Memorable-Defense 0x79e60a…c6aaa1 Create alert
whale bot cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$4.96K
Unrealized P&L
-$54
Hit rate
72.3%
Resolved
5,142
Trades
8,294
lifetime
Volume
$147.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$1.10K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-19
last 10-30 07:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 95 days
Categories
Crypto
41% 97% -$1,220
Other
39% 92% -$1,647
Politics
18% 43% -$2,188
Sports
2% 60% -$32
Tech
1% 62% +$131
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -200 -$150 85¢ $-169 -$20 05-06 09:54
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No -161 -$147 97¢ $-157 -$10 05-10 18:00
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -200 -$112 76¢ $-153 -$41 05-10 00:34
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No -100 -$93 98¢ $-98 -$5 05-06 14:46
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No -86 -$73 96¢ $-82 -$9 05-07 09:16
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -58 -$53 84¢ $-49 +$5 05-07 09:02
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026? Yes -97 -$34 48¢ $-47 -$13 05-12 20:54
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No -50 -$32 82¢ $-41 -$8 05-06 08:53
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -40 -$36 98¢ $-39 -$3 05-08 18:44
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes -50 -$24 76¢ $-38 -$14 05-08 08:33
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -40 -$24 68¢ $-27 -$3 06-13 23:54
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027? Yes -95 -$13 27¢ $-26 -$12 05-07 18:54
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No -20 -$18 97¢ $-19 -$1 05-08 21:50
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No -20 -$18 96¢ $-19 -$1 05-08 11:11
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -20 -$19 95¢ $-19 +$0 05-06 12:33
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -20 -$18 95¢ $-19 -$1 05-06 09:08
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? No -20 -$15 90¢ $-18 -$3 05-07 13:43
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? No -14 -$10 97¢ $-14 -$3 05-08 13:34
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -40 -$16 34¢ $-13 +$3 05-14 09:39
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? Yes -200 -$54 6¢ $-13 +$41 05-06 14:57
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes -21 -$13 40¢ $-9 +$5 05-06 13:07
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No -20 -$7 32¢ $-6 +$0 05-08 20:42
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? Yes -200 -$26 3¢ $-6 +$20 05-07 16:00
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -40 -$2 12¢ $-5 -$3 05-06 22:07
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -200 -$12 2¢ $-4 +$8 05-06 14:07
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? Yes -10 -$2 38¢ $-4 -$2 05-07 16:55
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -60 -$3 5¢ $-3 $0 05-06 08:12
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No -50 -$18 5¢ $-2 +$15 05-06 21:50
Vanta IPO before 2027? Yes -49 -$4 4¢ $-2 +$2 06-01 20:04
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? Yes -20 -$2 11¢ $-2 +$0 05-09 12:56