Gummy-Backburn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$48

Unrealized P&L

+$25

Hit rate

1.3%

Resolved

Trades

487

lifetime

Volume

$20.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

$200

4 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 07-22 18:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

60% 17% $-48

Sports

17% — —

Tech

13% — —

Politics

7% 0% —

Crypto

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	+400	$176	19¢	$76	$-100	07-13 09:30
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	-160	$-109	31¢	$-50	+$59	06-07 18:38
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?	Yes	+170	$53	26¢	$43	$-9	07-12 10:27
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	-220	$-106	14¢	$-31	+$75	06-07 18:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	6	$1.4K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-11 12:18
spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	15	$1.4K	1,438	1,438	+0	open	—	06-30 14:46
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 28?	2	$975	500	500	+0	open	—	05-28 18:01
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?	6	$738	900	900	+0	Down	$-6	05-08 10:40
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	13	$737	960	966	-6	open	—	06-25 20:38
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of May 4 2026?	2	$655	500	500	+0	No	$-21	05-07 13:23
will nvda dip to 192 in june 2026	3	$564	599	599	+0	open	—	06-07 18:37
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	2	$485	300	300	+0	open	—	06-12 20:22
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.40 in April?	13	$416	1,228	1,206	+23	open	—	04-03 19:31
will company b be accused of insider trading	4	$391	281	492	-211	open	—	02-25 12:08
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on April 24?	7	$390	394	389	+5	open	—	04-24 11:23
will the next uk prime minister be appointed by september 30 20260622183223873	2	$370	200	200	+0	open	—	06-23 07:26
will france strike iran by march 31	3	$328	311	51	+260	open	—	03-01 16:25
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	2	$291	418	587	-169	open	—	05-31 18:11
will trump say biden 10 times during the 2026 state of the union address 599	2	$278	167	167	+0	open	—	02-25 06:30
fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	2	$256	156	156	+0	open	—	06-30 19:12
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	2	$246	200	200	+0	open	—	05-19 09:37
will germany strike iran by march 31	2	$229	119	119	+0	open	—	03-01 13:38
megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	3	$225	200	200	+0	open	—	04-28 05:46
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	2	$221	174	174	+0	open	—	06-19 14:31
ncaa tournament no 16 seed to win a game	8	$220	236	236	+0	open	—	03-14 09:49
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$216	801	801	+0	open	—	04-28 05:33
Will Ninjas in Pyjamas qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026?	3	$201	165	165	+0	open	—	03-30 19:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$200	278	278	+0	open	—	04-28 05:46
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	6	$189	494	215	+278	open	—	02-28 20:12
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?	2	$187	100	100	+0	open	—	03-25 11:34
will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day april 812	4	$182	100	100	+0	open	—	04-09 13:47
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	3	$182	463	463	+0	open	—	06-12 19:37
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	2	$176	400	0	+400	open	—	07-13 09:30
will the announcers say neymar 5 times during the scotland vs brazil fifa world cup match 20260623164947257	3	$176	100	100	+0	open	—	06-24 09:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 18:26:21	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt15 by july 31 20260629184429517	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x89fdd3…
07-21 09:30:27	val jdg te 2026 07 21 game3 round handicap jdg 2pt5	Trace Esports	BUY	212	51¢	$108	0x6b0a6b…
07-19 21:21:13	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x2a31c4…
07-17 08:43:06	val nova jdg 2026 07 17 game3 round handicap nova 2pt5	JD Gaming	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x829253…
07-17 08:42:48	val nova jdg 2026 07 17 game3 round handicap nova 2pt5	JD Gaming	SELL	13	52¢	$7	0xdc457c…
07-17 07:40:34	val nova jdg 2026 07 17 game3 round handicap nova 2pt5	JD Gaming	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x0ea519…
07-13 09:30:43	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0x5f5901…
07-12 10:27:04	Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?	Yes	BUY	170	31¢	$53	0xeea890…
07-11 20:13:08	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 btts	Yes	BUY	103	63¢	$65	0x4f80fa…
07-11 20:12:26	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0x141463…
07-10 02:08:50	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt15 by july 31 20260629184429517	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x520f62…
07-09 19:46:05	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt15 by july 31 20260629184429517	Yes	BUY	43	50¢	$21	0xc01406…
