Impressive-Twilight 0xa807e5…98c5d7
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Realized P&L (30d)
—
Unrealized P&L
+$22
Hit rate
—
Resolved (30d)
0
Trades (30d)
49
49 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$465
$465 lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$403
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-16 18:06
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
45% — —
Other
31% — —
Crypto
18% — —
Sports
6% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? Yes -65 $-35 58¢ $-38 $-3 05-11 23:08
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? No +57 $24 66¢ $38 +$14 05-15 17:17
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? No +80 $34 42¢ $33 $-1 05-15 17:17
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? No -41 $-32 80¢ $-33 $-1 05-16 15:01
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? Yes -80 $-28 36¢ $-29 $-1 05-16 16:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? Yes -40 $-23 57¢ $-23 $-0 05-16 13:31
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes -40 $-19 48¢ $-19 +$0 05-16 13:41
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? No -40 $-22 42¢ $-17 +$5 05-16 06:54
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +20 $13 81¢ $16 +$3 05-15 17:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? No +20 $16 80¢ $16 +$0 05-15 17:17
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? Yes +31 $15 50¢ $15 +$1 05-14 05:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May? No +31 $16 48¢ $15 $-1 05-15 16:30
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +20 $15 70¢ $14 $-1 05-15 16:30
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? No -40 $-12 32¢ $-13 $-1 05-16 17:09
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026? Yes -28 $-18 37¢ $-10 +$8 05-13 22:23
Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in 2026? Yes -17 $-9 50¢ $-9 +$1 05-16 05:34
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +10 $8 80¢ $8 $-0 05-10 19:23
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? No +20 $4 34¢ $7 +$2 05-15 17:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -20 $-6 26¢ $-5 +$0 05-16 13:44
Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in 2026? No -10 $-4 50¢ $-5 $-1 05-12 19:16
Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 $-0 05-10 19:24
Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election? No -20 $-4 24¢ $-5 $-1 05-14 08:19
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Yes +22 $5 19¢ $4 $-1 05-16 14:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? Yes +20 $5 20¢ $4 $-1 05-15 16:30
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? Yes -21 $-4 20¢ $-4 +$0 05-16 13:11
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 80¢ $4 +$0 05-15 17:17
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +14 $4 30¢ $4 $-0 05-15 17:17
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? Yes -20 $-4 20¢ $-4 $-0 05-16 18:06
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes -20 $-5 18¢ $-4 +$1 05-16 15:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May? Yes -20 $-4 16¢ $-3 +$1 05-16 14:00