Gummy-Backburn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$48

Unrealized P&L

+$119

Hit rate

1.3%

Resolved

Trades

462

lifetime

Volume

$19.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

$143

4 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 06-30 14:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

60% 17% $-48

Sports

17% — —

Tech

13% — —

Politics

7% 0% —

Crypto

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	-160	$-109	44¢	$-70	+$38	06-07 18:38
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	+200	$136	24¢	$47	$-89	06-01 18:51
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	-220	$-106	12¢	$-25	+$80	06-07 18:38
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	-169	$-91	0¢	$-1	+$90	05-31 18:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	6	$1.4K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-11 12:18
spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	15	$1.4K	1,438	1,438	+0	open	—	06-30 14:46
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 28?	2	$975	500	500	+0	open	—	05-28 18:01
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?	6	$738	900	900	+0	Down	$-6	05-08 10:40
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	13	$737	960	966	-6	open	—	06-25 20:38
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of May 4 2026?	2	$655	500	500	+0	No	$-21	05-07 13:23
will nvda dip to 192 in june 2026	3	$564	599	599	+0	open	—	06-07 18:37
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	2	$485	300	300	+0	open	—	06-12 20:22
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.40 in April?	13	$416	1,228	1,206	+23	open	—	04-03 19:31
will company b be accused of insider trading	4	$391	281	492	-211	open	—	02-25 12:08
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on April 24?	7	$390	394	389	+5	open	—	04-24 11:23
will the next uk prime minister be appointed by september 30 20260622183223873	2	$370	200	200	+0	open	—	06-23 07:26
will france strike iran by march 31	3	$328	311	51	+260	open	—	03-01 16:25
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	2	$291	418	587	-169	open	—	05-31 18:11
will trump say biden 10 times during the 2026 state of the union address 599	2	$278	167	167	+0	open	—	02-25 06:30
fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	2	$256	156	156	+0	open	—	06-30 19:12
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	2	$246	200	200	+0	open	—	05-19 09:37
will germany strike iran by march 31	2	$229	119	119	+0	open	—	03-01 13:38
megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	3	$225	200	200	+0	open	—	04-28 05:46
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	2	$221	174	174	+0	open	—	06-19 14:31
ncaa tournament no 16 seed to win a game	8	$220	236	236	+0	open	—	03-14 09:49
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$216	801	801	+0	open	—	04-28 05:33
Will Ninjas in Pyjamas qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026?	3	$201	165	165	+0	open	—	03-30 19:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$200	278	278	+0	open	—	04-28 05:46
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	6	$189	494	215	+278	open	—	02-28 20:12
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?	2	$187	100	100	+0	open	—	03-25 11:34
will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day april 812	4	$182	100	100	+0	open	—	04-09 13:47
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	3	$182	463	463	+0	open	—	06-12 19:37
will the announcers say neymar 5 times during the scotland vs brazil fifa world cup match 20260623164947257	3	$176	100	100	+0	open	—	06-24 09:12
another us government shutdown by february 14	2	$162	132	132	+0	open	—	02-14 11:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 19:12:47	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	Norway	SELL	156	100¢	$156	0x163a95…
06-30 14:57:31	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	Norway	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x5bc1fc…
06-30 14:46:34	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	SELL	100	87¢	$87	0x1da045…
06-30 14:43:56	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	SELL	87	87¢	$76	0x361ae9…
06-30 14:03:17	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0x69b89a…
06-30 14:03:08	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	BUY	144	69¢	$100	0xa9373b…
06-30 13:03:46	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	SELL	374	67¢	$251	0x6225cc…
06-29 19:04:13	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	SELL	14	71¢	$10	0x02ddb9…
06-29 18:14:28	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0x461d05…
06-29 17:01:13	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	BUY	166	30¢	$50	0x009127…
06-29 16:32:37	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	SELL	164	42¢	$69	0xd8d257…
06-29 14:26:02	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	BUY	164	31¢	$50	0x08e2fa…
