Nifty-Spouse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

+$10

Hit rate

7.6%

Resolved

Trades

118

lifetime

Volume

$1.97K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$32

1 position

First seen

2026-03-26

last 06-25 18:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

57% 100% +$0

Other

34% 0% —

Sports

9% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes		-85	$-42	38¢	$-32	+$10	06-13 04:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	10	$226	115	115	+0	open	—	04-10 02:10
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	5	$149	86	100	-14	open	—	06-14 21:08
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	4	$142	75	75	+0	open	—	04-24 12:30
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	5	$142	80	80	+0	open	—	05-23 13:46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	5	$132	68	68	+0	open	—	05-18 15:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	8	$127	80	165	-85	open	—	06-13 04:05
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	7	$116	118	155	-37	open	—	05-25 06:31
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$107	179	179	+0	open	—	04-23 22:50
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$69	35	35	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:07
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	2	$68	47	47	+0	open	—	06-10 14:51
Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	3	$67	35	35	+0	open	—	03-27 05:17
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$67	35	35	+0	open	—	05-16 13:49
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$67	34	34	+0	open	—	04-22 13:57
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	2	$66	34	34	+0	open	—	04-21 13:14
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	3	$66	35	35	+0	Yes	+$0	04-23 10:11
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	3	$65	48	47	+1	open	—	06-04 17:56
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	3	$51	77	77	+0	open	—	06-09 21:32
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	3	$48	83	83	+0	open	—	06-07 23:55
israel closes its airspace by june 8	3	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	06-09 04:13
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	6	$31	71	71	+0	open	—	06-02 21:05
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	5	$18	39	39	+0	open	—	06-25 18:06
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	4	$17	73	73	+0	open	—	06-09 18:09
will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	2	$14	8	8	+0	open	—	06-19 10:58
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	06-18 18:47
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	2	$12	20	20	+0	open	—	06-23 13:12
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	2	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	06-25 01:59
Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	3	$11	38	38	+0	No	+$0	03-30 11:02
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	3	$9	71	71	+0	open	—	06-02 11:29
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	2	$8	25	25	+0	open	—	06-22 22:52
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	4	$4	84	84	+0	open	—	06-07 19:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 18:06:11	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	8¢	$3	0xf4a461…
06-25 15:35:16	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	8¢	$3	0xdf2266…
06-25 01:59:50	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x68d71e…
06-24 20:25:20	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xd0f501…
06-23 13:12:38	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x5fd4f7…
06-23 10:51:43	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x6e0b46…
06-22 22:52:19	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	25	16¢	$4	0xf2fad4…
06-22 20:51:19	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0x8b10e1…
06-19 10:58:50	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	8	86¢	$7	0xee9a2c…
06-19 08:26:49	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x9d7a47…
06-18 18:47:58	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	SELL	8	83¢	$7	0x3c1364…
06-18 18:47:05	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0x7c48f5…
06-18 03:18:40	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x6316f0…
06-18 03:18:38	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0xe01abf…
06-17 23:08:04	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x74b03c…
06-14 21:08:00	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	40	83¢	$33	0xca1366…
06-14 15:58:28	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	54	73¢	$39	0x32b957…
06-13 20:58:39	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	26	81¢	$21	0x98314d…
06-13 20:58:39	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0x16d78c…
06-13 18:31:42	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	46	84¢	$39	0x69e1a0…
06-13 04:05:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x6dc7f8…
06-13 04:05:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	13	48¢	$6	0x2b8799…
06-13 04:02:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	18	48¢	$9	0x2fd9d5…
06-12 16:45:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	85	49¢	$42	0x8c3e6d…
06-12 11:42:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xac3fd3…
06-12 11:42:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	57	55¢	$31	0xa78b88…
06-12 08:24:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	14	55¢	$8	0xe6ff96…
06-12 08:24:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	48	55¢	$26	0xa18e27…
06-10 14:51:04	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	47	71¢	$33	0xc16367…
06-10 11:13:24	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	47	73¢	$34	0xe961a3…
06-09 21:32:48	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	77	33¢	$25	0xa99bd8…
06-09 21:30:03	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	65	33¢	$21	0xd6907e…
