Realized P&L (7d)
—
Unrealized P&L
+$11
Hit rate
—
Resolved (7d)
0
Trades (7d)
0
8,317 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$0
$19.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$109
21 positions
First seen
2026-03-22
last 09-10 06:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 141 days
Categories
Politics
52% 38% +$98
Other
35% 21% -$225
Sports
7% 39% -$132
Crypto
5% 32% -$76
Tech
1% 39% -$9
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +13 $11 98¢ $13 +$1 05-26 03:28
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? Yes +15 $6 75¢ $11 +$6 05-28 15:32
situational awareness announces fund wind down by december 31 2026 20260730183020992 No +12 $10 94¢ $11 +$2 07-31 13:41
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +12 $10 84¢ $10 +$0 06-25 09:03
will saudi arabia recognize israel by december 31 No +10 $9 97¢ $10 +$1 07-04 07:31
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? No +10 $9 96¢ $10 +$0 07-04 07:31
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +11 $7 68¢ $8 +$0 07-31 08:24
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? Yes +10 $5 71¢ $7 +$2 07-08 08:53
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? No +6 $6 97¢ $6 +$0 07-03 04:55
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No +6 $5 89¢ $6 +$1 07-02 06:50
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 86¢ $4 $0 07-30 12:53
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +5 $4 85¢ $4 +$0 07-14 05:46
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +20 $4 16¢ $3 -$1 06-25 21:04
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 06-26 00:04
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2 $2 82¢ $2 $0 07-13 19:33
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +16 $1 6¢ $1 $0 07-12 15:48
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? No +1 $0 96¢ $1 +$1 09-10 06:00
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797 No +5 $1 9¢ $0 -$1 07-14 17:43
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +0 $0 62¢ $0 $0 07-15 03:57
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -0 -$4 18¢ $-0 +$4 07-13 01:14
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +0 $4 0¢ $0 -$4 06-08 22:02