Realized P&L (90d)
-$1.67K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.59K
Hit rate
46.9%
Resolved (90d)
37
Trades (90d)
73
2,549 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$6.18K
$235.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$92
Open exposure
$23.1K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 08:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 137 days
Categories
Other
82% 67% +$5,772
Crypto
16% 69% +$2,653
Politics
1% 45% -$48
Sports
0% 50% +$25
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No -4,994 -$4,425 98¢ $-4886 -$461 07-03 19:22
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? No -2,830 -$2,575 97¢ $-2755 -$180 05-07 15:30
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? No -2,761 -$2,500 99¢ $-2721 -$221 05-06 22:17
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No +3,000 $2,404 88¢ $2.6K +$236 08-12 07:15
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +2,700 $1,692 84¢ $2.3K +$590 05-27 10:47
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes +2,000 $1,567 97¢ $1.9K +$365 07-14 12:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No -1,800 -$1,195 96¢ $-1729 -$533 06-02 07:11
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? No +3,661 $2,601 26¢ $970 -$1,631 07-31 15:50
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? No +730 $672 98¢ $715 +$43 06-15 12:02
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December? No +598 $556 98¢ $588 +$32 06-02 11:24
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No +540 $437 98¢ $528 +$91 06-02 11:23
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No -410 -$328 96¢ $-392 -$64 05-06 19:56
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? No -315 -$227 93¢ $-292 -$66 05-14 13:24
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? No -300 -$273 97¢ $-290 -$17 05-05 07:50
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No +311 $258 92¢ $284 +$26 06-10 11:41
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? No -48 -$37 98¢ $-47 -$10 05-08 16:43
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No -881 -$173 3¢ $-25 +$148 07-02 23:49
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -2,000 -$38 0¢ $-3 +$35 07-02 23:15
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -1,600 -$34 0¢ $-2 +$32 07-02 23:16