06-09 21:30:03	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0xbdfc66…
06-09 18:09:37	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	73	13¢	$9	0x1c508f…
06-09 16:10:21	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0xf2697b…
06-09 16:10:21	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	37	10¢	$4	0xe3221d…
06-09 16:10:21	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	32	10¢	$3	0x0fb76e…
06-09 04:13:00	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xff76ec…
06-09 02:04:28	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x3dd65b…
06-08 23:53:31	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x62d062…
06-07 23:55:31	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	31	29¢	$9	0xa72766…
06-07 23:55:31	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	52	29¢	$15	0x2560b5…
06-07 22:12:24	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	83	29¢	$24	0xa125fc…
06-07 19:46:33	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	84	2¢	$2	0xeb7125…
06-06 07:08:24	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	17	2¢	$0	0xe182ce…
06-06 07:08:24	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	39	2¢	$1	0x4fa636…
06-06 07:08:24	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	28	2¢	$1	0x1dbb06…
06-04 17:56:24	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	31	69¢	$21	0x619cdc…
06-04 15:47:57	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	16	69¢	$11	0x175ac1…
06-04 13:02:37	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	48	67¢	$32	0x9ce205…
06-02 21:05:13	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	22¢	$8	0xc852cd…
06-02 20:52:51	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0xe12caa…
06-02 20:37:06	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	22¢	$3	0xeddebe…
06-02 15:34:26	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	21¢	$6	0xc324e2…
06-02 15:34:26	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0x2b7d78…
06-02 15:34:26	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	21¢	$7	0x183ffb…
06-02 11:29:40	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	71	6¢	$5	0x190023…
06-02 09:16:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	6¢	$1	0xc07ac7…
06-02 09:16:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	6¢	$3	0x0e26d3…
05-25 06:31:09	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	37	96¢	$36	0x00dd42…
05-23 13:46:42	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	24	91¢	$22	0xd28ef8…
05-23 13:46:42	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	14	91¢	$13	0xaff249…
05-23 11:23:47	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	38	92¢	$35	0xbc18ee…
05-22 01:38:21	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	34	94¢	$32	0x05d75e…
05-22 01:04:51	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	34	95¢	$32	0xd86d18…
05-21 02:09:59	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	64	10¢	$6	0xfe1f41…
05-21 02:09:59	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x4c1828…
05-20 23:57:06	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	41	9¢	$4	0x3c3a5b…
05-20 23:57:04	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	43	9¢	$4	0x8fcd29…
05-18 22:45:54	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	42	84¢	$35	0x84d6c8…
05-18 21:07:05	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	42	87¢	$37	0xa716df…
05-18 15:46:59	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	22	97¢	$21	0xbfe6bc…
05-18 15:46:59	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0x45d025…
05-18 12:11:25	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0xe9ae1c…
05-17 04:56:45	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	34	97¢	$33	0x63cb7b…
05-17 03:17:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0xb001c2…
05-16 13:49:23	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	35	96¢	$34	0x0549ea…
05-16 11:57:51	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	35	96¢	$34	0x02a641…
04-24 12:30:06	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	34	97¢	$33	0x8ad221…
04-24 09:18:32	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0x4521c6…
04-23 22:50:02	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	137	12¢	$16	0xd3892b…
04-23 22:00:38	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	137	12¢	$16	0x2040e1…
04-23 10:11:06	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	35	94¢	$33	0x145e51…
04-23 09:02:14	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x961563…
04-23 09:02:14	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x392508…
04-22 13:57:56	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	34	98¢	$33	0x68cddc…
04-22 11:08:46	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	34	98¢	$33	0x05c197…
04-22 05:04:14	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	42	88¢	$37	0x15da4b…
04-22 04:00:56	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	42	88¢	$37	0xeaa326…
04-21 13:14:26	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	SELL	34	98¢	$33	0xf5ce86…
04-21 12:11:32	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	BUY	34	98¢	$33	0xcd4b1f…
04-20 12:57:06	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	41	92¢	$38	0xc3e103…
04-20 12:56:22	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	41	92¢	$38	0xabf1fd…
04-10 02:10:43	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x12b0bc…
04-10 02:09:55	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xab8763…
04-09 07:07:45	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	35	98¢	$34	0x095c5a…
04-09 03:40:11	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0x2a27d2…
04-06 23:39:43	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x500494…
04-06 23:39:39	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xb5946a…
04-06 21:12:05	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xa49e5d…