Selfish-Tangerine 0xb3d4c3…91e68a
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Realized P&L
-$40
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
41.9%
Resolved
49
Trades
3,127
lifetime
Volume
$22.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$51
15 positions
First seen
2026-02-14
last 07-05 15:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Politics
51% 33% $-21
Other
33% 62% $-1
Tech
6% — —
Crypto
6% — —
Sports
3% 12% $-19
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +10 $7 82¢ $8 +$2 06-15 14:59
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +10 $4 70¢ $7 +$3 06-29 13:16
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? No -15 $0 42¢ $-6 $-6 06-07 12:56
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +21 $8 23¢ $5 $-3 06-22 20:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +10 $1 46¢ $5 +$3 06-23 16:27
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +5 $4 88¢ $4 $-0 06-28 15:26
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No +5 $4 88¢ $4 +$0 06-13 17:28
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No +4 $4 89¢ $4 +$0 06-08 07:46
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +5 $4 70¢ $4 $-1 06-29 22:37
Haiti elections delayed again? No +15 $4 8¢ $1 $-3 06-16 08:35
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? No -1 $-1 95¢ $-1 $-0 06-13 08:16
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? Yes +10 $1 8¢ $1 $-0 06-22 00:36
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +1 $0 89¢ $1 +$0 07-03 18:51
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $4B in 2026? No +10 $2 5¢ $1 $-1 06-29 21:44
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +0 $-0 60¢ $0 +$0 07-02 18:52