Shadowy-Geology 0xb67933…580e5e
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Realized P&L
-$21
Unrealized P&L
-$17
Hit rate
53.4%
Resolved
54
Trades
1,452
lifetime
Volume
$3.32K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$58
19 positions
First seen
2026-04-14
last 06-30 12:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Other
49% 55% $-13
Politics
39% — —
Sports
10% 39% $-8
Crypto
1% — —
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 183 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No -8 $-7 100¢ $-8 $-1 06-11 20:14
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -7 $-7 100¢ $-7 $-0 06-30 12:17
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -8 $-6 84¢ $-7 $-1 06-05 13:32
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30? No -7 $-4 99¢ $-7 $-2 06-05 14:28
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No -8 $-6 78¢ $-6 $-0 06-30 12:17
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No -7 $-6 86¢ $-6 +$0 06-24 15:26
Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4? No -5 $-5 97¢ $-5 $-0 06-30 12:17
Trump goes to space in 2026? No -3 $-3 97¢ $-3 $-0 06-05 14:11
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes -10 $-4 34¢ $-3 +$0 06-30 12:16
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -1 $-1 88¢ $-1 +$0 06-10 15:44
Trump out as President before 2027? No -1 $-1 92¢ $-1 $-0 06-30 12:18
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes +17 $1 6¢ $1 +$0 06-10 09:58
Metamask FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +1 $1 80¢ $1 +$0 06-01 04:16
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30? Yes +24 $5 2¢ $0 $-5 06-21 18:34
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +4 $1 11¢ $0 $-1 06-05 14:12
Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4? Yes +15 $2 3¢ $0 $-2 06-02 13:46
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? Yes +62 $3 0¢ $0 $-3 06-21 18:22
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes -9 $0 0¢ $-0 $-0 06-13 12:30
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30? Yes -2 $3 0¢ $-0 $-3 06-16 14:07