07-09 18:57:01	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt15 by july 31 20260629184429517	Yes	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x6e02a0…
07-06 21:57:50	will the announcers say cleat during the portugal vs spain fifa world cup match 20260706131659341	Yes	BUY	980	0¢	$1	0x1053d7…
07-06 21:51:13	will the announcers say cleat during the portugal vs spain fifa world cup match 20260706131659341	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xe16614…
07-04 17:46:02	will joey chestnut eat more than hotdogs at nathans hot dog eating contest 2026 20260703190559097	O 69+	SELL	201	1¢	$1	0x858e5b…
07-04 17:43:01	will joey chestnut eat more than hotdogs at nathans hot dog eating contest 2026 20260703190559097	O 69+	BUY	201	5¢	$10	0xde524c…
07-03 11:33:59	val mibr ge1 2026 07 03 game3 round handicap mibr 2pt5	MIBR	SELL	38	49¢	$19	0x0d1e4f…
07-03 11:30:01	val mibr ge1 2026 07 03 game3 round handicap mibr 2pt5	MIBR	BUY	38	48¢	$18	0x8d902b…
07-01 02:52:50	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Senegal	BUY	175	40¢	$70	0x60bc9d…
06-30 21:05:53	will the announcers say ronaldo during the ivory coast vs norway fifa world cup match 20260629195140041	Yes	SELL	60	0¢	$0	0x89eed6…
06-30 20:00:25	will the announcers say ronaldo during the ivory coast vs norway fifa world cup match 20260629195140041	Yes	SELL	60	0¢	$0	0x5f8bf3…
06-30 19:59:20	will the announcers say ronaldo during the ivory coast vs norway fifa world cup match 20260629195140041	Yes	SELL	129	0¢	$0	0xcc99b2…
06-30 19:52:56	will the announcers say ronaldo during the ivory coast vs norway fifa world cup match 20260629195140041	Yes	BUY	951	0¢	$1	0xd866c2…
06-30 19:12:47	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	Norway	SELL	156	100¢	$156	0x163a95…
06-30 14:57:31	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	Norway	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x5bc1fc…
06-30 14:46:34	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	SELL	100	87¢	$87	0x1da045…
06-30 14:43:56	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	SELL	87	87¢	$76	0x361ae9…
06-30 14:03:17	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0x69b89a…
06-30 14:03:08	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	BUY	144	69¢	$100	0xa9373b…
06-30 13:03:46	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	SELL	374	67¢	$251	0x6225cc…
06-29 19:04:13	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	SELL	14	71¢	$10	0x02ddb9…
06-29 18:14:28	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0x461d05…
06-29 17:01:13	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	BUY	166	30¢	$50	0x009127…
06-29 16:32:37	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	SELL	164	42¢	$69	0xd8d257…
06-29 14:26:02	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	BUY	164	31¢	$50	0x08e2fa…
06-29 13:57:53	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	SELL	693	42¢	$293	0x30dddf…
06-26 15:28:49	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	BUY	167	30¢	$50	0x50139a…
06-25 20:38:47	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	Yes	SELL	632	29¢	$183	0x6aeef6…
06-25 17:00:43	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	SELL	7	37¢	$2	0x5872f7…
06-25 11:29:31	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xfe9364…
06-24 13:08:52	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	BUY	300	33¢	$100	0x54c91d…
06-24 10:50:41	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	Yes	SELL	234	57¢	$133	0xdc57c0…
06-24 10:01:11	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	Yes	BUY	234	53¢	$124	0x190ba2…
06-24 09:49:41	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	Yes	SELL	100	65¢	$65	0xf261b7…
06-24 09:47:53	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	Yes	BUY	99	48¢	$47	0xf2f723…
06-24 09:12:10	will the announcers say neymar 5 times during the scotland vs brazil fifa world cup match 20260623164947257	Yes	SELL	21	76¢	$16	0x513f8a…
06-24 08:23:43	will the announcers say neymar 5 times during the scotland vs brazil fifa world cup match 20260623164947257	Yes	SELL	79	83¢	$66	0xef2008…
06-24 07:08:04	will the announcers say neymar 5 times during the scotland vs brazil fifa world cup match 20260623164947257	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xcb3157…
06-23 18:16:10	will morez johnson jrpt be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155207824	No	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0xf6e4d0…
06-23 18:10:35	will yaxel lendeborg be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155207822	No	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0x735e48…
06-23 18:05:56	will morez johnson jrpt be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155207824	No	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x661d05…
06-23 18:04:46	will yaxel lendeborg be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155207822	No	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x2919e4…
06-23 17:21:34	will karim lopez be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623154918114	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0xa9eba9…
