Memorable-Defense 0x79e60a…c6aaa1
whale bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
+$4
Unrealized P&L
-$33
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (7d)
2
Trades (7d)
3
8,294 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$2
$147.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$1.09K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-19
last 10-30 07:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 95 days
Categories
Crypto
41% 97% -$1,220
Other
39% 92% -$1,647
Politics
18% 43% -$2,188
Sports
2% 60% -$32
Tech
1% 62% +$131
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -200 -$150 84¢ $-168 -$18 05-06 09:54
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No -161 -$147 97¢ $-156 -$10 05-10 18:00
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -200 -$112 76¢ $-153 -$41 05-10 00:34
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No -100 -$93 98¢ $-98 -$5 05-06 14:46
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No -86 -$73 92¢ $-80 -$6 05-07 09:16
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026? Yes -97 -$34 50¢ $-48 -$15 05-12 20:54
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -58 -$53 83¢ $-48 +$5 05-07 09:02
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -40 -$36 98¢ $-39 -$3 05-08 18:44
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No -50 -$32 76¢ $-38 -$6 05-06 08:53
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes -50 -$24 70¢ $-35 -$11 05-08 08:33
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -40 -$24 66¢ $-26 -$2 06-13 23:54
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No -20 -$18 96¢ $-19 -$1 05-08 21:50
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No -20 -$18 95¢ $-19 -$1 05-08 11:11
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -20 -$19 95¢ $-19 +$0 05-06 12:33
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -20 -$18 94¢ $-19 -$1 05-06 09:08
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? No -20 -$15 88¢ $-18 -$2 05-07 13:43
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? No -20 -$18 87¢ $-17 +$0 05-10 12:18
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? Yes -200 -$54 8¢ $-17 +$37 05-06 14:57
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -40 -$16 36¢ $-14 +$2 05-14 09:39
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? No -14 -$10 97¢ $-14 -$3 05-08 13:34
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes -21 -$13 41¢ $-9 +$4 05-06 13:07
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? Yes -200 -$26 3¢ $-6 +$20 05-07 16:00
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No -20 -$7 27¢ $-5 +$1 05-08 20:42
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? Yes -10 -$2 52¢ $-5 -$3 05-07 16:55
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No -50 -$18 10¢ $-5 +$12 05-06 21:50
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -40 -$2 12¢ $-5 -$3 05-06 22:07
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -200 -$12 2¢ $-4 +$8 05-06 14:07
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027? Yes -95 -$13 4¢ $-4 +$9 05-07 18:54
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -60 -$3 5¢ $-3 $0 05-06 08:12
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? Yes -20 -$2 12¢ $-2 $0 05-09 12:56