Nifty-Spouse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

7.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.49K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-26

last 06-09 18:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

59% 100% +$0

Other

30% 0% —

Sports

11% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No		+1	$-0	80¢	$1	+$1	06-04 17:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	10	$226	115	115	+0	open	—	04-10 02:10
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	4	$142	75	75	+0	open	—	04-24 12:30
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	5	$142	80	80	+0	open	—	05-23 13:46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	5	$132	68	68	+0	open	—	05-18 15:46
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	7	$116	118	155	-37	open	—	05-25 06:31
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$107	179	179	+0	open	—	04-23 22:50
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$69	35	35	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:07
Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	3	$67	35	35	+0	open	—	03-27 05:17
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$67	35	35	+0	open	—	05-16 13:49
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$67	34	34	+0	open	—	04-22 13:57
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	2	$66	34	34	+0	open	—	04-21 13:14
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	3	$66	35	35	+0	Yes	+$0	04-23 10:11
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	3	$65	48	47	+1	open	—	06-04 17:56
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	3	$51	77	77	+0	open	—	06-09 21:32
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	3	$48	83	83	+0	open	—	06-07 23:55
israel closes its airspace by june 8	3	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	06-09 04:13
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	6	$31	71	71	+0	open	—	06-02 21:05
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	4	$17	73	73	+0	open	—	06-09 18:09
Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	3	$11	38	38	+0	No	+$0	03-30 11:02
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	3	$9	71	71	+0	open	—	06-02 11:29
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	4	$4	84	84	+0	open	—	06-07 19:46
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$3	38	38	+0	open	—	04-04 17:32
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	5	$2	78	78	+0	No	+$0	03-28 08:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 21:32:48	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	77	33¢	$25	0xa99bd8…
06-09 21:30:03	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	65	33¢	$21	0xd6907e…
06-09 21:30:03	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0xbdfc66…
06-09 18:09:37	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	73	13¢	$9	0x1c508f…
06-09 16:10:21	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0xf2697b…
06-09 16:10:21	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	37	10¢	$4	0xe3221d…
06-09 16:10:21	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	32	10¢	$3	0x0fb76e…
06-09 04:13:00	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xff76ec…
06-09 02:04:28	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x3dd65b…
06-08 23:53:31	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x62d062…
06-07 23:55:31	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	31	29¢	$9	0xa72766…
06-07 23:55:31	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	52	29¢	$15	0x2560b5…
06-07 22:12:24	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	83	29¢	$24	0xa125fc…
06-07 19:46:33	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	84	2¢	$2	0xeb7125…
06-06 07:08:24	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	17	2¢	$0	0xe182ce…
06-06 07:08:24	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	39	2¢	$1	0x4fa636…
06-06 07:08:24	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	28	2¢	$1	0x1dbb06…
06-04 17:56:24	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	31	69¢	$21	0x619cdc…
06-04 15:47:57	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	16	69¢	$11	0x175ac1…
06-04 13:02:37	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	48	67¢	$32	0x9ce205…
06-02 21:05:13	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	22¢	$8	0xc852cd…
06-02 20:52:51	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0xe12caa…
06-02 20:37:06	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	22¢	$3	0xeddebe…
06-02 15:34:26	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	21¢	$6	0xc324e2…
06-02 15:34:26	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0x2b7d78…
06-02 15:34:26	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	21¢	$7	0x183ffb…
06-02 11:29:40	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	71	6¢	$5	0x190023…
06-02 09:16:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	6¢	$1	0xc07ac7…
06-02 09:16:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	6¢	$3	0x0e26d3…
05-25 06:31:09	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	37	96¢	$36	0x00dd42…
05-23 13:46:42	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	24	91¢	$22	0xd28ef8…
05-23 13:46:42	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	14	91¢	$13	0xaff249…
05-23 11:23:47	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	38	92¢	$35	0xbc18ee…