06-23 17:10:01	will labaron philon be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623154918111	Yes	SELL	280	1¢	$2	0xf5ee88…
06-23 17:09:53	will hannes steinbach be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623154918112	Yes	SELL	280	1¢	$3	0x766ef8…
06-23 17:07:28	will hannes steinbach be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623154918112	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8e098a…
06-23 17:07:05	will karim lopez be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623154918114	Yes	BUY	285	1¢	$3	0xa1f0b8…
06-23 17:05:44	will hannes steinbach be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623154918112	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x9a5900…
06-23 17:04:25	will karim lopez be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623154918114	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xcdf425…
06-23 17:00:55	will labaron philon be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623154918111	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x002424…
06-23 17:00:22	will labaron philon be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623154918111	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4c9ae9…
06-23 17:00:11	will hannes steinbach be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623154918112	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb77259…
06-23 17:00:02	will karim lopez be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623154918114	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa9b5b5…
06-23 16:53:02	will labaron philon be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623154918111	Yes	BUY	80	1¢	$1	0x630a95…
06-23 16:52:08	will karim lopez be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623154918114	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x8a2ef0…
06-23 16:51:22	will karim lopez be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623154918114	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xe014f8…
06-23 16:49:29	will hannes steinbach be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623154918112	Yes	BUY	60	1¢	$1	0x0dda58…
06-23 13:37:13	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0xbb1133…
06-23 07:26:41	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by september 30 20260622183223873	Yes	SELL	200	91¢	$182	0x115661…
06-23 07:21:20	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by september 30 20260622183223873	Yes	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0x3fc49f…
06-19 14:31:04	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	174	58¢	$101	0x62a626…
06-19 13:03:10	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	174	69¢	$120	0x3820a4…
06-12 20:22:30	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	SELL	300	100¢	$299	0x044bd3…
06-12 19:37:52	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	SELL	463	9¢	$42	0x680a91…
06-12 19:26:12	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	BUY	263	19¢	$50	0xba67b2…
06-12 16:50:49	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	SELL	308	14¢	$43	0x9631dd…
06-12 15:22:52	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	BUY	308	13¢	$40	0x8fb651…
06-10 19:56:12	val ge1 xlg 2026 06 10 game3 round total 21pt5	Under	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x99a166…
06-10 19:21:48	val ge1 xlg 2026 06 10 game2 round total 21pt5	Under	BUY	250	50¢	$125	0x8a4a47…
06-08 21:17:33	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	Yes	BUY	135	20¢	$27	0xd28d40…
06-08 20:44:43	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	Yes	BUY	112	20¢	$22	0xeb7ea9…
06-08 19:52:43	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x66337e…
06-08 19:26:51	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	Yes	BUY	34	20¢	$7	0xbc7518…
06-08 11:11:54	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	SELL	100	23¢	$23	0xf6c6dc…
06-08 11:09:39	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0xacb336…
06-08 09:00:18	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	BUY	200	45¢	$90	0xee8b63…
06-08 00:52:01	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	300	62¢	$186	0x494ae8…
06-07 18:38:33	GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	220	48¢	$106	0xf72604…
06-07 18:38:24	GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	160	68¢	$109	0xdf81b4…
06-07 18:37:45	will nvda dip to 192 in june 2026	No	SELL	599	46¢	$276	0x1e1e6e…
06-07 18:11:54	will nvda dip to 192 in june 2026	No	BUY	200	48¢	$96	0x53c733…
06-07 18:11:51	will nvda dip to 192 in june 2026	No	BUY	399	48¢	$192	0xd9b9ba…
06-05 19:13:48	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	Yes	BUY	208	44¢	$92	0x1d881b…
06-05 17:29:09	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	Yes	BUY	32	44¢	$14	0xa5676b…
06-02 22:22:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	444	1¢	$4	0x8f5537…
06-02 20:13:46	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0xe0e450…
06-02 12:28:11	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	444	1¢	$4	0x14628a…
06-01 18:51:06	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	68¢	$136	0x584134…
05-31 18:11:33	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	SELL	587	32¢	$191	0xd5a0b9…