06-29 13:57:53	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	SELL	693	42¢	$293	0x30dddf…
06-26 15:28:49	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	BUY	167	30¢	$50	0x50139a…
06-25 20:38:47	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	Yes	SELL	632	29¢	$183	0x6aeef6…
06-25 17:00:43	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	SELL	7	37¢	$2	0x5872f7…
06-25 11:29:31	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xfe9364…
06-24 13:08:52	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	BUY	300	33¢	$100	0x54c91d…
06-24 10:50:41	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	Yes	SELL	234	57¢	$133	0xdc57c0…
06-24 10:01:11	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	Yes	BUY	234	53¢	$124	0x190ba2…
06-24 09:49:41	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	Yes	SELL	100	65¢	$65	0xf261b7…
06-24 09:47:53	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	Yes	BUY	99	48¢	$47	0xf2f723…
06-24 09:12:10	will the announcers say neymar 5 times during the scotland vs brazil fifa world cup match 20260623164947257	Yes	SELL	21	76¢	$16	0x513f8a…
06-24 08:23:43	will the announcers say neymar 5 times during the scotland vs brazil fifa world cup match 20260623164947257	Yes	SELL	79	83¢	$66	0xef2008…
06-24 07:08:04	will the announcers say neymar 5 times during the scotland vs brazil fifa world cup match 20260623164947257	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xcb3157…
06-23 18:16:10	will morez johnson jrpt be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155207824	No	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0xf6e4d0…
06-23 18:10:35	will yaxel lendeborg be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155207822	No	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0x735e48…
06-23 18:05:56	will morez johnson jrpt be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155207824	No	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x661d05…
06-23 18:04:46	will yaxel lendeborg be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155207822	No	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x2919e4…
06-23 17:21:34	will karim lopez be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623154918114	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0xa9eba9…
06-23 17:10:01	will labaron philon be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623154918111	Yes	SELL	280	1¢	$2	0xf5ee88…
06-23 17:09:53	will hannes steinbach be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623154918112	Yes	SELL	280	1¢	$3	0x766ef8…
06-23 17:07:28	will hannes steinbach be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623154918112	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8e098a…
06-23 17:07:05	will karim lopez be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623154918114	Yes	BUY	285	1¢	$3	0xa1f0b8…
06-23 17:05:44	will hannes steinbach be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623154918112	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x9a5900…
06-23 17:04:25	will karim lopez be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623154918114	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xcdf425…
06-23 17:00:55	will labaron philon be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623154918111	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x002424…
06-23 17:00:22	will labaron philon be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623154918111	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4c9ae9…
06-23 17:00:11	will hannes steinbach be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623154918112	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb77259…
06-23 17:00:02	will karim lopez be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623154918114	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa9b5b5…
06-23 16:53:02	will labaron philon be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623154918111	Yes	BUY	80	1¢	$1	0x630a95…
06-23 16:52:08	will karim lopez be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623154918114	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x8a2ef0…
06-23 16:51:22	will karim lopez be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623154918114	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xe014f8…
06-23 16:49:29	will hannes steinbach be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623154918112	Yes	BUY	60	1¢	$1	0x0dda58…
06-23 13:37:13	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0xbb1133…
06-23 07:26:41	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by september 30 20260622183223873	Yes	SELL	200	91¢	$182	0x115661…
06-23 07:21:20	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by september 30 20260622183223873	Yes	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0x3fc49f…
