Realized P&L
-$21
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
53.4%
Resolved
54
Trades
1,454
lifetime
Volume
$3.32K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$30
10 positions
First seen
2026-04-14
last 07-03 06:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Other
49% 55% $-13
Politics
39%
Sports
10% 39% $-8
Crypto
1%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No -8 $-6 88¢ $-7 $-1 06-30 12:17
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -8 $-6 72¢ $-6 +$0 06-05 13:32
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No -7 $-6 88¢ $-6 $-0 06-24 15:26
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes -10 $-4 34¢ $-3 +$0 06-30 12:16
Trump goes to space in 2026? No -3 $-3 98¢ $-3 $-0 06-05 14:11
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -1 $-1 92¢ $-1 $-0 06-10 15:44
Trump out as President before 2027? No -1 $-1 92¢ $-1 $-0 06-30 12:18
Metamask FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +1 $1 87¢ $1 +$0 06-01 04:16
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes +17 $1 $1 $-0 06-10 09:58
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +4 $1 14¢ $1 $-0 06-05 14:12