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x5699ae…
05-16 06:13:42	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xd1d1d4…
05-16 05:34:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xfabb73…
05-16 05:26:15	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xac25fd…
05-16 05:01:49	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x3590eb…
05-16 05:01:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x029747…
05-16 04:48:27	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x0ae268…
05-16 04:23:01	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xb8c7bd…
05-16 04:20:31	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x87166c…
05-16 04:15:24	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	4	6¢	$0	0x06e689…
05-16 04:15:12	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xca758f…
05-16 04:08:10	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x5867b8…
05-16 04:07:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x3e1990…
05-16 04:04:21	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C or higher on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x5c86d7…
05-16 04:01:23	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x6db702…
05-16 03:50:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xffdcaf…
05-16 03:19:21	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xb2c2c3…
05-16 03:15:44	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xfd6c6a…
05-16 03:15:44	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0x2a4535…
05-16 03:15:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x207184…
05-16 03:15:37	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x2bb9fe…
05-16 03:15:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xeb78f6…
05-16 02:50:56	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x5e65c6…
05-16 02:50:44	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x1a7a88…
05-16 02:26:11	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x7db5bf…
05-16 01:58:37	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xa0d0d5…
05-16 01:25:50	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x889f91…
05-16 01:20:23	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C or higher on May 16?	Yes	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0x52a4b6…
05-16 01:20:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C or higher on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xbfa104…
05-16 01:17:24	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x507287…
05-16 00:58:30	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C or higher on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x217501…
05-16 00:57:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xd5b29e…
05-16 00:56:26	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xf69df5…
05-16 00:54:50	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C or higher on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xae7ca2…
05-16 00:35:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x8b933d…
05-16 00:31:21	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C or higher on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x8804f6…
05-16 00:23:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x3cdbe7…
05-16 00:22:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xf6c09d…
05-16 00:22:17	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xb03ad4…
05-16 00:10:19	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x3faedc…
05-16 00:10:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C or higher on May 16?	Yes	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0x6d0008…
05-16 00:02:30	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x7e1f6a…
05-15 16:50:29	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x144c25…
05-15 16:48:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x500cb5…
05-15 15:55:55	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xc00411…
05-15 15:55:34	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0xd5eda9…
05-15 15:41:13	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	4	6¢	$0	0x91a5cb…
05-15 15:41:06	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x9a318a…
05-15 15:21:47	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x6675e2…
05-15 15:12:40	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x37e0ad…
05-15 14:55:03	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x170930…
05-15 14:24:18	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xb88c17…
05-15 13:46:09	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xfa3089…
05-15 13:02:38	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 33°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x62cca0…
05-15 12:57:11	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x12166d…
05-15 12:53:36	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x7c0325…
05-15 12:52:22	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0x80c6bb…
05-15 12:40:56	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x74f19a…
05-15 12:40:56	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0x5e2e91…
05-15 12:40:56	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0x52a891…
05-15 12:12:51	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xe9fa18…
05-15 11:58:16	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C or higher on May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xb3d0aa…
05-15 11:47:07	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0xa41fb6…
05-15 11:47:06	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x08543b…
05-15 11:38:49	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x5eba2a…