Realized P&L
-$54
Unrealized P&L
-$162
Hit rate
48.8%
Resolved
95
Trades
6,999
lifetime
Volume
$43.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$27
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 11-06 20:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 43 days
Categories
Other
92% 54% -$49
Politics
6% 69% -$6
Crypto
2% 26% +$1
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? Yes -230 -$13 6¢ $-15 -$2 09-14 17:24
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? Yes -80 $8 10¢ $-8 -$16 09-09 05:16
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? Yes -40 $31 3¢ $-1 -$33 10-02 20:13
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? Yes +24 $59 4¢ $1 -$58 09-19 10:21
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? Yes +28 $44 3¢ $1 -$43 09-15 09:11
Fetterman out by December 31, 2026? Yes -23 -$9 4¢ $-1 +$8 05-18 02:40
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? Yes +2 $5 24¢ $0 -$5 08-12 20:56
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? Yes +0 $14 4¢ $0 -$14 07-27 11:29