06-19 14:31:04	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	174	58¢	$101	0x62a626…
06-19 13:03:10	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	174	69¢	$120	0x3820a4…
06-12 20:22:30	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	SELL	300	100¢	$299	0x044bd3…
06-12 19:37:52	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	SELL	463	9¢	$42	0x680a91…
06-12 19:26:12	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	BUY	263	19¢	$50	0xba67b2…
06-12 16:50:49	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	SELL	308	14¢	$43	0x9631dd…
06-12 15:22:52	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	BUY	308	13¢	$40	0x8fb651…
06-10 19:56:12	val ge1 xlg 2026 06 10 game3 round total 21pt5	Under	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x99a166…
06-10 19:21:48	val ge1 xlg 2026 06 10 game2 round total 21pt5	Under	BUY	250	50¢	$125	0x8a4a47…
06-08 21:17:33	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	Yes	BUY	135	20¢	$27	0xd28d40…
06-08 20:44:43	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	Yes	BUY	112	20¢	$22	0xeb7ea9…
06-08 19:52:43	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x66337e…
06-08 19:26:51	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	Yes	BUY	34	20¢	$7	0xbc7518…
06-08 11:11:54	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	SELL	100	23¢	$23	0xf6c6dc…
06-08 11:09:39	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0xacb336…
06-08 09:00:18	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	BUY	200	45¢	$90	0xee8b63…
06-08 00:52:01	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	300	62¢	$186	0x494ae8…
06-07 18:38:33	GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	220	48¢	$106	0xf72604…
06-07 18:38:24	GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	160	68¢	$109	0xdf81b4…
06-07 18:37:45	will nvda dip to 192 in june 2026	No	SELL	599	46¢	$276	0x1e1e6e…
06-07 18:11:54	will nvda dip to 192 in june 2026	No	BUY	200	48¢	$96	0x53c733…
06-07 18:11:51	will nvda dip to 192 in june 2026	No	BUY	399	48¢	$192	0xd9b9ba…
06-05 19:13:48	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	Yes	BUY	208	44¢	$92	0x1d881b…
06-05 17:29:09	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	Yes	BUY	32	44¢	$14	0xa5676b…
06-02 22:22:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	444	1¢	$4	0x8f5537…
06-02 20:13:46	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0xe0e450…
06-02 12:28:11	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	444	1¢	$4	0x14628a…
06-01 18:51:06	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	68¢	$136	0x584134…
05-31 18:11:33	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	SELL	587	32¢	$191	0xd5a0b9…
05-30 06:27:34	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	418	24¢	$100	0xa32c6f…
05-29 17:26:43	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0xafc9d2…
05-29 17:10:06	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0x4944fe…
05-28 18:01:42	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	SELL	500	97¢	$486	0x4f8617…
05-28 17:54:00	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	BUY	500	98¢	$489	0xb807b1…
05-24 08:50:16	Will OpenAI file for an IPO by May 29, 2026?	No	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0xe2fb32…
05-23 08:04:27	Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0xa963f6…
05-23 07:36:11	Will OpenAI file for an IPO by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x4626ce…
05-22 14:06:38	Will OpenAI file for an IPO by May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xfb352e…
05-19 09:37:45	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	Yes	SELL	200	62¢	$124	0x141919…
05-18 20:58:50	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	Yes	BUY	200	61¢	$122	0xabba69…
05-16 23:01:27	Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x69c071…
05-16 22:30:33	Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x5bf343…
05-16 22:15:06	Will "Europe" be said 10+ times during Eurovision?	Yes	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0x9cb6c3…
05-16 21:02:18	Will "Europe" be said 10+ times during Eurovision?	Yes	BUY	33	98¢	$32	0xd2a5a8…
05-15 19:25:57	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	0¢	$0	0xf6ba5b…
05-15 19:25:32	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x5743f1…
05-15 19:25:18	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	SELL	600	0¢	$1	0x935639…
05-15 19:23:44	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	445	0¢	$0	0x4bc79f…
05-15 19:23:35	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	555	0¢	$1	0xe7e321…
05-15 19:23:02	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc6c0b4…
05-15 19:22:18	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	269	0¢	$0	0x26b6bd…
05-15 19:18:48	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	731	0¢	$1	0x0d695b…
05-15 19:17:22	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x16fba3…