05-22 01:38:21	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	34	94¢	$32	0x05d75e…
05-22 01:04:51	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	34	95¢	$32	0xd86d18…
05-21 02:09:59	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	64	10¢	$6	0xfe1f41…
05-21 02:09:59	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x4c1828…
05-20 23:57:06	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	41	9¢	$4	0x3c3a5b…
05-20 23:57:04	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	43	9¢	$4	0x8fcd29…
05-18 22:45:54	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	42	84¢	$35	0x84d6c8…
05-18 21:07:05	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	42	87¢	$37	0xa716df…
05-18 15:46:59	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	22	97¢	$21	0xbfe6bc…
05-18 15:46:59	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0x45d025…
05-18 12:11:25	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0xe9ae1c…
05-17 04:56:45	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	34	97¢	$33	0x63cb7b…
05-17 03:17:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0xb001c2…
05-16 13:49:23	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	35	96¢	$34	0x0549ea…
05-16 11:57:51	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	35	96¢	$34	0x02a641…
04-24 12:30:06	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	34	97¢	$33	0x8ad221…
04-24 09:18:32	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0x4521c6…
04-23 22:50:02	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	137	12¢	$16	0xd3892b…
04-23 22:00:38	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	137	12¢	$16	0x2040e1…
04-23 10:11:06	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	35	94¢	$33	0x145e51…
04-23 09:02:14	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x961563…
04-23 09:02:14	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x392508…
04-22 13:57:56	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	34	98¢	$33	0x68cddc…
04-22 11:08:46	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	34	98¢	$33	0x05c197…
04-22 05:04:14	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	42	88¢	$37	0x15da4b…
04-22 04:00:56	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	42	88¢	$37	0xeaa326…
04-21 13:14:26	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	SELL	34	98¢	$33	0xf5ce86…
04-21 12:11:32	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	BUY	34	98¢	$33	0xcd4b1f…
04-20 12:57:06	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	41	92¢	$38	0xc3e103…
04-20 12:56:22	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	41	92¢	$38	0xabf1fd…
04-10 02:10:43	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x12b0bc…
04-10 02:09:55	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xab8763…
04-09 07:07:45	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	35	98¢	$34	0x095c5a…
04-09 03:40:11	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0x2a27d2…
04-06 23:39:43	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x500494…
04-06 23:39:39	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xb5946a…
04-06 21:12:05	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xa49e5d…
04-05 05:56:29	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0x87c052…
04-05 03:22:53	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	33	99¢	$32	0xc88c12…
04-05 03:22:53	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x37c6d8…
04-04 17:32:09	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	SELL	38	4¢	$1	0x5260dd…
04-04 14:53:23	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	38	4¢	$1	0x3de661…
03-30 11:02:02	Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	15¢	$6	0x981748…
03-30 08:39:08	Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0xb6b600…
03-30 08:39:08	Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	14¢	$5	0x04d5c6…
03-28 08:32:09	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	31	1¢	$0	0xd5e0e6…
03-28 07:22:43	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	47	1¢	$1	0x9655ba…
03-28 04:51:51	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	31	1¢	$0	0xd5cb61…
03-28 04:51:51	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	35	1¢	$0	0xcb3f57…
03-28 04:51:51	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x2a2142…
03-28 01:27:33	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	35	97¢	$34	0xf5cd4a…
03-27 22:54:01	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	35	97¢	$34	0x6a8256…
03-27 05:17:27	Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	24	96¢	$23	0x5c9950…
03-27 03:44:37	Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0x96ca55…
03-26 23:12:57	Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	35	96¢	$34	0x683560…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	23	$98.7K	7,178	06-09 22:19
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	21	$279.5K	4,165	06-09 23:10
Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae	21	$47.6K	14,814	06-09 23:10
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	18	$4.17M	7,693	06-09 23:03
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	18	$40.5K	347	06-08 20:20
Bare-Stag 0x2fa8…4359	17	$3.81K	707	06-09 23:06
(anonymous) 0x238f…3015	17	$1.29K	1,097	06-09 21:41
Blaring-Backdrop 0x8a98…1b92	16	$485.7K	4,931	06-09 19:46