Realized P&L (30d)
+$2
Unrealized P&L
-$165
Hit rate
3.7%
Resolved (30d)
5
Trades (30d)
66
6,999 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$147
$43.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$30
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 11-06 20:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 42 days
Categories
Other
92% 54% -$49
Politics
6% 69% -$6
Crypto
2% 27% +$2
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31 Yes -230 -$13 7¢ $-16 -$3 09-14 17:24
will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169 Yes -80 $8 11¢ $-9 -$17 09-09 05:16
will openais valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 937 533 Yes -40 $31 3¢ $-1 -$33 10-02 20:13
Fetterman out by December 31, 2026? Yes -23 -$9 6¢ $-1 +$8 05-18 02:40
will openais valuation hit low 700b by december 31 939 865 Yes +24 $59 4¢ $1 -$58 09-19 10:21
will openais valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 538 161 Yes +28 $44 2¢ $1 -$43 09-15 09:11
US defaults on debt by 2027? Yes -40 -$1 1¢ $-1 +$0 05-18 08:30
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? Yes +2 $5 32¢ $1 -$4 08-12 20:56
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? Yes — +0 $14 1¢ $0 -$14 07-27 11:29