Selfish-Tangerine 0xb3d4c3…91e68a
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Realized P&L
-$40
Unrealized P&L
+$14
Hit rate
41.9%
Resolved
49
Trades
3,108
lifetime
Volume
$22.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$108
22 positions
First seen
2026-02-14
last 06-30 15:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Politics
51% 33% $-21
Other
33% 62% $-1
Tech
6% — —
Crypto
6% — —
Sports
3% 12% $-19
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 85 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +20 $12 100¢ $20 +$8 06-18 04:02
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June? No +10 $8 100¢ $10 +$2 06-03 07:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +10 $7 75¢ $8 +$1 06-15 14:59
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +7 $3 100¢ $7 +$4 06-29 21:22
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +21 $8 32¢ $7 $-1 06-22 20:38
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +10 $4 56¢ $6 +$1 06-29 13:16
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes -10 $-5 55¢ $-5 $-1 06-07 13:54
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (LOW) in June? No +5 $4 100¢ $5 +$1 06-07 00:09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No -5 $-5 100¢ $-5 $-0 05-31 09:43
Haiti elections delayed again? No +15 $4 32¢ $5 +$0 06-16 08:35
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +5 $4 89¢ $4 $-0 06-28 15:26
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +5 $4 86¢ $4 $-0 06-29 22:37
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? No -15 $0 28¢ $-4 $-4 06-07 12:56
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No +5 $4 86¢ $4 +$0 06-13 17:28
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +5 $4 86¢ $4 +$0 06-05 10:51
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No +4 $4 85¢ $3 $-0 06-08 07:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +10 $1 18¢ $2 +$0 06-23 16:27
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $4B in 2026? No +10 $2 17¢ $2 +$0 06-29 21:44
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? Yes +10 $1 15¢ $1 +$0 06-22 00:36
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? No -1 $-1 94¢ $-1 $-0 06-13 08:16
Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4? Yes -15 $-1 2¢ $-0 +$1 06-07 13:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -5 $-2 0¢ $-0 +$2 06-23 10:07